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Paegle, J.

Publications and source records attributed to Paegle, J..

At least 19 records

The analysis sensitivity to tropical winds from the Global Weather Experiment

The global scale divergent and rotational flow components of the Global Weather Experiment (GWE) are diagnosed from three different analyses of the data. The rotational flow shows closer agreement between the analyses than does the divergent flow. Although the major outflow and inflow centers are similarly placed in all analyses, the global kinetic energy of the divergent wind varies by about a factor of 2 between different analyses while the global kinetic energy of the rotational wind varies by only about 10 percent between the analyses. A series of real data assimilation experiments has been performed with the GLA general circulation model using different amounts of tropical wind data during the First Special Observing Period of the Global Weather Experiment. In exeriment 1, all available tropical wind data were used; in the second experiment, tropical wind data were suppressed; while, in the third and fourth experiments, only tropical wind data with westerly and easterly components, respectively, were assimilated. The rotational wind appears to be more sensitive to the presence or absence of tropical wind data than the divergent wind. It appears that the model, given only extratropical observations, generates excessively strong upper tropospheric westerlies. These biases are sufficiently pronounced to amplify the globally integrated rotational flow kinetic energy by about 10 percent and the global divergent flow kinetic energy by about a factor of 2. Including only easterly wind data in the tropics is more effective in controlling the model error than including only westerly wind data. This conclusion is especially noteworthy because approximately twice as many upper tropospheric westerly winds were available in these cases as easterly winds.

Paegle, J.

Large-amplitude, short-scale stationary Rossby waves in the Southern Hemisphere - Observations and mechanistic experiments to determine their origin

Further observational evidence of the existence of large-amplitude stationary waves in the Southern Hemisphere during January 1979 is presented. Possible forcing mechanisms for the stationary waves are discussed, and two control experimental forecasts are presented: 15-day integrations with the GLAS Fourth Order GCM, starting from January 5 and Febuary 4, 1979. These forecasts are compared with the GLAS analyses for the same periods, discussing the extent to which the observed January waves are reproduced in the forecast. Several mechanistic experiments are reported in which the Andean orography, tropical heating, regional heating, and initial westerly flow are artificially modified. The effects of these changes on the stationary waves are discussed.

Kalnay, E.

Vertical structure of the wind field during the Special Observing Period I of the Global Weather Experiment

The vertical structure of the global atmosphere is analyzed for selected periods of the Special Observing Period I (SOP-I) for the Global Weather Experiment (GWE). The analysis consists of projection of the stream-function and velocity potential at 200 and 850 mb on spherical harmonics and of the wind and height fields on the normal modes of a linearized form of the primitive equations for a basic state at rest. The kinematic vertical structure is discussed in terms of correlation coefficients of the 200 mb and 850 mb winds and analysis of the internal and external normal modes of the primitive equations. The reliability of the results is checked by applying the same analysis methods to data sets obtained from three different institutions: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), and Goddard Laboratory for the Atmospheres (GLA). It is found that, on a global basis, vertically reversing circulations are as important as the equivalent barotropic structures. For the verticaly reversing components, the gravity and mixed Rossby-gravity modes have contributions of the same order of magnitude as those of the Rossby modes in tropical latitudes.

Paegle, J. N.

Interhemispheric interactions

Diagnoses of global data sets are presented that indicate strong coupling between the regions of enhanced tropical convection of the summer hemisphere and subtropical jet stream maxima of the winter hemisphere. One curious aspect of this coupling is that it tends to occur through zones of easterly winds at upper tropospheric levels. This characterizes the El Nino event of 1983, an upper connection of the Asian monsoon to the Australian jet in FGGE and DST data and shorter term transitions during the First Special Observing Period of FGGE. The reasons for the apparent propagation through easterly wind zones remain to be clarified.

Paegle, J.

Boundary layer control of nocturnal convection associated with a synoptic scale system

Well defined nocturnal convection, together with distinct maximum precipitation events in Nebraska, were associated with strong diurnal wind oscillations at 850 mb in Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri in the present study of pronounced precipitation and low level circulation variations over the Great Plains on May 5-10, 1979. A numerical prediction model, used to relate boundary layer flow modulations to synoptic scale flow for this case, is driven by a diurnal cycle. Experimental forecasts displayed diurnal wind modulations at 500 m, with rising motions of the order of 4 cm/sec at the 2200 m level, along the leading edge of the nocturnal jet.

Astling, E. G.

