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Navard, Sharon E.

Publications and source records attributed to Navard, Sharon E..

Human Reliability Analysis: An Overview

Human/process error is potentially a large contributor to failures of aerospace systems. For some systems, such as the space shuttle main engine, large amounts of data are available, and accurate failure rates can be determined empirically. For such systems, the human error is implicit in the empirical failure rate and does not need to be quantified separately. However, for other systems, such as the solid rocket boosters, large amounts of data are not available and the failure rates must be determined by more theoretical means. When empirical data is lacking, structural models and engineering judgment must be employed. In this case, the human/process error must be modeled explicitly. An extensive literature review was performed to determine what methods already exist for modeling human error for aerospace systems. No methods that apply directly were found, although there are a number of methods that have been developed specifically for the nuclear power industry that could probably be modified for space applications. The results of the literature review are presented, as well as recommendations for future research.

Navard, Sharon E.

Modelling early failures in Space Station Freedom

A major problem encountered in planning for Space Station Freedom is the amount of maintenance that will be required. To predict the failure rates of components and systems aboard Space Station Freedom, the logical approach is to use data obtained from previously flown spacecraft. In order to determine the mechanisms that are driving the failures, models can be proposed, and then checked to see if they adequately fit the observed failure data obtained from a large variety of satellites. For this particular study, failure data and truncation times were available for satellites launched between 1976 and 1984; no data past 1984 was available. The study was limited to electrical subsystems and assemblies, which were studied to determine if they followed a model resulting from a mixture of exponential distributions.

Navard, Sharon E.

Evaluating the effect of accuracy ratios on the percent of calibrations which are out of tolerance

The standard practice in calibration laboratories across the country, including the Measurement Standards and Calibration Laboratory (MSCL) at the Johnson Space Center, is to use accuracy ratios to determine if instruments are in-tolerance rather than computing the actual uncertainty associated with the instruments. In the past, the accepted practice was to use an accuracy ratio of 10:1, but then state of the art advanced to the point where the 10:1 ratio could no longer be maintained, and the ratio was arbitrarily lowered to 4:1. It is now becoming increasingly difficult to maintain the 4:1 accuracy ratio, and in some cases 1:1 is the best that can be achieved. However, the effect of using these small accuracy ratios on the number of mistakes made in classifying instruments as in or out of tolerance is completely unknown. In order to assess the effect of using accuracy ratios in calibration, a simulation program was written to compute the proportion of instruments determined to be out of tolerance which were actually in, denoted by alpha, and the proportion of instruments determined to be in-tolerance which were actually out, denoted by beta. This was done for accuracy ratios of 1:1 and 10:1, for one to five progressive calibrations, under varying standard and instrument conditions. Selected results are presented and explained.

Navard, Sharon E.

Evaluating Statistical Process Control (SPC) techniques and computing the uncertainty of force calibrations

In recent years there has been a push within NASA to use statistical techniques to improve the quality of production. Two areas where statistics are used are in establishing product and process quality control of flight hardware and in evaluating the uncertainty of calibration of instruments. The Flight Systems Quality Engineering branch is responsible for developing and assuring the quality of all flight hardware; the statistical process control methods employed are reviewed and evaluated. The Measurement Standards and Calibration Laboratory performs the calibration of all instruments used on-site at JSC as well as those used by all off-site contractors. These calibrations must be performed in such a way as to be traceable to national standards maintained by the National Institute of Standards and Technology, and they must meet a four-to-one ratio of the instrument specifications to calibrating standard uncertainty. In some instances this ratio is not met, and in these cases it is desirable to compute the exact uncertainty of the calibration and determine ways of reducing it. A particular example where this problem is encountered is with a machine which does automatic calibrations of force. The process of force calibration using the United Force Machine is described in detail. The sources of error are identified and quantified when possible. Suggestions for improvement are made.

Navard, Sharon E.