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Rodriguez, Luke R.

Publications and source records attributed to Rodriguez, Luke R..

6 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2017

Optimized, Budget-constrained Monitoring Well Placement Using DREAM

Defining the ideal suite of monitoring technologies to be deployed at a carbon capture and storage (CCS) site presents a challenge to project developers, financers, insurers, regulators and other stakeholders. The monitoring, verification, and accounting (MVA) toolkit offers a suite of technologies to monitor an extensive range of parameters across a wide span of spatial and temporal resolutions, each with their own degree of sensitivity to changes in the parameter being monitored. Understanding how best to optimize MVA budgets to minimize the time to leak detection could help to address issues around project risks, and in turn help support broad CCS deployment. This paper presents a case study demonstrating an application of the Designs for Risk Evaluation and Management (DREAM) tool using an ensemble of CO 2 leakage scenarios taken from a previous study on leakage impacts to groundwater. Impacts were assessed and monitored as a function of pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), and trace metal concentrations of arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), and lead (Pb). Using output from the previous study, DREAM was used to optimize monitoring system designs based on variable sampling locations and parameters. The algorithm requires the user to define a finite budget to limit the number of monitoring wells and technologies deployed, and then iterates well placement and sensor type and location until it converges on the configuration with the lowest time to first detection of the leak averaged across all scenarios. To facilitate an understanding of the optimal number of sampling wells, DREAM was used to assess the marginal utility of additional sampling locations. Based on assumptions about monitoring costs and replacement costs of degraded water, the incremental cost of each additional sampling well can be compared against its marginal value in terms of avoided aquifer degradation. Applying this method, DREAM identified the most cost-effective ensemble with 14 monitoring locations. Here, while this preliminary study applied relatively simplistic cost and technology assumptions, it provides an exciting proof-of-concept for the application of DREAM to questions of cost-optimized MVA system design that are informed not only by site-specific costs and technology options, but also by reservoir simulation results developed during site characterization and operation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2016

An optimization approach to design monitoring schemes for CO 2 leakage detection

This paper demonstrates an approach to identify optimal monitoring designs that minimize the time to first detection of CO 2 leakage from a subsurface storage formation. This research is part of the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP), a DOE project tasked with conducting risk and uncertainty analysis in the areas of reservoir performance, natural leakage pathways, wellbore integrity, groundwater protection, monitoring, and systems level modeling. Our approach applies a simulated annealing algorithm that searches the solution space by iteratively mutating potential monitoring designs. An example application is provided to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of this method compared to an exhaustive search of the entire solution space. We took into account uncertainty by evaluating the performance of potential monitoring designs across a set of simulated leakage realization. A flexible two-tiered signature was implemented to infer that CO 2 leakage had occurred. This approach was ~50 times faster than an exhaustive search. A user-friendly tool, MDLD, is being developed for use on personal computers to make this method available to stakeholders, regulators, and researchers.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2015

Selecting a Classification Ensemble and Detecting Process Drift in an Evolving Data Stream

We characterize the commercial behavior of a group of companies in a common line of business using a small ensemble of classifiers on a stream of records containing commercial activity information. This approach is able to effectively find a subset of classifiers that can be used to predict company labels with reasonable accuracy. Performance of the ensemble, its error rate under stable conditions, can be characterized using an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic. The behavior of the EWMA statistic can be used to monitor a record stream from the commercial network and determine when significant changes have occurred. Results indicate that larger classification ensembles may not necessarily be optimal, pointing to the need to search the combinatorial classifier space in a systematic way. Results also show that current and past performance of an ensemble can be used to detect when statistically significant changes in the activity of the network have occurred. The dataset used in this work contains tens of thousands of high level commercial activity records with continuous and categorical variables and hundreds of labels, making classification challenging.

Ensemble classifiers↗
DOE OSTI2015

Action Recommendation for Cyber Resilience

This paper presents an unifying graph-based model for representing the infrastructure, behavior and missions of an enterprise. We describe how the model can be used to achieve resiliency against a wide class of failures and attacks. We introduce an algorithm for recommending resilience establishing actions based on dynamic updates to the models. Without loss of generality, we show the effectiveness of the algorithm for preserving latency based quality of service (QoS). Our models and the recommendation algorithms are implemented in a software framework that we seek to release as an open source framework for simulating resilient cyber systems.

resilience, cyber security↗
DOE OSTI2015

DEMO: Action Recommendation for Cyber Resilience

In this demonstration we show the usefulness of our unifying graph-based model for the representation of infrastructure, behavior, and missions of cyber enterprise in both a software simulation and on an Amazon Web Services (AWS) instance. We show the effectiveness of our recommendation algorithm for preserving various system health metrics in both cases.

cyber security, resilience↗