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Patel, Lekha

Publications and source records attributed to Patel, Lekha.

At least 19 records

Radioisotope Identification with List-Mode Gamma Ray Data: A rigorous assessment on the value of temporal information applied to radioisotope identification.

This work explores the potential of utilizing temporal data from gamma-ray detectors, known as list-mode data, to enhance radioisotope identification. Traditional identification methods, which rely on full gamma-ray spectrum analysis, often require long dwell times and struggle with “confuser” sources, or spectra with similarly spaced spectral peaks. We hypothesize that by leveraging the probabilistic nature of nuclear decay and the time-encoded information from decay sequences and interactions with surrounding materials, we can improve classification accuracy over static spectral analysis. This research rigorously examines the temporal content of list-mode data through exploratory data analysis via correlation discovery and information theory. We further propose a basic classification model that can utilize spectral or temporal data (or both) to determine if the incorporation of temporal information can improve radioisotope identification. The findings suggest that the temporal information present in list-mode gamma-ray data has merit and should be further investigated.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Methane Integrated Monitoring and Measurement System Design

Methane (CH 4 ), an abundant greenhouse gas, is the second largest contributor to global warming after carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). In comparison to CO 2 , CH 4 has a larger warming effect over a much shorter lifetime. While technologies to radically reduce global carbon dioxide emissions are materializing, rapid reductions in methane emissions are needed to limit near-term warming. Methane is primarily emitted as a byproduct from agricultural activities and energy extraction/utilization and is currently monitored via bottom-up (i.e., activity level) or top-down (via airborne or satellite retrievals) approaches. However, significant methane leaks remain undetected, and emission rates are challenging to characterize with current monitoring frameworks. In this report, we study methane leaks from oil and gas infrastructure using a tiered monitoring approach that combines bottom-up and top-down approaches in an integrated framework. We describe the individual advantages of bottom-up and top-down sensors in both stationary and mobile settings before characterizing how a fully integrated framework can improve predictions and uncertainties of potential leak locations and their emission rates. Further, we study the impact of different atmospheric (wind) conditions on integrated methane monitoring and develop a probabilistic approach to optimal sensor placement, thereby shortening detection times and improving monitoring capabilities. Last, we discuss how biogenic flux modeling can be used to improve assessment of background methane concentrations needed to fully assess the sensitivity of a tiered monitoring system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Pluminate: Quantifying aerosol injection behavior from simulation, experimentation and observations

Marine aerosol injections are a key component in further understanding of both the potentials of deliberate injection for marine cloud brightening (MCB), a potential climate intervention (CI) strategy, and key aerosol-cloud interaction behaviors that currently form the largest uncertainty in global climate model (GCM) predictions of our climate. Since the rate of spread of aerosols in a marine environment directly translates to the effectiveness and ability of aerosol injections in impacting cloud radiative forcing, it is crucial to understand the spatial and temporal extent of injected-aerosol effects following direct injection into marine environments. The ubiquity of ship-injected aerosol tracks from satellite imagery renders observational validation of new parameterizations possible in 2D, however, 3D compatible data is more scarce, and necessary for the development of subgrid scale parameterizations of aerosol-cloud interactions in GCMs. This report introduces two novel parameterizations of atmospheric aerosol injection behavior suitable for both 3D (GCM-compatible) and 2D (observation-related) modeling. Their applicability is highlighted using a wealth of different observational data: small and larger scale salt-aerosol injection experiments conducted at SNL, 3D large eddy simulations of ship-injected aerosol tracks and 2D satellite images of ship tracks. The power of experimental data in enhancing knowledge of aerosol-cloud interactions is in particular emphasized by studying key aerosol microphysical and optical properties as observed through their mixing in cloud-like environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improving and Assessing the Quality of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning

Deep learning (DL) models have enjoyed increased attention in recent years because of their powerful predictive capabilities. While many successes have been achieved, standard deep learning methods suffer from a lack of uncertainty quantification (UQ). While the development of methods for producing UQ from DL models is an active area of current research, little attention has been given to the quality of the UQ produced by such methods. In order to deploy DL models to high-consequence applications, high-quality UQ is necessary. This report details the research and development conducted as part of a Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Sandia National Laboratories. The focus of this project is to develop a framework of methods and metrics for the principled assessment of UQ quality in DL models. This report presents an overview of UQ quality assessment in traditional statistical modeling and describes why this approach is difficult to apply in DL contexts. An assessment on relatively simple simulated data is presented to demonstrate that UQ quality can differ greatly between DL models trained on the same data. A method for simulating image data that can then be used for UQ quality assessment is described. A general method for simulating realistic data for the purpose of assessing a model’s UQ quality is also presented. A Bayesian uncertainty framework for understanding uncertainty and existing metrics is described. Research that came out of collaborations with two university partners are discussed along with a software toolkit that is currently being developed to implement the UQ quality assessment framework as well as serve as a general guide to incorporating UQ into DL applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Influence of NaCl concentration on the optical scattering properties of water-based aerosols

We present the characterization of several atmospheric aerosol analogs in a tabletop chamber and an analysis of how the concentration of NaCl present in these aerosols influences their bulk optical properties. Atmospheric aerosols (e.g., fog and haze) degrade optical signal via light–aerosol interactions causing scattering and absorption, which can be described by Mie theory. This attenuation is a function of the size distribution and number concentration of droplets in the light path. These properties are influenced by ambient conditions and the droplet’s composition, as described by Köhler theory. It is therefore possible to tune the wavelength-dependent bulk optical properties of an aerosol by controlling droplet composition. We present experimentation wherein we generated multiple microphysically and optically distinct atmospheric aerosol analogs using salt water solutions with varying concentrations of NaCl. The results demonstrate that changing the NaCl concentration has a clear and predictable impact on the microphysical and optical properties of the aerosol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Toward data assimilation of ship-induced aerosol–cloud interactions

Satellite imagery can detect temporary cloud trails or ship tracks formed from aerosols emitted from large ships traversing our oceans, a phenomenon that global climate models cannot directly reproduce. Ship tracks are observable examples of marine cloud brightening, a potential solar climate intervention that shows promise in helping combat climate change. In this paper, we demonstrate a simulation-based approach in learning the behavior of ship tracks based upon a novel stochastic emulation mechanism. Our method uses wind fields to determine the movement of aerosol–cloud tracks and uses a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) to model their persistence behavior. This SPDE incorporates both a drift and diffusion term which describes the movement of aerosol particles via wind and their diffusivity through the atmosphere, respectively. We first present our proposed approach with examples using simulated wind fields and ship paths. We then successfully demonstrate our tool by applying the approximate Bayesian computation method-sequential Monte Carlo for data assimilation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