Global scale diagnoses of FGGE data

Descriptive global scale diagnoses of the First Global Atmospheric Research Experiment SOP-1 analyses were made and compared against controlled, real data integrations of the Goddard Laboratory of Atmospheric Science (GLAS) general circulation model (GCM) as well as other data sets. The effects of critical latitudes were studied; the influence of tropical wind data and latent heating upon the GLAS GCM was diagnosed; planetary wave structure on various time scales from the diurnal to the monthly was studied; and the GLAS analyses were compared with other analyses. Short term controlled GLAS GCM integrations show that: (1) the inclusion of tropical wind data in real data integrations has an important influence in the mid-latitude prediction in both hemispheres; and (2) the tropical divergent wind reacts almost immediately to alteration of the tropical latent heating. The presence or absence of zonally averaged easterlies depends strongly upon the presence of tropical latent heating.

Paegle, J.

The influence of tropical wind data on the analysis and forecasts of the GLAS GCM for the Global Weather Experiment

Several densities of tropical divergent wind data were included in a fourth-order GCM to examine the effects on the accuracy of the model predictions. The experiments covered assimilation of all available tropical wind data, no tropical wind data between 20 deg N and 20 deg S, only westerly tropical wind data and only easterly tropical wind data. The predictions were all made for the 200 mb upper troposphere. Elimination of tropical data produced excessively strong upper tropospheric westerlies which in turn amplified the globally integrated rotational flow kinetic energy by around 10 percent and doubled the global divergent flow kinetic energy. Retaining only easterly wind data, ameliorated most of the error. Inclusion of all the tropical wind data however, did not lead to overall positive effects, as the data were linked to tropical wave energetics and ageostrophic winds which were already assimilated in the model.

Paegle, J.

Global Scale Diagnosis of FGGE Data

The objective was to perform descriptive global-scale diagnoses of the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) First GARP Global Experiment (GLAS) SOP-1 analyses and to compare these diagnoses against controlled, real-data integrations of the GLAS General Circulation Model (GCM) as well as other data sets. The effects of critical latitudes, the diagnoses of the influence of tropical wind data and latent heating upon the GLAS GCM, investigations of planetary wave structure on various time scales from the diurnal to the monthly, and comparison of the GLAS analyses with other analyses are discussed.

Paegle, J.

The role of barotropic oscillations within atmospheres of highly variable refractive index

Among the various energy transfer mechanisms that might be relevant for teleconnections between tropical and higher latitudes, Rossby wave propagation is certainly one of the most important. In view of this, it is of interest to understand how the propagation of Rossby waves might be affected by ambient flows which locally may be unable to sustain oscillations due to vorticity gradients. This concept is re-examined based on the observation that there are large areas over the Pacific where the upper tropospheric absolute vorticity and its horizontal gradient are small. These key areas for teleconnections might be suspected to be unfavorable to the local propagation of Rossby waves. Results of integrations of the barotropic vorticity equation on the sphere are presented to show the role that regions with small absolute vorticity gradient play in this problem. Implications regarding the maintenance of blocks and the influence of divergent effects are also addressed.

Paegle, J.

The influence of the tropics on the prediction of ultralong waves. I - Tropical wind field

The effects of tropical wind data from the FGGE and tropical latent heating on numerical modeling of ultralong waves are considered in a two-part study. The model studied is the global fourth-order GLAS general circulation model, an energy-conserving format with horizontal differences calculated with fourth-order accuracy. Data assimilation experiments were performed with and without the wind data, with account taken of eastward and northward wind components, the geopotential height, and the relative humidity, all over pressure surfaces. The initial conditions were used to generate six pairs of forecasts, and the tropical wind error decreased after two days of prediction when the initial conditions contained the wind data. The deviations from the measured planetary wave data were attributed to differences in the initial rotational wind field, which varied on a three-day basis. The latent heat initial data had a five-day period and extended its influence beyond the tropical zone. The tropical heat sources sustained the tropical westerlies in the GLAS model, and removal of the tropical heat sources reversed the wind to easterlies.

Baker, W. E.

Large amplitude stationary Rossby waves in the southern hemisphere - Observations and theory

Further observational evidence is presented for the existence of large amplitude short stationary waves during the month of January, 1979 in the lee side of South America. These waves are noted not to have been produced by either topography or CISK; their cause was probably related to stronger tropical convective heating over the Amazon and central Pacific during January. This source of stationary forcing was associated with the weaker easterlies and stronger westerlies in the topics, which allowed free propagation of the energy from the stationary forcing into the extratropics.

Kalnay, E.

The influence of the tropics upon the prediction of the Southern Hemisphere circulation within the GLAS GCM

An examination is undertaken of the sensitivity of short term Southern Hemisphere circulation prediction to tropical wind data and tropical latent heat release. The data assimilation experiments employ the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences' fourth-order general circulation model. Two of the experiments are identical, but for the fact that one uses tropical wind data while the other does not. A third experiment contains the identical initial conditions of forecasts with tropical winds, while suppressing tropical latent heat release.

