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Paul A Newman

Publications and source records attributed to Paul A Newman.

Assessment of landscape-scale fluxes of carbon dioxide and methane in subtropical coastal wetlands of South Florida

Coastal wetlands play a significant role in the storage of “blue carbon,” indicating their importance in the carbon biogeochemistry in the coastal zone and in global climate change mitigation strategies. We present airborne eddy covariance observations of CO 2 and CH 2 fluxes collected in southern Florida as part of the NASA BlueFlux mission during April 2022, October 2022, February 2023, and April 2023. The flux data generated from this mission consists of over 100 flight hours and more than 6,000 km of horizontal distance over coastal saline and freshwater wetlands. We find that the spatial and temporal heterogeneity in CO 2 and CH 2 exchange is primarily influenced by season, vegetation type, ecosystem productivity, and soil inundation. The largest CO 2 uptake fluxes of more than 20 μmol m -2 s -1 were observed over mangroves during all deployments and over swamp forests during flights in April. The greatest CH 4 effluxes of more than 250 nmol m -2 s -1 were measured at the end of the wet season in October 2022 over freshwater marshes and swamp shrublands. Although the combined Everglades National Park and Big Cypress National Preserve region was a net sink for carbon, CH 4 emissions reduced the ecosystem carbon uptake capacity (net CO 2 exchange rates) by 11%–91%. Average total net carbon exchange rates during the flight periods were −4 to −0.2 g CO 2 -eq m -2 d -1 . Our results highlight the importance of preserving mangrove forests and point to potential avenues of further research for greenhouse gas mitigation strategies.

atmosphere↗

2021 Antarctic Ozone Hole [in “State of the Climate in 2021"]

The 2021 Antarctic ozone hole was the 13th largest in 42 years of satellite observations since 1979, with an area of 23.34 × 106 km 2 (the average area for 7 September–13 October) and a minimum daily total ozone column of 92 DU. The 2021 polar stratospheric vortex was stable with consistently cold temperatures that created favorable conditions for ozone depletion. The meteorological conditions and seasonal development of the ozone hole in 2021 were similar to those in 2020. Weaker-than-usual amplitudes of planetary scale Rossby waves in the September–October period helped maintain a strong vortex and led to below-average Antarctic ozone columns in late austral spring and early summer.

Natalya A Kramarova↗

Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate

The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) of tropical stratospheric winds was disrupted during the 2019/20 Northern Hemisphere winter. We show that this latest disruption to the regular QBO cycling was similar in many respects to that seen in 2016, but initiated by horizontal momentum transport from the Southern Hemisphere. The predictable signal associated with the QBO’s quasi-regular phase progression is lost during disruptions and the oscillation reemerges after a few months significantly shifted in phase from what would be expected if it has progressed uninterrupted. We infer from an increased wave-momentum flux into equatorial latitudes seen in climate model projections that disruptions to the QBO are likely to become more common in future. Consequently it is possible that in the future the QBO could be a less reliable source of predictability on lead times extending out to several years than it currently is.

James A Anstey↗

Spatial Heterogeneity in CO2, CH4, and Energy Fluxes: Insights from Airborne Eddy Covariance Measurements Over the Mid-Atlantic Region

The exchange of carbon between the Earth’s atmosphere and biosphere influences the atmospheric abundances of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4). Airborne eddy covariance can quantify surface-atmosphere exchange from landscape-to-regional scales, offering a unique perspective on carbon cycle dynamics. We use extensive airborne measurements to quantify fluxes of sensible heat, latent heat, CO2, and CH4across multiple ecosystems in the Mid-Atlantic region during September 2016 and May 2017. In conjunction with footprint analysis and land cover information, we use the airborne dataset to explore the effects of landscape heterogeneity on measured fluxes. Our results demonstrate large variability in CO2 uptake over mixed agricultural and forested sites, with fluxes ranging from -3.4 ± 0.7 to -11.5 ± 1.6μmol m-2s-1 for croplands and -9.1 ± 1.5 to -22.7 ± 3.2μmol m-2s-1for forests. We also report substantial CH4emissions of 32.3 ± 17.0to 76.1 ± 29.4nmol m-2s-1 from a brackish herbaceous wetland and 58.4± 12.0 to 181.2 ± 36.8nmol m-2s-1 from a freshwater forested wetland. Comparison of ecosystem-specific aircraft observations with measurements from eddy covariance flux towers along the flight path demonstrate that towers capture ~30–75% of the regional variability in ecosystem fluxes. Diel patterns measured at the tower sites suggest that peak, midday flux measurements from aircraft accurately predicts net daily CO2exchange. We discuss next steps in applying airborne observations to evaluate bottom-up flux models and improve understanding of the biophysical processes that drive carbon exchange from landscape-to-regional scales.

