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Nora, Ryan C.

Publications and source records attributed to Nora, Ryan C..

3D reconstruction of an inertial-confinement fusion implosion with neural networks using multiple heterogeneous data sources

3D asymmetries are major degradation mechanisms in inertial-confinement fusion implosions at the National Ignition Facility (NIF). These asymmetries can be diagnosed and reconstructed with the neutron imaging system (NIS) on three lines of sight around the NIF target chamber. Conventional tomographic reconstructions are used to reconstruct the 3D morphology of the implosion using NIS [Volegov et al., J. Appl. Phys. 127, 083301 (2020)], but the problem is ill-posed with only three imaging lines of sight. Asymmetries can also be diagnosed with the real-time neutron activation diagnostics (RTNAD) and the neutron time-of-flight (nToF) suite. Since the NIS, RTNAD, and nToF each sample a different part of the implosion using different physical principles, we propose that it is possible to overcome the limitations of too few imaging lines of sight by performing 3D reconstructions that combine information from all three heterogeneous data sources. This work presents a new machine learning-based reconstruction technique to do just this. By using a simple physics model and group of neural networks to map 3D morphologies to data, this technique can easily account for data of multiple different types. A simple proof-of-principle is presented, demonstrating that this technique can accurately reconstruct a hot-spot shape using synthetic primary neutron images and a hot-spot velocity vector. In particular, the hot-spot’s asymmetry, quantified as spherical harmonic coefficients, is reconstructed to within ±4% of the radius in 90% of test cases. In the future, this technique will be applied to actual NIS, RTNAD, and nToF data to better understand 3D asymmetries at the NIF.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Making inertial confinement fusion models more predictive

Computer models of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions play an essential role in experimental design and interpretation as well as our understanding of fundamental physics under the most extreme conditions that can be reached in the laboratory. Building truly predictive models is a significant challenge, with the potential to greatly accelerate progress to high yield and ignition. One path to more predictive models is to use experimental data to update the underlying physics in a way that can be extrapolated to new experiments and regimes. We describe a statistical framework for the calibration of ICF simulations using data collected at the National Ignition Facility (NIF). We perform Bayesian inferences for a series of laser shots using an approach that is designed to respect the physics simulation as much as possible and then build a second model that links the individual-shot inferences together. We show that this approach is able to match multiple X-ray and neutron diagnostics for a whole series of NIF “BigFoot” shots. Within the context of 2D radiation hydrodynamic simulations, our inference strongly favors a significant reduction in fuel compression over other known degradation mechanisms (namely, hohlraum issues and engineering perturbations). This analysis is expanded using a multifidelity technique to pick fuel-ablator mix from several candidate causes of the degraded fuel compression (including X-ray preheat and shock timing errors). Finally, we use our globally calibrated model to investigate the extra laser drive energy that would be required to overcome the inferred fuel compression issues in NIF BigFoot implosions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Bayesian Calibration of Inertial Confinement Fusion Models with Very Expensive Data

Calibrating computer simulations against experimental data is a ubiquitous problem in science and is particularly difficult when experimental data are expensive or diffi- cult to collect. In inertial confinement fusion experiments, where a single data point can cost 10 5 –10 6 USD, calibration of large-scale design calculations is particularly challenging. We present a framework that aims to provide calibrated predictions far from the available data that can be trained using a small number of data points. The approach aims to retain as much of the physics (summarized by the simulation code) as possible and is based on a truncated polynomial chaos expansion in the space of simulation inputs, augmented with a non-parametric correction for higher distribution modes. Due to the difficulty of the problem, understanding the sources of uncertainty in the model is essential; we demonstrate this through an application of our approach to a series of 6 experimental laser shots. As a result, we validate our approach, show that the uncertainties in our predictions of experimental performance are dominated by shot-shot fluctuations and regression uncertainties, and discuss paths towards an improved prediction model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