Baker, W. E.

Modes of inter-hemispheric wave propagation

Attention is given to observations made in connection with the First GARP (Global Atmospheric Research Program) Global Experiment (FGGE), taking into account the average 200 mb zonal wind for two periods during the First Special Observing Period of FGGE, and the 200 mb velocity potential. The meridional linkages implied in the observations involve sources south of 15 deg N, and the most active extratropical patterns are collocated with regions of tropical easterlies. The possibility is investigated that the theory of reduced Rossby wave propagation through easterlies is not sufficiently general to cover the considered observations, taking into account a shallow water model. It is found that the meridional interactions cannot be associated with Rossby waves because these waves connot be generated in the regions of zero absolute vorticity gradient within which the forcing is embedded.

Paegle, J.

Large-scale motions of the tropics in observations and theory

Charney (1963) characterized the tropical atmosphere in terms of a superposition of large regions of nearly nondivergent circulations containing local subdomains, or 'fissures', of active convection and latent heating. Tropical wave evolution is then appropriately treated in terms of quasi-rotational waves, to the extent that the divergent contribution is small. An attempt is presently made to interpret recent tropical analyses in the aforementioned terms, suggesting extensions of the simplest quasi-rotational model capable of reconciling observations and theory. First GARP Global Experiment (FGGE) observations suggest that strongly divergent local tropical circulations are forced by latent heating and produce important direct modifications of the total wind field; after describing the extent to which the resulting field consists of divergent and rotational components in different analyses of the FGGE data, independent supporting documentation of the results in terms of heating estimates and rainfall observations are given.

Paegle, J.

Global-scale weekly and monthly energetics during January and February 1979

Time averages of the latitudinal distribution of kinetic energy and terms of the kinetic energy equation are presented as depicted by analyses of the First GARP Global Experiment during the First Special Observing Period. It is found that the monthly averages exhibit peaks in the stationary wave energy at 30 degrees N and in the tropics, while global decompositions of the streamfunction and velocity potential in spherical harmonics are truncated at the fourth degree. The kinetic energy distribution of the associated wind field displays peaks in the tropics and northern mid-latitudes in January, but only a tropical peak in February. These analyses support the Eliassen-Palm relationship for latitudinal momentum and geopotential wave transport, particularly in the mid-latitudes. However, in the deep tropics, latitudinal convergence of the fully resolved stationary wave momentum transport accompanies latitudinal convergence of stationary wave geopotential flux in westerly flow.

Paegle, J.

Planetary-scale characteristics of the atmospheric circulation during January and February 1979

The global scale mass and wind fields observed during FGGE special observing period (SOP) are studied, with attention given to the time variation and vertical structure of the ultralong waves. A spherical harmonic representation is developed for the global fields. The tropical circulation is found to imprint more amplitude on the lower-order components than the midlatitude circulation does. High amplitude oscillations are determined to be present in the divergent fields on all time scales, i.e., diurnal to monthly. The global scale wind was found to change on scales approaching a week. Good agreement with teleconnection predictions was demonstrated for the cross-equatorial divergent and zonal rotational flow changes. The global scale was concluded to resemble force modes of linear tidal theory, with important contributions from longitudinal heating gradients.

Paegle, J.

The role of zonally asymmetric heating in the vertical and temporal structure of the global scale flow fields during FGGE SOP-1

The global scale structure of atmospheric flow is best documented on time scales longer than a few days. Theoretical and observational studies of ultralong waves have emphasized forcing due to global scale variations of topography and surface heat flux, possibly interacting with baroclinically unstable or vertically refracting basic flows. Analyses of SOP-1 data in terms of global scale spherical harmonics is documented with emphasis upon weekly transitions.

Paegle, J.

The role of zonally asymmetric heating in the vertical and temporal structure of the global scale flow fields during FGGE SOP-1

By examining the vertical structure of the low order spherical harmonics of the divergence and vorticity fields, the relative contribution of tropical and monsoonal circulations upon the global wind fields was estimated. This indicates that the overall flow over North America and the Pacific between January and February is quite distinct both in the lower and upper troposphere. In these longitudes there is a stronger tropical overturning and subtropical jet stream in January than February. The divergent flow reversed between 850 and 200 mb. Poleward rotational flow at upper levels is associated with an equatorward rotational flow at low levels. This suggests that the monsoon and other tropical circulations project more amplitude upon low order (global scale) representations of the flow than do the typical midlatitude circulations and that their structures show conspicuous changes on a time scale of a week or less.

Paegle, J.