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Patrick Minnis

Publications and source records attributed to Patrick Minnis.

At least 19 records

Impact of COVID-19-related Air Traffic Reductions on the Coverage and Radiative Effects of Linear Persistent Contrails over Conterminous United States and Surrounding Oceanic Routes

The radiative effects of the large-scale air traffic slowdown during Apr and May 2020 due to the international response to the COVID-19 pandemic are estimated by comparing the coverage (CC), optical properties, and radiative forcing of persistent linear contrails over the conterminous United States and two surrounding oceanic air corridors during the slowdown period and a similar baseline period during 2018 and 2019 when air traffic was unrestricted. The detected CC during the slowdown period decreased by an area-averaged mean of 41% for the three analysis boxes. The retrieved contrail optical properties were mostly similar for both periods. Total shortwave contrail radiative forcings during the slowdown were 34 and 42% smaller for Terra and Aqua, respectively. The corresponding differences for longwave contrail radiative forcing were 33% for Terra and 40% for Aqua. To account for the impact of any changes in the atmospheric environment between baseline and slowdown periods on detected CC amounts, the contrail formation potential (CFP) was computed from reanalysis data. In addition, a filtered CFP (fCFP) was also developed to account for factors that may affect contrail formation and visibility of persistent contrails in satellite imagery. The CFP and fCFP were combined with air traffic density data to create empirical models that estimated CC during the baseline and slowdown periods and were compared to the detected CC. The models confirm that decreases in CC and radiative forcing during the slowdown period were mostly due to the reduction in air traffic, and partly due to environmental changes.

contrails↗

Quantification of Global Cloud Properties with Use of Spherical Harmonic Functions

Spherical harmonic (SH) expansion is a useful tool to study any variable that has valid values at all latitudes and longitudes. The variable can be quantified as a sum of different spherical harmonic components, which are the spherical harmonic functions multiplied by their expansion coefficients. We find that the SH components of cloud radiative effect (CRE) have correlations with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Hadley Circulation (HC). In particular, the expansion degree 2 (l = 2) SH power spectrum component anomaly of CRE is strongly correlated with ENSO. The two dipole patterns appearing in the l = 2 SH component anomaly map can be reasonably explained by a known mechanism of ENSO’s impact on cloud properties. The l = 3 and l = 5 SH power spectrum components are correlated with HC intensity, whereas the l = 6 and l = 8 components are correlated with HC latitudinal widths. In ENSO warm and cold phases, the HC-correlated SH components have opposite anomalies, which suggests the impact of ENSO on HC. This study illustrates that the SH expansion technique provides a different perspective to study the impacts of large-scale atmospheric circulation on global cloud properties and radiative effects.

clouds↗

Advances in Neural Network Detection and Retrieval of Multilayer Clouds for CERES Using Multispectral Satellite Data

An artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm, employing several Aqua MODIS infrared channels, the retrieved total cloud visible optical depth, and vertical humidity profiles is trained to detect multilayer (ML) ice-over-water cloud systems as identified by matched CloudSat and CALIPSO (CC) data. The multilayer ANN, or MLANN, algorithm is also trained to retrieve the optical depth and the top and base heights of the upper-layer ice clouds in ML systems. The trained MLANN was applied to independent MODIS data resulting in a combined ML and single layer hit rate of 80% (77%) for nonpolar regions during the day (night). The results are more accurate than currently available methods and the previous version of the MLANN. Upper-layer cloud top and base heights are accurate to ±1.2 km and ±1.6 km, respectively, while the uncertainty in optical depth is ±0.457 and ±0.556 during day and night, respectively. Areas of further improvement and development are identified and will be addressed in future versions of the MLANN.

CERES↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-19259-DND

In climate and Earth energy budget studies, understanding the presence and distribution of clouds is an essential first step. AVHRR measurements comprise the longest record of imager data from a common instrument for remote sensing of cloud and radiation properties. The NASA LaRC AVHRR cloud mask is a global cloud detection algorithm used as part of the Climate Data Record (CDR) project initiated by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). The objective of CDR program is to provide climate information derived from weather satellite data for more than 30 years. Recent improvements in the LaRC AVHRR cloud mask include detecting more daytime small cumulus and thin Cirrus in tropical oceans, especially over Sun Glint regions, better discrimination between polar clouds and snow ice surfaces including nighttime over Antarctica where 3.7 μm signals are noisy, and enhancement of nighttime ocean thin Cirrus and low clouds detection. Monthly averaged global and zonal cloud fractions from improved NOAA 18 AVHRR cloud mask compare well with CERES-MODIS Edition 4 (CM Ed4), MODIS team, and CALIPSO cloud mask. Spatially and temporally matched cloud detection statistics between NOAA 18 AVHRR and CALIPSO cloud mask will also be presented.

