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Polansky, Brian

Publications and source records attributed to Polansky, Brian.

Estimation of Stratospheric Age Spectrum from Chemical Tracers

We have developed a technique to diagnose the stratospheric age spectrum and estimate the mean age of air using the distributions of at least four constituents with different photochemical lifetimes. We demonstrate that the technique works using a 3D CTM and then apply the technique to UMS CLAES January 1993 observations of CFC11, CFC12, CH4 and N2O. Our results are generally in agreement with mean age of air estimates from the chemical model and from observations of SF6 and CO2; however, the mean age estimates show an intrusion of very young tropical air into the mid-latitude stratosphere. This feature is consistent with mixing of high N20 air out of the tropics during the westerly phase of the QBO.

Schoeberl, Mark R.↗

Ozone Measurements and a 3D Chemical Transport Model

We have used our three-dimensional chemical transport model (CTM) to calculate the expected reponse of stratospheric composition over the past 30 years to forcing by chlorine and bromine compounds, solar ultraviolet, and volcanic aerosols. The CTM uses off-line winds and temperatures fiom a 50-year run of the finite volume general circulation model (FVGCM). We compare the total column ozone and the ozone profile fiom the CTM output to a variety of data sources. These include a merged total ozone data set from TOMS and SBUV using the new version 8 algorithm. Total ozone fiom the CTM are compared to ground-station measurements of total ozone at specific locations. Ozone profiles are compared to satellite meausrements fiom SBUV, SAGE, and HALOE. Profiles are also compared to ozonesondes over several locations. The results of the comparisons are quantified by using a time-series statistical analysis to determine trends, solar cycle, and volcanic reponse in both the model and in the data. Initial results indicate that the model responds to forcings in a way that is similar to the observed atmospheric response. The model does seem to be more sensitive to the chlorine and bromine perturbation ihan is the data. Further details and comparisons wiii be discussed.

Stolarski, Richard S.↗

Age and Pathway Diagnostics for a Stratospheric General Circulation Model

Using a variety of age diagnostic experiments we examine the stratospheric age spectrum of the Goddard Finite Volume Generd Circulation Model. Pulse tracer release age-of-air computations are compared to forward and backward trajectory computations. These comparisons show good agreement, and the age-of-air also compares well with observed long lived tracers. Pathway diagnostics show how air arrives in the lowermost stratosphere and the age structure of that region. Using tracers with different lifetimes we can estimate the age spectrum - this technique should be useful in diagnosing transport from various trace gas observations.

Schoeberl, Mark R.↗