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Parrish, Alan

Publications and source records attributed to Parrish, Alan.

20 Years of ClO Measurements in the Antarctic Lower Stratosphere

We present 20 years (1996-2015) of austral springtime measurements of chlorine monoxide (ClO) over Antarctica from the Chlorine Oxide Experiment (ChlOEl) ground-based millimeter wave spectrometer at Scott Base, Antarctica, as well 12 years (2004-2015) of ClO measurements from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS). From August onwards we observe a strong increase in lower stratospheric ClO, with a peak column amount usually occurring in early September. From mid-September onwards we observe a strong decrease in ClO. In order to study interannual differences, we focus on a 3-week period from 28 August to 17 September for each year and compare the average column ClO anomalies. These column ClO anomalies are shown to be highly correlated with the average ozone mass deficit for September and October of each year. We also show that anomalies in column ClO are strongly anti-correlated with 30 hPa temperature anomalies, both on a daily and an interannual timescale. Making use of this anti-correlation we calculate the linear dependence of the interannual variations in column C1O on interannual variations in temperature. By making use of this relationship, we can better estimate the underlying trend in the total chlorine (Cl(sub y) = HCl + ClONO2 + HOCl + 2 x Cl2 + 2 x Cl2+ ClO + Cl). The resultant trends in Cl(sub y), which determine the long-term trend in ClO, are estimated to be -0.5 +/-0.2, -1.40.9, and -0.60.4% per year, for zonal MLS, Scott Base MLS (both 2004-2015), and ChlOE (1996-2015) respectively. These trends are within 1sigma of trends in stratospheric Cl(sub y) previously found at other latitudes. The decrease in ClO is consistent with the trend expected from regulations enacted under the Montreal Protocol.

temperature anomalies↗

Ground Based, Millimeter Wave Measurement of Ozone in the Middle Atmosphere

There is a need for highly reliable measurements of stratospheric ozone. Policy makers worldwide concerned with public health rely oil a clear consensus from the scientific community as a basis for ozone-related environmental policy that has a significant impact oil national economies. Tile latest Such consensus was presented in WMO, and used in a 1999 meeting of the parties considering amendments to the Montreal Protocol oil Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. Tile scientific community, in turn, needs highly precise and accurate measurements of ozone levels, and small time derivatives of these levels, both in continued - development of its understanding of the physical and chemical processes involved and as clear evidence that these processes are occurring as stated. Over most of the world, changes in ozone levels are small. For example, over the heavily populated northern midlatitudes, the linearized rate of ozone decline is between 0.2% per year and 0.7% per year, depending on altitude. These values are small enough to make measurement requirements technically challenging. Data quality may suffer from imperfections in individual instruments. In one instance, early results from a satellite-borne ozone sensor were later found to be invalid because of calibration drift. Even in the absence of drift, tile absolute calibration of a new sensor may differ slightly from that of its predecessor in service. Most ozone remote sensing instruments operate at ultraviolet or infrared wavelengths where scattering from dust and aerosols must be taken into account; results from these systems may be or are affected following a major volcanic eruption, such as tile one at Mt. Pinatubo in 1991. Given these difficulties, a consensus of measurements from several independent systems is required to insure a reliable understanding of stratospheric ozone levels. Because of the above-described need for highly precise and accurate ozone measurements using several independent techniques, there was interest in developing several techniques which were known but not highly developed in the 1980's into systems capable of being used in ail operational manner to make measurements with the level of quality needed to-detect small trends in ozone levels. A ground-based microwave instrument capable of remotely sensing stratospheric ozone had been designed by tile Principal Investigator of the present project. This instrument was built at tile Millitech Corporation in South Deerfield, Massachusetts before tile present work began. (Funding for design and construction of the instrument came from sources other than the present grant.) Tile instrument measured the spectrum of one of the many emission lines produced by purely rotational transitions of ozone, one at a frequency of 110.8 GHz. The altitude distribution of ozone can. in principle, be retrieved from the details of the pressure-broadened spectrum of the ozone transition. However, the level of contamination of the spectral measurement by instrumentally induced artifacts must be very low in order to retrieve a ozone profile of useful quality from it. The Millitech instrument demonstrated spectral purity at ail adequate level, and there were promising ideas for instrumental improvements and for further development of the technique. The initial objectives of the present project, then, were to develop techniques for calibrating the Millitech instrument, to minimize artifacts in tile spectra it produces, to optimally retrieve ozone profiles from tile spectra, to test tile quality of the microwave profiles by comparing them with profiles obtained using several other, independent techniques over both short and periods of time, and to perform research using the ozone data gathered with the instrument.