Qing Z Trepte↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-13349-DND

Progress on the effort to calibrate historical AVHRR solar channels and derive a CERES-consistent cloud climatology form AVHRR data is presented.

Patrick Minnis↗

Examination of Regional Trends in Low Level Cloud Properties Found in the Aqua-MODIS Satellite Record

Clouds have a pronounced influence on the Earth?s climate. Relative to cloud free conditions, they cool the planet by increasing the amount of solar radiation reflected back to space and reducing the amount of sunlight reaching the surface, but they warm the planet by decreasing the amount of thermal infrared radiation escaping to space and increasing the amount reaching the surface (a greenhouse effect). The global mean net cloud radiative effect (CRE) is about -20 W/m2, a cooling effect at both the top-ofatmosphere and surface. Given the magnitude of CRE?s, it is expected that changes in cloud properties could be a significant factor in climate change due to anthropogenic forcing?s, yet cloud feedbacks are not well known and remain one of the largest uncertainties in climate prediction. This paper explores relationships between coincident observations of atmospheric aerosols, clouds and radiation derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and from the Clouds and the Earth?s Radiant Energy System (CERES) instruments on the Aqua satellite. We investigate several interesting regional trends that have emerged in the nearly 18-year satellite record that suggest correlation between changes in low-level cloud properties and changes in aerosol optical depth that may be associated with changes in pollution emissions and possibly with other factors. MERRA reanalysis of meteorological conditions and aerosol particulate species are investigated to help better understand the potential mechanisms responsible for the observed cloud property trends. Finally, we analyze a new CERES flux by cloud type dataset in order to try and isolate the associated trends in low-level cloud radiative effects. It is anticipated that this study using long-term observations of clouds, aerosols and radiative fluxes combined with model reanalysis data will contribute to an improved understanding of cloud climate feedbacks.

William L Smith Jr.↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-32467-DND

With the launch of a new generation of Geostationary satellites (GEO) such as Himawari and GOES-16 & 17, cloud detection using satellite imager data has been greatly enhanced with increased spectral bands, and higher temporal and spatial resolutions. A concern for all geostationary sensors, however, are changes in instrument sensitivity and algorithm performance at different viewing for daytime and nighttime. CALIPSO lidar observations provide a valuable reference for assessing these impacts as the satellite flies in a sun-synchronous orbit and crosses a wide range of GEO viewing angles each day. This paper will present the cloud mask results using the imager data from Himawari (AHI) and GOES-16&17 (ABI). The detection algorithms have been adapted from the Cloud and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) MODIS Edition 4 cloud mask, and adjusted and tuned to geo-satellites. They are used operationally for the CERES Time and Space Averaging (TISA) gridded cloud products and for near-real-time retrievals for weather and nowcasting applications.

Qing Z. Trepte↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-13135-DND

Aircraft Icing - Aircraft structures act as ice nuclei in supercooled clouds - ice collects, weight increases, plane falls - Pilots need to know where and when icing can occur - PIREPS are first order: sparse, aircraft dependent, location uncertain - Model analyses and forecasts: freezing levels, cloud expectations - radar => precipitation - All combined in NCAR/FAA/NOAA/NASA program to provide Current Icing Product (CIP) & Forecast Icing product (FIP) analyses to pilots (CONUS) - some inadequacies remain - NWP uncertainties, intensity, altitude of icing, etc. - Operational satellites can add valuable information - indirectly: input of cloud properties to CIP & NWP - directly: determination of icing threat from real time satellite data

William L Smith↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-16529-DND

This work is reporting progress made for CERES GGEO LW improvement using Narrowband to Broadband radiance conversion algorithm and LW Angular Distribution Model (ADM) and normalization technique.

Moguo Sun↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-17894-DND

Are domain-aggregated, long-term climate trends in retrieved reflected solar cloud properties detectable despite instrument related and algorithm-related aliasing errors? Science Question: By how much do changes in instrument calibration distort reflected solar cloud property decadal trends? Objective: Quantify how changes in calibration error feed into cloud property changes. Science Question: By how much do reflected solar cloud property retrieval assumptions distort trends in retrieved cloud properties? Objective: Quantify how the plane-parallel assumption in reflected solar satellite cloud retrievals distorts cloud optical thickness decadal trends by determining how and if the large-scale 3D optical thickness bias changes over time. - The three panel procedure below will be performed for each time (month), (zonal) region, set of solar and viewing geometries.

