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Mohar Chattopadhyay

Publications and source records attributed to Mohar Chattopadhyay.

Assessing Sensitivity of MERRA-2 to AMSU-A in the Upper Stratosphere

Microwavetemperaturesounders provide key observationsin data assimilation, both in the 9current and historical global observing systems, as they provide the largest amount of horizontal and vertical temperature information due to their insensitivity to clouds. In the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2),microwave sounder radiances from the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A)are assimilated beginning with NOAA-15and continuing through the current period. The time series of observation minus background statistics forAMSU-A channels sensitive to upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere show variabilities due to changes in AMSU-A constellation in the early AMSU-A period.Noted discrepancies are seen at the onset and exit of AMSU-A observations on the NOAA-15, NOAA-16, NOAA-17, and NASA EOS Aqua satellites.This effort characterizesthesensitivity, both in terms of the observations and the MERRA-2 analysis. Furthermore, it exploresthe use of reprocessed and inter-calibrated datasets to evaluatewhether these homogenized observations can reduce the disparity due to change in instrumental biases against the model background. The results indicate that the AMSU-A radiances used in MERRA-2 are the fundamental cause of this inter-platform sensitivitywhich can be mitigated by using reprocessed data.The results explore the importance of the reprocessing of the AMSU-A radiances as well as their inter-calibration.

MERRA-2↗

Renewable Energy Contingencies in Power Systems: Concept and Case Study

This paper introduces the concept of renewable energy contingencies that represent long-term/extended variability of variable renewable energy (VRE) resources, namely, significant periods (e.g., days/weeks) of low wind/solar availability. These contingencies have not received much attention to date but are likely to emerge as a major issue in some countries such as India as the share of VRE increases. Using 38 years of climate model reanalysis data for wind over India, we demonstrate that low periods of wind contingency below long-term (Indian) national average of 5 m/s can extend for more than 100 days in several zones some of which are deploying large wind farms. Even in some of the best wind resource areas in India with long term average wind speed close to 7 m/s, low wind days (e.g., 5 m/s which is substantially below average) can extend up to 60 days. We propose a four-step methodology around a co-optimization based energy-ancillary services dispatch model to assess the impact of renewable contingency and implemented it for the state of Tamil Nadu, the most wind-rich state of India. We have estimated that annual renewable contingency cost impact of 5 GW additional wind in Tamil Nadu to be in the range of US$27-76 million pa. Planning analysis should embrace the concept of renewable contingency to recognize these costs and put in place necessary spinning reserve and back-up generation resources.

Mohar Chattopadhyay↗

The Use of Spire Radio Occultation Measurements in the GEOS Atmospheric Data Assimilation System

As part of the pilot segment of the NASA Commercial SmallSat Data Acquisition (CSDA) Program, the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) evaluated products acquired from Spire Global, Inc. in the context of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) Atmospheric Data Assimilation System (ADAS). Specifically, the GMAO assimilated the bending angle profiles derived by Spire from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) measurements of the atmosphere made by their Stratos instruments onboard their constellation of Lemur small satellites. The bending angle observations were used to further constrain the thermodynamic fields in the context of the global observing system typically assimilated within GEOS.

Will Mccarty↗

Assessment of New Radio Occultation Measurements at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office

Recent advances at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) have focused on the assimilation of additional radio occultation (RO) bending angle measurements in the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) atmospheric data assimilation system. These efforts targeted the GEOS near-real-time forward processing system and may serve as the backbone for the next atmospheric reanalysis of the 21st century. In the most recent system upgrade, the assimilated RO counts increased by a factor of four with the addition of the COSMIC-2 constellation. Furthermore, with the advent of near-real-time commercial RO measurements, even more growth is expected. This presentation will quantify the impacts of new public and commercially-sourced data available to the GEOS system. The RO data assimilated in these experiments are from both the routinely acquired operational data streams as well as those from Spire Global, Inc. available via the Commercial SmallSat Data Acquisition (CSDA) Program.

