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Perlmutter, M.

Publications and source records attributed to Perlmutter, M..

At least 19 records

Monte Carlo turbulence simulation

The paper describes turbulence simulation experiments based on the principles of control system theory, that is, the construction of a system characterized by a system function such that upon exciting the system with prescribed noise processes the output of the system is a realization of a random processing the desired statistical attributes of turbulence. An experimental autocorrelation of Jimsphere measurements of wind velocity was approximated to simulate turbulent wind. From the approximate autocorrelation function, the required system function is obtained, and a discrete time system is designed. Another method of simulation is to solve the convolution integral by filter techniques. Other methods include discrete Fourier simulation and self-similar simulation.

Fichtl, G. H.

Stochastic simulation of vertically nonhomogeneous gusts

The small-scale horizontal gust structure of detailed wind profiles along the vertical in the first 20 km of the atmosphere is a vertically nonhomogeneous process. A linear stochastic model is developed for the process based on the process covariance function. This model is formulated through the use of a scaling hypothesis that transforms the nonhomogeneous gust process into a nondimensional gust process which is homogeneous in a nondimensional height coordinate. The velocity scaling parameter for the gust process is the gust standard deviation, and the length scale used to nondimensionalize the altitude is the vertical space lag associated with the first zero of the gust covariance function. State space theory is used to derive a digital filter from the model, which can be readily used to simulate gusts for space vehicle design applications.

Fichtl, G. H.

Three velocity component, nonhomogeneous atmospheric boundary layer turbulence modeling

The vertical nonhomogeneous character of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer results in a non-stationary turbulence process relative to an aircraft during takeoff and landing despite the fact that the turbulence statistics can be horizontally homogeneous. The simulation of the three components of the turbulent winds which include the nonstationary aspect of atmospheric turbulence is the subject of this paper. A procedure is developed and demonstrated to generate the three components of a turbulence ramdom process field, u sub i(x,z) where x and z denote horizontal and vertical coordinates and u sub i, i = 1,2,3 are the three orthogonal components of the turbulent random field. This field satisfies any desired one point auto spectra as well as two point statistics (interlevel correlations). By use of Taylors frozen eddy hypothesis we can transform the turbulent random field into the time domain and obtain the random turbulence along an aircraft trajectory.

Perlmutter, M.

Stochastic sea state for SRB studies

Ocean surface characteristics at two locations were studied for a space shuttle solid rocket booster ocean impact and recovery analysis. Probability distributions of wave heights, wave slopes, wave velocities, ocean currents, and 1-kilometer altitude winds were formulated. Procedures for generating ocean wave simulations are described.

Perlmutter, M.

Stochastic simulation of vertically nonhomogeneous gusts

The small-scale horizontal gust structure of detailed wind profiles along the vertical in the first 20 km of the atmosphere is a vertically nonhomogeneous process. A linear stochastic model was developed based on the process covariance function. This model was formulated through the use of a scaling hypothesis which transforms the nonhomogeneous gust process into a nondimensional gust process which is homogeneous in a nondimensional gust height coordinate. The velocity scaling parameter for the gust process is the gust standard deviation, and the length scale used to nondimensionalize the altitude is the vertical space lag associated with the first zero of the gust covariance function. State space theory was used to derive a digital filter from the model, which can be readily used to simulate gusts for space vehicle design applications.

Fichtl, G. H.

Application of Markov chain theory to ASTP natural environment launch criteria at Kennedy Space Center

To aid the planning of the Apollo Soyuz Test Program (ASTP), certain natural environment statistical relationships are presented, based on Markov theory and empirical counts. The practical results are in terms of conditional probability of favorable and unfavorable launch conditions at Kennedy Space Center (KSC). They are based upon 15 years of recorded weather data which are analyzed under a set of natural environmental launch constraints. Three specific forecasting problems were treated: (1) the length of record of past weather which is useful to a prediction; (2) the effect of persistence in runs of favorable and unfavorable conditions; and (3) the forecasting of future weather in probabilistic terms.

Graves, M. E.

Simulation of random wind fluctuations

A technique was developed for the simulation of random wind fluctuations for use in computer studies of the space shuttle ascent control. The simulated wind fluctuations were generated using the techniques of control theory that have statistical characteristics similar to the characteristics obtained from wind data at Kennedy Space Center.

