Planet Matching and Orbit Determination in multi-planet systems for Exoplanet Direct Imaging
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Morgan, Rhonda.
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A key aspect of the search for Earth-like exoplanets with direct imaging is determining if the exoplanet is in the habitable zone. Future direct imaging mission concepts such as HabEx and LUVOIR require an efficient cadence of observations. Previous work shows that a minimum of three epochs, spanning more than half a period, can determine orbital parameters to 10\% for a single, circular orbit. Multi-planet systems may require a different number and cadence of observations. We begin to address the multi-planet minimum observation approach by considering only the astrometric data of exoplanet candidate objects in high contrast images. Existing multi-planet trajectory matching libraries such as “Orbits For The Impatient” (OFTI) currently require users to specify which point sources belong to which planet and assumes that the user has already matched true-positive detections to planets. Additionally, planet matching needs to be considered when assessing the impact of observation scheduling on trajectory estimation accuracy. To address this need for fitting orbits to multiple objects with limited knowledge, we present an approach using a Monte Carlo study of different observation schedules and planetary systems in which we have developed an algorithm to automatically match observations to planets, and then check the accuracy of the matches. With a large number of cases, we can constrain the number of observations and the spacing necessary to “deconfuse” the detections. We present preliminary planet matching success rates for different observing schedules and planetary system parameters. We use these results to assess the scope of the confusion problem and discuss potential mitigation strategies.
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The National Academies’ Decadal Survey telescope studies have produced mission design concepts that plotpathways into the future to follow on from Hubble, Spitzer, JWST and NGRST. Considering the results of theLUVOIR and HabEx studies in particular, it is clear that segmented mirrors will eventually be needed to providevery large apertures in space and that this architecture presents both a scientific opportunity and an engineeringchallenge. Furthermore, while HabEx and LUVOIR cover a great deal of spectrum, both fall short of the mid-IRregion where general astronomy and astrophysics can be undertaken that would be impossible from terrestrialobservatories and where there also exist spectral features of interest in the search for life. A telescope with similarcapabilities to Habex/LUVOIR but also capable of exoplanet work in spectral regions up to 5 µm would largelybridge the gap between those proposals and TPF-I (which would have operated from about 7 µm upwards), andis therefore worthy of study. The Active Telescope for Space Astronomy (ATSA) design study presents a possiblearchitecture and is moderately sized (6 m) to enable the use of both starshade and coronagraph technologies.While the segment gaps of a segmented primary mirror present a challenge for coronagraphy, the architecturedoes allow direct wavefront control at each segment of that mirror, enabling a great degree of control at theprimary source of contrast degradation. While active systems (for example, deformable mirrors on WFIRSTCGI) are being incorporated into telescope designs today, a fully active mirror system needs further developmentfor a future mission. With this concept in mind, and intending to build on the LUVOIR and HabEx studies, wediscuss the elements of a cooled telescope design enabling both general astrophysics and exoplanet studies fromthe near UV through to the near-IR.
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The Habitable Exoplanet Observatory (HabEx) is one of four mission concepts under study for the 2020 Astrophysics Decadal Survey. Its goal is to directly image and spectroscopically characterize planetary systems in the habitable zone around nearby sun-like stars. Additionally, HabEx will perform a broad range of general astrophysics science enabled by 115 to 2500 nm spectral range and 3 x 3 arc-minute FOV. Critical to achieving the HabEx science goals is a large, ultra-stable UV/Optical/Near-IR (UVOIR) telescope. The baseline HabEx telescope is 4-meter off-axis unobscured, diffraction limited at 400 nm with wavefront stability on the order of a few 10s of picometers. The technology readiness level (TRL) to manufacture and test the HabEx baseline primary mirror is assessed to be at TRL-6 for all but two TRL-4 technologies: 1) non-destructive process to quantify CTE homogeneity of a 4-m mirror substrate with a spatial sampling of at least 100 x 100 to better than +/- 1 ppb/K; and, 2) process to quantify self-weight gravity deflection to better than 4-nm rms over a 100 x 100 spatial sampling. This paper reviews the technology needs to manufacture the HabEx primary mirror, assesses their TRL and proposes a roadmap to mature the two remaining technologies to TRL-6.
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