Search NASA⌕ Search

Engineering topics

Romps, David M.

Publications and source records attributed to Romps, David M..

No warm-phase invigoration of convection detected during GoAmazon

It has been proposed that air pollution increases the updraft speeds of warm-phase convective clouds by reducing their supersaturation and, thereby, enhancing their buoyancy. Observations from the GoAmazon field campaign, sampled using subjective criteria, have been offered as evidence for this warm-phase invigoration. Here, we reexamine those GoAmazon observations using objective criteria and find no indication that air pollution increases warm-phase updraft speeds. Additionally, the observations yield no statistically significant relationship between aerosol concentrations and either moist-convective vertical velocity or reflectivity in either the lower or upper troposphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Predicting fatal heat and humidity using the heat index model

A unique wet-bulb temperature of 35°C is often used as the threshold for human survivability, but recent experiments have shown that a person’s core temperature starts to rise at a wide range of critical wet-bulb temperatures. Here, it is shown that the model underlying the heat index correctly predicts those critical wet-bulb temperatures, explaining 95% of the variance in the values observed in laboratory heat-stress experiments. This is the first time the heat-index model has been validated against physiological data from laboratory experiments. For light and moderate exertion in an indoor setting, the heat index model predicts that the critical wet-bulb temperature ranges from 20 to 32°C, depending on the relative humidity, consistent with experimental results. Furthermore, for the same setting and exertion, the heat index model predicts fatal wet-bulb temperatures ranging from 24 to 37°C. Recent experiments have identified the critical combinations of heat and humidity, in an indoor setting, above which an individual is unable to maintain a standard core temperature, indicating severe heat stress. It is shown here why this state of severe heat stress cannot be predicted using the wet-bulb temperature. Instead, it is shown that the recently extended heat index model can explain nearly all of the variance in the observed critical combinations of temperature and humidity, and can be used to calculate fatal combinations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Retrieving Point Cloud of Cloud Points (PCCP) Value-Added Product from Stereo Cameras

In this report, we refer to a pair of cameras that capture synchronized pictures with overlapping fields of view (FOV) as a stereo pair. Each stereo pair independently performs a stereo reconstruction of cloud points. Currently, there are three U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility stereo pairs (six cameras in total) positioned around the Southern Great Plains (SGP) observatory’s Central Facility (CF; Romps and Oktem 2017). Time-synchronized pictures from the two cameras in a stereo pair can be paired together to obtain a three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction of feature points by triangulation. This document explains how we use ARM stereo cameras and stereophotogrammetric principles to generate the Point Cloud of Cloud Points (PCCP) Value-Added Product (VAP). The PCCP VAP is essentially a set of 3D positions representing the locations of cloud features in the sky. Thousands of cloud features can be reconstructed instantly in each stereo pair's FOV, which covers an area of tens of square kilometers. Cloud base and cloud top heights can be extracted from the PCCP product.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Air Pollution Unable to Intensify Storms via Warm‐Phase Invigoration

Abstract According to the hypothesis of aerosol invigoration, the higher concentration of aerosols in polluted air intensifies storms. A leading theory for explaining such a relationship is warm‐phase invigoration, in which cloudy updrafts that are more polluted more readily condense water vapor onto liquid drops, thereby releasing latent heat faster, leading to higher buoyancies and higher updraft speeds. For this mechanism to work, water‐vapor supersaturations well in excess of 1% must be typical of relatively unpolluted cloudy updrafts. Here, the supersaturation is calculated from in situ observations of warm‐phase cloudy updrafts over the Amazon. Instead of values well in excess of 1%, the typical values are found to be around 0.2%. These observations imply that cleaner preindustrial air might have generated supersaturations around 1%, but those are still too low for warm‐phase invigoration to have any practically significant impact on cloud buoyancy and updraft speeds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Amazon windthrow disturbances are likely to increase with storm frequency under global warming

