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Pan, Rong

Publications and source records attributed to Pan, Rong.

Comparing D-optimal designs with common mixture experimental designs for logistic regression

Mixture experiments are used in applications where the proportion of mixing components affects a response variable, such as in studies involving chemical formulations. In many applications, the response is dichotomous or binary (e.g., pass or fail) and a concern for researchers is how to efficiently and informatively design such experiments. A naive approach is to use design recommendations derived from linear normal-theory models with constant variance. In this research, we investigate the potential risks of such designs by comparing them to D-optimal mixture designs for binary responses and evaluating the D-efficiency of these design alternatives for several parameter subspaces. Standard designs for normal theory models generally do not work well for binary responses due to the tendency of these designs to favor boundary points. In addition, D-optimal mixture designs for binary responses tend to locate design points in the region where the magnitude of predicted response probabilities are moderate. Lastly, we recommend that researchers pay close attention to what is known about the characteristics of the underlying process models in selecting appropriate mixture designs for binary-response applications.

D-optimality↗

Bayesian Analysis of Step-Stress Accelerated Life Test with Exponential Distribution

In this article, we propose a general Bayesian inference approach to the step-stress accelerated life test with type II censoring. We assume that the failure times at each stress level are exponentially distributed and the test units are tested in an increasing order of stress levels. We formulate the prior distribution of the parameters of life-stress function and integrate the engineering knowledge of product failure rate and acceleration factor into the prior. The posterior distribution and the point estimates for the parameters of interest are provided. Through the Markov chain Monte Carlo technique, we demonstrate a nonconjugate prior case using an industrial example. It is shown that with the Bayesian approach, the statistical precision of parameter estimation is improved and, consequently, the required number of failures could be reduced.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