airborne measurements to quantify fluxes of sensib↗

Stratospheric Circulation Changes Associated with the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Eruption

The 15 January 2022 eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai underwater volcano injected an unprecedented amount of water directly into the stratosphere. This study attempts to quantify this impact on the temperature, as well as the subsequent changes to the stratospheric circulation, during the months following the eruption based on reanalysis fields. The extreme nature of the temperature, wind, and circulation changes are tracked through comparisons of the months of 2022 with the past 42 years. Examination of the data assimilation process shows that at 20 hPa the data is forcing temperature cooling at record rates resulting in record cold temperatures. Details of the stratospheric perturbations in latitude and pressure are presented for June 2022 where record strong cooling is found at 20 hPa from 60oS to 30oS. In response to the cooling the atmosphere adjusts by creating record strong winds above the temperature anomaly and large changes to the downward and poleward mean meridional circulation.

Lawrence Coy↗

Gigatraj: An Atmospheric Trajectory Model

Atmospheric trajectory models have a long history of success in tracking air motions in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere over periods of up to a few days. Parcels have been traced backwards from observations to identify whatever phenomena (strong convection, volcanic eruptions, rocket launches, etc.) put their signature on them. Parcels have also been initialized at a known event and traced forward to examine their subsequent physical and chemical evolution. We describe a new trajectory model, "gigatraj," that aims to increase exibility by (a) making it straightforward to use new meteorological data sources, including those not based on regular latitude-longitude grids; (b) enabling a run-time choice of vertical coordinate system for kinematic and/or quasi-isentropic calculations; (c) allowing for the output of arbitrary meteorological products, selectable by the user and interpolated to the parcels' locations and times. The model can be run in a serial or parallel processing environment, so that large numbers of parcels can be traced in a reasonable time. Information is presented on model accuracy and performance. The former is demonstrated by runs using both test-pattern winds (comparing expected paths with actual output) and real-world winds (comparing forward and backward runs to characterize how well parcels retrace their paths). Sample cases are also shown, including a reverse domain lling (RDF) calculation illustrating a tropopause fold event. Model output can be displayed using the new Visualization And Lagrangian dynamics Immersive eXtended Reality (VALIXR) system, and an example will be shown. In addition, we describe work to incorporate a version of gigatraj into the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) of NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation O ce (GMAO) at Goddard Space Flight Center. This enables trajectory calculations to be performed within the running GEOS model at the latter's native time resolution, instead of using the winds from every few hours. It also provides access to all of GEOS's internal variables as they are calculated. This module may be useful, for example, for tracking rapid chemical changes in a Lagrangian framework.

dynamics↗

Dynamics of the Remarkable Southern Hemisphere Winter of 2024

Typical Southern Hemisphere (SH) stratospheric winters are characterized by relatively weak planetary wave dynamics when compared to the Northern Hemisphere winter, especially in early and mid-winter. However, the SH stratospheric winter 2024 saw the development of two large wave events in July. These wave events were associated with the slowing of the polar vortex winds and positive polar temperature anomalies. The second of these two events saw the development of a zonal wavenumber two that was larger in amplitude than seen in the 1980-present record from the Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications – version 2 (MERRA-2). Here we present diagnostics characterizing the wave and mean circulation such as EP (Eliassen-Palm Flux) and residual mean meridional circulation during these events and trace the origin of these stratospheric disturbances to the troposphere. Results show the increase in wave activity associated with the slowing of the zonal wind and the increase in the strength of the poleward and downward circulation associated with the warm anomaly. Analysis of the wave and circulation anomalies will continue through September 2024.

Lawrence Coy↗