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Robert D Falck

Publications and source records attributed to Robert D Falck.

Multidisciplinary Optimization of an Electric Quadrotor Urban Air Mobility Aircraft

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) vehicles have the potential to augment urban transportation systems, allowing passengers to skip the traffic below for a fee. This emerging market is opening up the design space for a new class of Urban Air Mobility (UAM) vehicles which could be powered by electric propulsion systems to be economical and environmentally friendly. However, development of these UAM concepts presents several additional challenges in the design process. First, these concept designs require including new disciplinary models for subsystems including the electric motors, cables, batteries and thermal management systems. Second, correctly designing and evaluating these various subsystems requires tight coupling between the discipline models to capture interactions. This paper presents the continued development of a multidisciplinary design optimization environment to aid in the development of these vehicle concepts. The multidisciplinary environment fully couples the various subsystem models allowing for the full vehicle to be designed and optimized simultaneously. In this research, the developed modeling approach is demonstrated in the analysis of a small, all-electric quadrotor UAM concept. Results from these studies show that numerous disciplines can be tightly coupled and producing improved overall vehicle designs.

Multidisciplinary Optimization↗

Obtaining Accurate Derivatives Across Adaptive-Step Integration

Obtaining derivatives through the integration of a set of ordinary differential equations is of interest to a number of fields of research. Approaches for doing so that are available in the literature, however, do not account for details associated with variable step integrator that cause inaccuracies in the total derivatives. In this paper, we explore the causes of the accumulation of derivative error in adaptive-step Runge-Kutta integration schemes and propose a solution to eliminate them. The new algorithm proposed is a transformation of each step of a Runge-Kutta integration into a set of residual equations. This work demonstrates the improvement in accuracy of total derivatives when the new algorithm is utilized.

Kaushik Ponnapalli↗

End-To-End Uncertainty Quantification with Analytical Derivatives for Design Under Uncertainty

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a rapidly growing and evolving discipline, especially within the aerospace community. Performing analysis with UQ can provide decision makers with a wealth of information about a candidate design. However, the value of UQ is fully realized when the information gained during UQ analysis is leveraged in a feedback loop of a design optimization process, often referred to as design under uncertainty. Although design under uncertainty can be a powerful risk mitigation technique, there are a number of roadblocks that prevent its implementation. Two primary factors are computational costs and added complexity of the analysis. High fidelity simulations on the order tens of uncertain variables quickly become computationally infeasible. Also, implementing UQ into an existing multidisciplinary design and optimization (MDO) process often requires extensive knowledge of the UQ methods and careful treatment of the problem formulation. The objective of this work is to address these two primary roadblocks and enable practitioners to efficiently perform design under uncertainty with limited knowledge of the UQ discipline. Methods outlined in this paper demonstrate MDO incorporating UQ into the design process, leveraging an analytic derivative tool chain through the entire optimization. The proposed approach leverages machine learning techniques to generate a differentiable confidence interval output from polynomial chaos models. This technique, coupled with the incorporation of analytical derivatives through the Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) process, eliminates the need to estimate derivatives which are usually obtained from finite difference, complex step, or similar methods. Developing a differentiable confidence interval allows mixed uncertainty problems (both epistemic and aleatory) to be modeled. Without such modeling, these problems cannot accurately predict objective functions containing statistical quantities such as mean and variance. The addition of analytic derivatives to a polynomial chaos-based UQ method decreases the computational costs of performing design under uncertainty by orders of magnitude in comparison with methods such as complex step. The method and codes developed are modular in nature and are a drop-in solution for design under uncertainty within existing MDO problems. A low-fidelity analytical multidisciplinary optimization under uncertainty for a wing design in OpenMDAO is detailed in this paper. This demonstration case will include both objective functions and constraints which are influenced by uncertain parameters.

Ben D Phillips↗

Design Under Uncertainty with Design-Dependent Uncertain Variables

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) can provide a more robust understanding of a system, leading to better informed decisions earlier in the design process. The additional information that UQ provides can be leveraged during a design optimization process known as design under uncertainty that, when incorporated with multidisciplinary design and optimization, can become computationally infeasible due to the large number of responses required for meaningful results. Previous work addressed reducing the computational expense in design under uncertainty by incorporating analytic derivatives throughout polynomial chaos expansion. Although this allows design under uncertainty to be feasible for more systems, some multidisciplinary systems have design-dependent uncertain variables. This paper details an implementation of design dependent uncertain variables in a manner than preserves derivatives required for efficient gradient-based optimization throughout the process. Two analytic examples of design-dependent uncertain variables are given: the first transforms a uniform uncertain variable with one design variable and the second transforms a normal uncertain variable with two design variables. The polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) results are comparable to both the Monte Carlo (MC) results and the analytic results for the two examples. A case study that maximizes the lift-to-drag ratio with a design-dependence between the wing leading edge sweep angle and uncertain parameter percentage of laminar flow is compared to a MC and alternative optimization formulations. This paper demonstrates that design-dependent uncertain variables are valid and hold throughout PCE.

Joanna N Schmidt↗

Design Under Uncertainty for Conceptual Aircraft Design Leveraging Analytical Gradients

The purpose of this paper is to extend previously demonstrated methodologies for design under uncertainty, leveraging analytical gradients to higher fidelity analysis for use in conceptual aircraft design. Previous work developed methods to generate analytical derivatives through polynomial chaos expansion, eliminating the need to estimate derivatives via complex step or finite difference. In this research, the authors build upon the methods to include physics-based aircraft design codes for aircraft design under uncertainty. This extends the previous work’s case study, which employed analytical aerodynamics and Breguet range estimations for wing design, to a higher fidelity level. In addition, this work extends previous work on interface development between the Uncertainty Quantification with Polynomial Chaos Expansion (UQPCE) software and Model-Based Systems Analysis and Engineering (MBSA&E) frameworks. This paper will discuss the development work necessary to perform multidisciplinary design under uncertainty as well as demonstrate the mechanics of interfacing UQPCE and conceptual aircraft design tools such as NASA’s Aviary code. In a case study, a conceptual aircraft design under uncertainty was conducted and compared against a traditional deterministic design. When given information about the uncertainty space from UQPCE, the optimizer was able to shape the output distribution and produce a more robust design

UQ↗