Will McCarty↗

The Impact of Assimilating Large Volumes of GNSS Radio Occultation Observations from Spire’s Commercial Constellation into NASA’s GEOS

The upcoming retrospective analysis for the 21st century (R21C) reanalysis product from NASA will include the full dataset of GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) observations collected by Spire with their constellation of smallsats. The Spire RO dataset, which was purchased by NASA for its Commercial Smallsat Data Acquisition (CSDA) archive, has global coverage and includes approximately 6 thousand RO profiles per day during 2019 increasing to nearly 20 thousand in 2022-2023. This more than doubles the volume of RO profiles from all other routinely assimilated RO missions combined during 2023. The increase in the number of RO profiles available is particularly important in the extratropics as the next largest RO constellation, the state-of-the-science Formosa Satellite Mission 7 (FORMOSAT-7)/Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC-2) mission (hereafter COSMIC-2), is focused on the Tropics and only provides approximately 4 thousand RO profiles per day. The large number of observations in the Spire RO dataset have great potential to improve analyses and forecasts of the Earth’s atmosphere produced by numerical weather prediction systems. Their impact is assessed through numerical experiments using NASA’s Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) Atmospheric Data Assimilation System (ADAS) with and without the observations from the COSMIC-2 mission. The ability of the Spire RO observations to make up for the omission of the RO observations from COSMIC-2 is directly assessed over the tropics and the impact of Spire over the extratropics is compared to that of the available RO missions that sample over this region. Finally, the quality of the Spire RO observations is compared to that of the routinely assimilated RO missions using Forecast Sensitivity-based Observation Impact (FSOI).

Michael J. Murphy↗

The Impact of Assimilating Large Volumes of GNSS Radio Occultation Observations from Spire’s Commercial Constellation into NASA’s GEOS

The upcoming retrospective analysis for the 21st century (R21C) reanalysis product from NASA will include the full dataset of GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) observations collected by Spire with their constellation of smallsats. The Spire RO dataset, which was purchased by NASA for its Commercial Smallsat Data Acquisition (CSDA) archive, has global coverage and increases in number from approximately 6 thousand RO profiles per day during 2019 to approximately 20 thousand in 2022-2023. This more than doubles the volume of RO profiles from all other routinely assimilated RO missions combined during 2022. The increase in the number of RO profiles available is particularly important in the extratropics as the next largest RO constellation, the state-of-the-science Formosa Satellite Mission 7 (FORMOSAT-7)/Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC-2) mission (hereafter COSMIC-2), is focused on the Tropics and only provides approximately 4 thousand RO profiles per day. The large number of observations in the Spire RO dataset have great potential to improve analyses and forecasts of the Earth’s atmosphere produced by numerical weather prediction systems. Their impact is assessed through numerical experiments using NASA’s Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) Atmospheric Data Assimilation System (ADAS) with and without the observations from the COSMIC-2 mission. The ability of the Spire RO observations to make up for the omission of the RO observations from COSMIC-2 is directly assessed over the tropics and the impact of Spire over the extratropics is compared to that of the available RO missions that sample over this region. Finally, the quality of the Spire RO observations is compared to that of the routinely assimilated RO missions using Forecast Sensitivity-based Observation Impact (FSOI).

Michael J. Murphy↗

Impacts from Assimilating Large Volumes of GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) Observations during ROMEX in NASA’s Global Earth Observing System

The GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) Modeling Experiment (ROMEX) seeks to quantify the benefit of the increasing quantity of RO observations available for use in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems and products. ROMEX includes participation from multiple operational NWP centers and NWP models, among them are NASA’s Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model produced and run at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO). The design of the numerical experiments core to ROMEX include: 1) a control model run that includes all the RO observations currently used operationally with the sole exception of those from commercial sources and 2) a ROMEX model run that adds to the control over 25 thousand additional RO profiles per day from commercial RO providers, with both experiments run over the three-month period of September through November 2022. The ROMEX model run greatly augments the relatively small subset of the currently available commercial RO profiles which have been purchased for routine use in operational NWP by the various NWP centers. While this smaller subset of commercial RO profiles currently used in operations has been shown to have a positive impact on NWP forecasts, the additional impact from the ROMEX RO dataset has yet to be determined and is the focus of ROMEX. Results from GEOS are presented, including the impact on both analyses and forecasts over the study period and statistics using the forecast sensitivity-based observation impact (FSOI) method. The impact from varying the method of quality control and specifying the observation uncertainty for RO observations within the GEOS data assimilation system is also examined.

Michael J Murphy↗