Perlmutter, M.

A study of two statistical methods as applied to shuttle solid rocket booster expenditures

The state probability technique and the Monte Carlo technique are applied to finding shuttle solid rocket booster expenditure statistics. For a given attrition rate per launch, the probable number of boosters needed for a given mission of 440 launches is calculated. Several cases are considered, including the elimination of the booster after a maximum of 20 consecutive launches. Also considered is the case where the booster is composed of replaceable components with independent attrition rates. A simple cost analysis is carried out to indicate the number of boosters to build initially, depending on booster costs. Two statistical methods were applied in the analysis: (1) state probability method which consists of defining an appropriate state space for the outcome of the random trials, and (2) model simulation method or the Monte Carlo technique. It was found that the model simulation method was easier to formulate while the state probability method required less computing time and was more accurate.

Perlmutter, M.

Nonstationary atmospheric boundary layer turbulence simulation

Report on a new and general technique for simulating atmospheric turbulence-like random processes which are statistically homogeneous along the horizontal and nonhomogeneous along the vertical. This technique is general in the sense that it can be used for a broad class of similar problems. Like the other presently available schemes, the techniques presented are based on the Dryden hypothesis and Taylor's frozen eddy hypothesis; however, they go a step further by utilizing certain self-similarity properties of the Dryden spectral density function which permits the development of height invariant filters. These filters are in turn used to generate vertically homogeneous (statistically) random processes from which turbulence at any specified level in the boundary layer can be simulated, thus facilitating the simulation of a nonstationary turbulence process along the flight path of an aircraft during take-off or landing.

Fichtl, G. H.

Statistical analysis of flight times for space shuttle ferry flights

Markov chain and Monte Carlo analysis techniques are applied to the simulated Space Shuttle Orbiter Ferry flights to obtain statistical distributions of flight time duration between Edwards Air Force Base and Kennedy Space Center. The two methods are compared, and are found to be in excellent agreement. The flights are subjected to certain operational and meteorological requirements, or constraints, which cause eastbound and westbound trips to yield different results. Persistence of events theory is applied to the occurrence of inclement conditions to find their effect upon the statistical flight time distribution. In a sensitivity test, some of the constraints are varied to observe the corresponding changes in the results.

Graves, M. E.

Monte-Carlo analysis of rarefied-gas diffusion including variance reduction using the theory of Markov random walks

Molecular diffusion through a rarefied gas is analyzed by using the theory of Markov random walks. The Markov walk is simulated on the computer by using random numbers to find the new states from the appropriate transition probabilities. As the sample molecule during its random walk passes a scoring position, which is a location at which the macroscopic diffusing flow variables such as molecular flux and molecular density are desired, an appropriate payoff is scored. The payoff is a function of the sample molecule velocity. For example, in obtaining the molecular flux across a scoring position, the random walk payoff is the net number of times the scoring position has been crossed in the positive direction. Similarly, when the molecular density is required, the payoff is the sum of the inverse velocity of the sample molecule passing the scoring position. The macroscopic diffusing flow variables are then found from the expected payoff of the random walks.

Perlmutter, M.

Variance reduction in Monte Carlo analysis of rarefied gas diffusion.

The problem of rarefied diffusion between parallel walls is solved using the Monte Carlo method. The diffusing molecules are evaporated or emitted from one of the two parallel walls and diffuse through another molecular species. The Monte Carlo analysis treats the diffusing molecule as undergoing a Markov random walk, and the local macroscopic properties are found as the expected value of the random variable, the random walk payoff. By biasing the transition probabilities and changing the collision payoffs, the expected Markov walk payoff is retained but its variance is reduced so that the Monte Carlo result has a much smaller error.

Perlmutter, M.

Variance reduction in Monte Carlo analysis of rarefied gas diffusion

The present analysis uses the Monte Carlo method to solve the problem of rarefied diffusion between parallel walls. The diffusing molecules are evaporated or emitted from one of two parallel walls and diffused through another molecular species. The analysis treats the diffusing molecule as undergoing a Markov random walk and the local macroscopic properties are found as the expected value of the random variable, the random walk payoff. By biasing the transition probabilities and changing the collision payoffs the expected Markov walk payoff is retained but its variance is reduced so that the M. C. result has a much smaller error.

Perlmutter, M.