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Norris, Jesse

Publications and source records attributed to Norris, Jesse.

Anthropogenic warming drives earlier wildfire season onset in California

Annual wildfire area in California has rapidly grown in recent decades, with increasingly negative impacts on people. The fire season is also lengthening, with an earlier onset. This trend has been hypothesized to be driven by anthropogenic warming, but it has yet to be quantitatively attributed to climate drivers. Using a comprehensive fire occurrence dataset, we analyze fire season onset and climate controls on its variability and change during 1992–2020 in 13 California ecoregions. Northern California ecoregions show stronger trends toward earlier onset compared to more arid southern California ecoregions. Onset has trended earlier for all but one ecoregion. Interannual variability of onset is dominated by climate variability and its influence on fuel moisture. Trend attribution inferred from onset-climate relationships suggests that anthropogenic warming advanced fire season onset by 6 to 46 days during 1992–2020 in 11 of 13 ecoregions. Continued warming is expected to further promote earlier fire season onsets.

Science & Technology - Other Topics

The Completion of Surrogate Testing for Low-Temperature TEX and a Look Towards the Future

To address the mounting need for below room temperature nuclear data validation, the Low-Temperature Thermal Epithermal eXperiments (LT-TEX) have been designed. Validation of low-temperature neutron cross sections is necessary to verify any operation at temperatures below room temperature which is typically observed in environments far from the equator. For example, a fissile material transportation truck may routinely observe ambient temperatures down to -40°C, which is the lower temperature bound of the normal conditions of transportation defined in the United States Title 10 Code of Federal Regulations §71.71c2. Additionally, sub-room temperature benchmarks can validate newly produced cross sections, that include novel thermal scattering laws, from North Carolina State University.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS

TEX-HEU: Integral Experiment Execution with Polyethylene at Very Low Temperatures

The low-temperature variant of the TEX HEU (called Low-Temperature TEX or sometimes LT TEX) campaign is a highly anticipated and necessary experimental series by the greater nuclear science community. Fundamentally, the need for low-temperature integral experiments is required to perform validation of cross sections below room temperature. There has been substantial international interest in low-temperature benchmarks to validate below room temperature cross sections, namely talks given at the 2019 International Conference on Nuclear Criticality (ICNC): UK (Watson, 2019), France (Milin, 2019), and UK (Gan & Wilson, 2019). Additionally, NCSP funded thermal scattering laws (TSLs) were produced by North Carolina State University and require low-temperature benchmarks to validate them. Validation of low-temperature cross sections is also necessary for criticality safety applications. One particularly important application is to ensure that during transportation, fissile materials must remain subcritical under normal ambient conditions which is defined as temperatures down to -40°C/°F by the United States 10 CRF 71 as well as a regulation put forward by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS