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Phillips, N. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Phillips, N. A..

Evaluation of the effect of VAS data on some NMC analyses and forecasts

The effect of visible/infrared atmospheric sounder (VAS) data on the limited area fine mesh model (LFM) analysis forecast system were examined. The VAS data obtained from the Pacific geostationary satellite are valuable for LFM analysis because temperatures from the polar orbiting satellite over the east Pacific are received too late for 1200 GMT LFM analysis. Because the VISSR has only infrared channels, retrievals are possible only in regions with little or no cloudiness.

Olenic, E. A.↗

Evaluation and use of TOVS retrievals at NMC

In a current analysis procedure at the National Meteorological Center (NMC), a first guess analysis (from the latest 6 or 12 hour forecast) is updated by new data. In the newest analysis procedures, which are based on optimum interpolation, the observational correction depends on the size of preassigned, expected observational errors versus the size of expected errors in the first guess forecast. In the case of Northern Hemisphere ocean temperatures, the latter are around 2 degrees. The infrared satellite retrievals have a similar size "error". If (as assumed) their errors are uncorrelated with the first guess error, they will improve the analysis. The larger errors of the microwave retrievals, however, mean that they will be given little weight in the analysis. An evaluation of the TIROS-N retrievals is currently underway at NMC to determine the impact of satellite derived data within operational analysis schemes, to isolate possible problems within current retrieval methods, and to offer possible solutions for these problems.

Phillips, N. A.↗

First results of a general circulation model applied to the SST-NOx problem

Results of model runs, one using two-dimensional distribution of NO2 in the unperturbed stratosphere and another including an additional localized source of NO2 to approximate the effect of SSTs, are reported. The general circulation model and chemical reactions are described, and corrections in the previous latitudinal and seasonal gradients of total columnar ozone and the diffusion coefficient in the neighborhood of the tropopause are noted. Excellent agreement with previous observations was obtained. Global distributions of ozone and NO2 are described and represented in graphs. Results indicate ozone reduction of approximately 16% in the Northern Hemisphere and approximately 8% in the Southern Hemisphere, with the mid-latitude source of NO2 apparently having a blocking effect on the horizontal transport of ozone, resulting in larger reductions of ozone at high latitudes than at low ones.

Cunnold, D. M.↗

A general circulation model of stratospheric ozone

The paper reports on a general circulation model being developed with the ultimate objective of assessing the effect of SST operations on the atmospheric ozone distribution. The model variables are represented in the spectral domain using 79 spherical harmonics and 26 vertical levels between the ground and 70 km. Initial calculations have attempted to simulate the seasonal variations of the unperturbed global ozone distribution. The model shows the presence of a westerly stratospheric jet in the winter hemisphere with amplitudes similar to those observed in the polar night jet. Easterlies dominate in the summer hemisphere. The model also shows ozone to be transported polewards and downwards. Furthermore the annual cycle in ozone concentrations at mid-latitudes has been simulated. Preliminary comparisons are also made with other features of the dynamics and the ozone distribution in the stratosphere.

Cunnold, D. M.↗