Yolanda Roberts↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-21193-DND

Researchers at NASA Langley Research Center have been developing an automated pattern recognition algorithm to identify overshooting convective cloud tops (OTs) in support of the GOES-R satellite program. This algorithm identify regions of overshooting at the individual 1-4 km geostationary satellite pixel scale using visible (during daytime only) and infrared channel imagery and numerical weather analysis data. The algorithm has been developed based upon analysis of 0.25-1 km spatial resolution Aqua MODIS imagery, using a database of over 2000 manually identified OT features throughout the world in storms with varying intensity and morphology. The OT database includes storms ranging from small, warm topped cells in Alaska and Mongolia, tornadic supercells over the U.S. Central Plains and Europe, large tropical mesoscale convective systems, and overshooting in the eyewalls and spiral bands of category 5 tropical cyclones. This database is available for use by the research community. The algorithm is designed to operate on data from any current and historical satellite imager, allowing for development of a highly accurate global OT detection climatology that extends back into the 1990's at up to a 15-30 min temporal resolution throughout the diurnal cycle. As members of the McIDAS Users Group, NASA LaRC has immediate access to the full global archive of geostationary imager data which would allows rapid development of OT climatologies and short-term databases. This type of capability has never been available within the weather and climate research community. Regional geostationary OT databases have been already developed over CONUS during SEAC4RS, for 18-years over the Eastern U.S., and for 5-10 years over Australia, Europe, Southeast Asia, and East Africa among many other regions. Some of these datasets are being used by climate researchers and private industry to examine UTLS-penetrating storm spatial distributions and their temporal variability, in addition to weather hazards associated with these storms at unprecedented spatial detail. This presentation will describe the OT pattern recognition algorithm and highlight recent product applications.

Kristopher Bedka↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-27483-DND

scene to retrieve their microphysical properties. The Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) Project uses the infrared channels (6.72 Âμm, 7.33 Âμm, 13.3 Âμm,13.6 Âμm, 13.9 Âμm, and 14.2 Âμm) available on the Terra and Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometers (MODIS) to build its algorithms to retrieval cloud properties. Unfortunately, The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on board Suomi-NPP (National Polar-Orbiting Partnership) lacks these particular measurements. While conducting research using VIIRS data, it is desirable to bring these data into the VIIRS resolution. The Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS), which is also on board Suomi-NPP, has these infrared channels. This paper describes a method to map the CrIS spectral radiances of CO2 and water vapor to VIIRS, with the mapping software in ATOVS and AVHRR Pre-processing (AAPP) package provided by Satellite Application Facilities for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP SAF). This method is validated comparing mapped10.763 Âμm from CrIS with M15 from VIIRS. The mapped CO2 and water vapor channels were then created and combined with the conventional VIIRS product, as well as compared against corresponding channels of Aqua MODIS instrument.

Yan Chen↗

Impact of Air Traffic Reductions during the COVID-19 Pandemic on Aircraft-induced Clouds and their Radiative Effects

Air travel restrictions due to the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic drastically reduced air travel internationally during the spring of 2020. Such an extraordinary disruption of air traffic may have a profound effect on contrail formation that could allow for better quantification and scientific understanding of the radiative impacts of aviation-induced clouds on climate. This investigation synergizes MODIS, CrIS, and GOES-16 satellite analyses with weather analyses, including those from GEOS and MERRA, to compare contrail formation conditions and radiative forcings of linear contrails and thin cirrus detected over the contiguous United States (CONUS) and the North Atlantic for the 2020 air traffic slowdown period with parallel analyses conducted for a baseline period from a previous year with normal air traffic. A consistent analysis system for contrail detection and cloud property retrievals (e.g. optical depth, particle size, and altitude) from satellites, coupled with radiative transfer modeling are applied to characterize and contrast contrail cirrus properties and radiative effects estimated during the pandemic and baseline periods. Temperature and humidity profiles from numerical weather models and hyperspectral infrared measurements are used to estimate the contrail formation potential (CFP) over the study areas in order to help choose the most appropriate baseline period and to account for potential impacts of differences in meteorology on contrail formation and coverage. This study, using NASA satellite data and other assets, is expected to improve our understanding of the relationship between air traffic, contrail cirrus coverage and related impacts in order to better quantify the need for contrail formation mitigation strategies that could reduce aviation effects on climate.

William L Smith↗