Parrish, Alan↗

Ground-based microwave monitoring of middle atmosphere ozone: Comparison to lidar and Stratospheric and Gas Experiment 2 satellite observations

A dedicated ground-based microwave radiometer was in operation to monitor the middle atmospheric ozone concentration at Table Mountain Facility (TMF) of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), California (34.4 deg N, 117.7 deg W) from July 1989 to June 1992, as a part of the Network for Detection of Stratospheric Change. Ozone profiles from 56 to 0.04 mbar (approximately 20 - 70 km) were retrieved from the microwave data. The focus in this paper is to validate the microwave ozone observations from 56 to 1 mbar by comparing the results from a JPL ground-based lidar located at the same site and from the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment 2 (SAGE 2) satellite overpasses within 1000 km of TMF and to examine the ability of these instruments to detect short-term, seasonal, and annual variations in ozone. The profile comparison results show that the mean differences of microwave ozone from lidar and SAGE 2 are about 5% or less and the root-mean-square scatter about the mean is mainly from the precision of the instruments. A correlation analysis of ozone time series suggests highly significant correlations up to 2.4 mbar between lidar and microwave measurements and up to 1 mbar between SAGE 2 and microwave. The short-term and seasonal variation of the ozone profile seen in the microwave measurements is shown to be consistent with the observations of lidar and SAGE 2, and the interannual variation of ozone appears to be detectable within an accuracy of a few percent with the microwave instrument.

Tsou, J. J.↗

Error analysis for the ground-based microwave ozone measurements during STOIC

We present a formal error analysis and characterization of the microwave measurements made during the Stratospheric Ozone Intercomparison Campaign (STOIC). The most important error sources are found to be determination of the tropospheric opacity, the pressure-broadening coefficient of the observed line, and systematic variations in instrument response as a function of frequency ('baseline'). Net precision is 4-6% between 55 and 0.2 mbar, while accuracy is 6-10%. Resolution is 8-10 km below 3 mbar and increases to 17km at 0.2 mbar. We show the 'blind' microwave measurements from STOIC and make limited comparisons to other measurements. We use the averaging kernels of the microwave measurement to eliminate resolution and a priori effects from a comparison to SAGE 2. The STOIC results and comparisons are broadly consistent with the formal analysis.

Connor, Brian J.↗

Ground-based microwave observations of ozone in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere

A 9-month-long series of mesurements of ozone in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere is reported. The measurements are presented as monthly averages of profiles in blocks of roughly 20 min local time and as night-to-day ratios. An error analysis predicts accuracies of 5-26% for the monthly profiles and 2.5-9% for the ratios. The data are compared to historical data from Solar Mesosphere Explorer (SME) and limb infrared monitor of the stratosphere (LIMS), and it is shown how to remove the effect of different vertical resolution from the comparisons. The microwave data typically agree to better than 10% with SMF and nighttime LIMS ozone at all altitudes below the 0.1-mbar surface. Comparison of the microwave night-to-day ratio with the corresponding ratio from LIMS suggests that nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium effects in the LIMS daytime data exceed 10% at all pressures less than or equal to 1 mbar.

Connor, Brian J.↗

Model/data comparisons of ozone in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere

We compare ground-based microwave observations of ozone in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere with daytime observations made from the SME (Solar Mesosphere Explorer) satellite, with nighttime data from the LIMS instrument, and with a diurnal photochemical model. The results suggest that the data are all in reasonable agreement and that the model-data discrepancy is much less than previously thought, particularly in the mesosphere. This appears to be due to the fact that the latest data are lower than earlier reports and the updated model predicts more ozone than older versions. The model and the data agree to within a factor of 1.5 at all altitudes and typically are within 20 percent.

Siskind, David E.↗

Detection of stratospheric ozone trends by ground-based microwave observations

We present an assessment of the trend detection capabilities of ground-based microwave measurements of ozone, focusing on the 20-60 km region. Uncertainty due to variable forward model and calibration errors is 3-5 percent; due to temperature profile errors, 1-2 percent; and due to spectral measurement errors, 1-3 percent. The measurement resolution is 8-10 km below 40 km, and increases to 17 km at 60 km. The net error for trend detection is 4-6 percent. Comparison with other measurements suggests interannual variations can be measured to 3-5 percent. We conclude a trend of 0.5 percent per year would be detected in about 10 years.

Connor, Brian J.↗

Millimeter-wave ozone measurements for the network for the detection of stratospheric change

The primary research objective is to initiate long-term monitoring of stratospheric ozone with a ground-based millimeter-wave spectrometer, the first of several such instruments projected to be part of the Network for the Detection of Stratospheric Change. The ultimate goal of this monitoring is twofold. First, to detect any secular trend in stratospheric ozone abundance, whether of natural or anthropogenic origin and, second, to provide ground-truth validation for existing and future satellite measurements of ozone. With this goal in mind, a more immediate objective is to validate the millimeter-wave measurements by tests of the instrument, internal consistency tests on the data, and most importantly, by intercomparison with all other available ozone measurements. The validation process is expected to lead to refinements in the instrument and its operating procedures and in the data analysis. The final objective is to perform short-term scientific studies with the data, including studies of the ozone diurnal and seasonal variations, and comparison of ozone variations with changes in other geophysical parameters, notably temperature and water vapor. Routine observations are now ongoing; these will allow continuing intercomparisons with the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) and one of the lidars, which is permanently on site. The experience gained during the Stratospheric Ozone Intercomparison (STOIC) caused us to refine our calibration procedures and identify the need for internal shielding of the millimeter receiver from radio frequency interference. Installation of this shielding is planned for the near future and should allow improvements in the instrument calibration and a higher signal-to-noise ratio, both of which will result in improved measurement precision.

Connor, Brian J.↗