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Noble Hatten

Publications and source records attributed to Noble Hatten.

Uranus Orbiter and Probe: Mission Challenges and Concept Updates Since the Origins, Worlds, and Life Decadal Survey

Origins, Worlds, and Life: Planetary Science and Astrobiology in the Next Decade identified a Uranus Orbiter and Probe as the highest-priority strategic mission for the decade 2023–2032, as it enables broad cross-disciplinary science in the largely unexplored Uranian system. The mission architecture evaluated by the Decadal Survey was a singular proof of concept demonstrating that a moderately instrumented mission could deliver Decadal-priority science with a reduced cost and risk posture by leveraging existing technologies to the maximum extent possible. With revised assumptions since the Decadal, we have explored a large trade space including launch vehicles, propulsion options, cruise trajectories, available power sources, viable concept of operations, and science data return for later launch dates without a Jupiter gravity assist. The most repeatable trajectory solutions employ either a commercially derived solar electric propulsion (SEP) transfer stage or the availability of a more capable launch vehicle under development, such as the SpaceX Starship. Orbit insertion has been moved farther from Uranus to acknowledge the remaining uncertainty in Uranian ring structure. A streamlined, SEP-adaptable, orbiter design was developed using two Next Gen Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generators, and the probe design was matured, reducing the entry gravitational acceleration, and assuming the largest Decadal-recommended payload to provide margin for future instrument selections. With this updated design, we also constructed a detailed concept of operations for three representative science cases, returning 13–15 Gbit of science data and spacecraft telemetry per ∼34 day orbit.

Amy A Simon↗

Risk Trade-Space Analysis for Safe Human Expeditions to Mars

We assessed the integrated safety, health, and performance risk to crews on long-duration missions, specifically to Mars. Using a systems approach rather than one focused on individual countermeasures, we examined the trade space around several such risks to identify high-potential risk mitigation strategies and characterize aspects of Mars mission architectures that could lower aggregated risk. Current Mars Design Reference missions would require durations well over two years and would increase crew exposure to radiation and microgravity well beyond ISS levels, likely resulting in significantly reduced performance beyond our current capability to mitigate that could jeopardize mission success. A “fast Mars transit” round-trip mission concept was studied using an innovative flight dynamics approach to quantify the minimum total mission energy required for a Mars transit with total mission duration less than 400 days. This approach holds promise for sending humans to Mars and returning them safely with acceptable, potentially mitigatable, exposure to microgravity and radiation using current or near-term technologies. The fast transit concept would also result in fewer time-driven vehicle failures and enable sustainable deployment of humans and infrastructure to Mars on a regular cadence, allowing steady exploration and colonization of Mars. Finally, we conclude that reliance on the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) mission operations paradigm – i.e., one of near-complete real-time dependence on experts at Mission Control to manage the combined state of the mission, vehicle, and crew – is high risk given the communication delays and limited resupply of any Mars mission, and this risk is not eliminated by the shorter missions durations of fast transit scenarios. Based on historical trends, it is highly likely that the crew will face a high-consequence problem of uncertain origin during Mars transit when ground support will be greatly reduced. While it may be possible to reduce anomaly rates through improved reliability analysis and testing, and to reduce anomaly impacts through added robustness, such mitigations address only known failure modes and known uncertainties. Therefore, a radical shift in the Human-Systems Integration Architecture (HSIA) that defines the operational paradigm, systems design, and human-systems interactions is required to improve the risk posture to an acceptable level regardless of mission duration.

Mars↗

Terrain Relative Navigation in a Lunar Landing Scenario Using autoNGC

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center is developing Autonomous Navigation Guidance and Control (autoNGC) as a flight software system for future onboard use for missions in a variety of orbital regimes, including cislunar space and beyond. This paper describes processor-in-the-loop (PIL) testing using a lunar landing scenario with terrain relative navigation (TRN) and weak-signal GPS. We give an overview of the autoNGC project and describe preliminary navigation simulation results. We also describe the TRN PIL tests on a flight-like development board, using simulated images rendered from Lunar Reconnaissance Orbit high-resolution digital terrain models. The navigation simulations show that weak-signal GPS combined with TRN during a descent from a low lunar parking orbit results in sufficiently low navigation uncertainties to support such a mission profile independent of ground-based navigation. The PIL tests show that onboard image processing and landmark correlation is achievable at a sufficiently high measurement rate.

Michael A Shoemaker↗

OSIRIS-REx Extended Mission Trajectory Design & Target Search

After jettisoning its Sample Return Capsule (SRC) containing regolith samples from the near-Earth asteroid (101955) Bennu to Earth in September 2023, the Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security–Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx) spacecraft will perform a divert maneuver and safely fly by Earth at an altitude of 250 km. SRC return and the divert maneuver officially mark the completion of the spacecraft’s primary mission; however, it will continue on in heliocentric orbit with a nearly fully-functional instrument suite and enough propellant for nearly 600 m/s Delta-V. The post-Earth flyby trajectory fortuitously enables an exciting extended mission opportunity: rendezvous with the near-Earth asteroid (99942)Apophis immediately following its historic Earth close approach in April 2029. In this paper, we detail the discovery, optimization, and analysis of the Apophis rendezvous trajectory for an extended OSIRIS-REx mission. We also present the technical approach for an alternate target search and corresponding results, assessing the alternate trajectories compared to the baseline Apophis rendezvous from a trajectory design standpoint.

Brian Sutter↗

Fast Earth-Mars Roundtrip Trajectories to Reduce Health and Safety Risks for Crewed Missions

The extended mission duration of a crewed Mars mission compounds integrated risks to crew health and safety. Shortening mission duration would therefore have a direct impact on reducing many human health and performance risk factors. This paper describes trajectory feasibility analyses performed to examine trajectory options for a fast crewed mission to Mars. Studies were conducted to examine options with short overall mission durations (≤ 400-day roundtrip) and options that focus on minimizing astronaut time in deep space, while allowing for longer Mars surface stays. Trade studies were performed to determine ∆v requirements for a range of launch dates, Mars orbit periods, Mars stay times, and Earth-to-Mars flight time maxima. The implications of a Venus gravity assist are also described. The analyses presented here build on and specifically aim to optimize and address key concerns of assumptions made in previously published studies of fast crewed Mars missions.

Mars↗