Abstract Forest mortality caused by convective storms (windthrow) is a major disturbance in the Amazon. However, the linkage between windthrows at the surface and convective storms in the atmosphere remains unclear. In addition, the current Earth system models (ESMs) lack mechanistic links between convective wind events and tree mortality. Here we find an empirical relationship that maps convective available potential energy, which is well simulated by ESMs, to the spatial pattern of large windthrow events. This relationship builds connections between strong convective storms and forest dynamics in the Amazon. Based on the relationship, our model projects a 51 ± 20% increase in the area favorable to extreme storms, and a 43 ± 17% increase in windthrow density within the Amazon by the end of this century under the high-emission scenario (SSP 585). These results indicate significant changes in tropical forest composition and carbon cycle dynamics under climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Extending the Heat Index

The Heat Index is a widely used measure of apparent temperature that accounts for the effects of humidity using Steadman’s model of human thermoregulation. Steadman’s model, however, gives unphysical results when the air is too hot and humid or too cold and dry, leading to an undefined Heat Index. For example, at a relative humidity of 80%, the Heat Index is only defined for temperatures in the range of 288-304 K (59-88 degrees Fahrenheit). Here, Steadman’s thermoregulation model is extended to define the Heat Index for all combinations of temperature and humidity, allowing for an assessment of Earth’s future habitability. The extended Heat Index can be mapped onto physiological responses of an idealized human, such as heat exhaustion, heat stroke, and even heat death, providing an indication of regional health outcomes for different degrees of global warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Why the Forcing from Carbon Dioxide Scales as the Logarithm of Its Concentration

Abstract The radiative forcing from carbon dioxide is approximately logarithmic in its concentration, producing about 4 W m −2 of global-mean forcing for each doubling. Although these are basic facts of climate science, competing explanations for them have been given in the literature. Here, the reasons for the logarithmic forcing of carbon dioxide are explored in detail and a simplified model for the forcing is constructed. An essential component is the particular distribution of absorption coefficients within the 15- μ m band of carbon dioxide. An alternative explanation, which does not depend on the spectrum of carbon dioxide but instead hinges on the tropospheric lapse rate, is shown to be neither necessary nor sufficient to explain the logarithmic forcing of carbon dioxide and to be generally inapplicable to well-mixed greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Prediction for cloud spacing confirmed using stereo cameras

Using three years of the Clouds Optically Gridded by Stereo (COGS) product, the mean cloud base, cloud top, cloud width, and cloud spacing are described with respect to their seasonal and/or diurnal evolution at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern Great Plains (SGP) site. In addition to confirming and extending prior results, the data show that the effective diameter of shallow cumuli are approximately equal to the height above ground of the lifting condensation level (LCL). Furthermore, the cloud spacing is found to closely match a prediction by Thuburn and Efstathiou for the horizontal scale of the largest unstable eddies in an unsheared convective boundary layer.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evolving CO 2 rather than SST leads to a factor of ten decrease in GCM convergence time

The high computational cost of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is a problem that limits their use in many areas. Recently an inverse climate modeling (InvCM) method, which fixes the global mean sea surface temperature (SST) and evolves the CO 2 mixing ratio to equilibrate climate, has been implemented in a cloud resolving model. In this paper, we apply InvCM to ExoCAM GCM aquaplanet simulations, allowing the SST pattern to evolve while maintaining a fixed global-mean SST. We find that InvCM produces the same climate as normal slab-ocean simulations but converges an order of magnitude faster. We then use InvCM to calculate the equilibrium CO 2 for SSTs ranging from 290 K to 340 K at 1 K intervals and reproduce the large increase in climate sensitivity at an SST of about 315 K at much higher temperature resolution. The speedup provided by InvCM could be used to equilibrate GCMs at higher spatial resolution or to perform broader parameter space exploration in order to gain new insight into the climate system. Additionally, InvCM could be used to find unstable and hidden climate states, and to find climate states close to bifurcations such as the runaway greenhouse transition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