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Ron Miller

Publications and source records attributed to Ron Miller.

10 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2020

Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models

The effective radiative forcing, which includes the instantaneous forcing plus adjustments from the atmosphere and surface, has emerged as the key metric of evaluating human and natural influence on the climate. We evaluate effective radiative forcing and adjustments in 17 contemporary climate models that are participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and have contributed to the Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP). Present-day (2014) global-mean anthropogenic forcing relative to pre-industrial (1850) levels from climate models stands at 2.00 (±0.23) W/sq. m, comprised of 1.81 (±0.09) W/sq. m from CO2, 1.08 (± 0.21) W/sq. m from other well-mixed greenhouse gases, −1.01 (± 0.23) W/sq. m from aerosols and −0.09 (±0.13) W/sq. m from land use change. Quoted uncertainties are 1 standard deviation across model best estimates, and 90 % confidence in the reported forcings, due to internal variability, is typically within 0.1 W/sq. m. The majority of the remaining 0.21 W/sq. m is likely to be from ozone. In most cases, the largest contributors to the spread in effective radiative forcing (ERF) is from the instantaneous radiative forcing (IRF) and from cloud responses, particularly aerosol–cloud interactions to aerosol forcing. As determined in previous studies, cancellation of tropospheric and surface adjustments means that the stratospherically adjusted radiative forcing is approximately equal to ERF for greenhouse gas forcing but not for aerosols, and consequentially, not for the anthropogenic total. The spread of aerosol forcing ranges from −0.63 to −1.37 W/sq. m, exhibiting a less negative mean and narrower range compared to 10 CMIP5 models. The spread in 4×CO2 forcing has also narrowed in CMIP6 compared to 13 CMIP5 models. Aerosol forcing is uncorrelated with climate sensitivity. Therefore, there is no evidence to suggest that the increasing spread in climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models, particularly related to high-sensitivity models, is a consequence of a stronger negative present-day aerosol forcing and little evidence that modelling groups are systematically tuning climate sensitivity or aerosol forcing to recreate observed historical warming.

effective radiative forcing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Flexible Low-Cost Optical Communications Ground Terminal at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

We present the status of ongoing work at NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) to build a low-cost flexible ground terminal for optical communication. Previous laser communication missions at NASA have been supported by one-of-a-kind ground terminals built specifically for each mission. If NASA is to build a global network of optical terminals to enable widespread use of optical communications, then a blueprint for an economical ground terminal able to support a variety of missions is needed. With this goal in mind, NASA is constructing a ground terminal in Greenbelt, Maryland to enable testing of new ground terminal technologies from industry to academia.

Robert E Lafon↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Ground Segment Operations Concept for the Orion Artemis-2 Optical Communications System

The ACCESS Project (formerly Space Network) will implement an optical communications ground segment to support the Orion Artemis II Optical Communications (O2O) demonstration as part of the next manned human spaceflight mission to the moon, Artemis II. O2O implements laser communication (lasercomm) technology for operational use on the Orion series of spacecraft, as a development test objective (DTO), in order to demonstrate the feasibility and operational utility of lasercomm for human spaceflight missions. O2O consists of three segments: Space Segment, Ground Segment, and Operations Segment. The Space Segment consists of the Space Terminal Element and the Orion spacecraft. The Space Terminal Element effort is managed by the GSFC Laser-Enhanced Mission Communications Navigation and Operational Services (LEMNOS) project in collaboration with MIT Lincoln Laboratory. The Ground Segment consists of an optical ground terminal (GT) at the White Sands Complex (WSC), which is being developed in collaboration with MIT Lincoln Laboratory, the Ground Segment Operations and Analysis (GSOA) element and Ground Data Element (GDE), and a second optical GT in the Optical Communications Telescope Laboratory (OCTL) at the JPL Table Mountain Facility. The Operations Segment consists of the Artemis II Mission Control Center (MCC), the Lasercomm Space Terminal Console (LSTC), and the Lasercomm Link Planning & Analysis Center (LPAC), all located at the Johnson Space Center (JSC). O2O utilizes pulse-position modulation (PPM) direct-to-earth services resulting in an 80 Mbps downlink data rate from lunar orbit. The O2O concept of operations is to provide optical services for a minimum of 1 hour per day for each day of the Artemis II mission. O2O will utilize a 10-20 Mbps uplink data rate and 40-260 Mbps downlink data rate, depending on the Artemis II mission phase. The ACCESS project will also provide a centralized mission data interface for user data distribution and storage to the MCC and perform planning and scheduling of services in coordination with the Operations Segment for the O2O Ground Segment. The O2O Ground Segment will support the following O2O mission phases: Pre-Mission Planning; Daily Operations Planning; Event Execution; and Post-Pass Reporting. O2O will be used to exchange data files between Orion and the MCC and to distribute real-time video through the optical downlink service to the MCC; which would not be possible without the high-bandwidth link that O2O will provide to Orion. In this paper, I will discuss the O2O Ground Segment development approach and how it will support these critical O2O functions: plan and schedule the contact; acquire and track the optical link; flow information bidirectionally; distribute information; and control and accommodate the system.

optical communications↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Variability in Modelled Airborne Dust Mineralogy Derived from Global Soil Composition Uncertainties

Dust aerosols consist on a variety of minerals with different physic and chemical properties. As such, they interact with short and long wave radiation, potentially form clouds, act as nutrients modulating biogeochemical cycles, or influence atmospheric chemistry, differently. Most current state-of-the-art Earth System Models (ESMs) neglect the complexity in dust composition, mainly due to computational constraints, but also to the existing uncertainties in the size resolved composition of parent soils, the resulting distribution of minerals in airborne dust, and the scarcity of observations to constrain them. Within this work, we assess the variability of global dust composition due to uncertainties in the characterization of the parent soil mineralogy. To that end, we consider two available global soil mineralogy atlases, developed by Claquin et al. (1999) –C1999- and Journet et al. (2014) –J2014-, which represent respectively 8 and 12 relevant minerals for climate (namely: illite, smectite/montmorillonite, kaolinite, calcite, gypsum, hematite, quartz, and feldspars in C1999, and those plus chlorite, vermiculite, goethite, and mica in J2014). Thanks to a recently developed feature of the MONARCH atmospheric-chemistry model, we are able to explicitly resolve the minerals’ atmospheric cycle. Therefore, we define two global experiments to assess changes on airborne dust composition attributed to the soil mineralogy assumptions and provide a measure of their variability. We also perform a preliminary evaluation of the global mineralogy results against available observations of mineral fractions in surface dust concentration. Our results will inform the climate modelling community about the potential variability in dust composition, an aspect that will gain relevance as ESMs continue growing in complexity and new processes to better characterize aerosols’ forcing or biogeochemical cycles are added. Further observational constraints, such as those that will derive from the EMIT NASA mission on soil composition or the FRAGMENT experimental campaigns on airborne dust characterization, will be key in the near future to improve our understanding of the impact of dust mineralogy on fundamental climate features.

Dust aerosols↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Current Status of NASA’s Low-Cost Optical Terminal (LCOT) at Goddard Space Flight Center

This paper provides the status of ongoing work at NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) to build a low-cost flexible ground terminal for optical communication. For laser communication to be cost-effective for future missions, a global network of flexible optical terminals must be put in place. There is a need for a single ground terminal design capable of supporting multiple missions ranging from LEO to lunar distances. NASA’s Low-Cost Optical Terminal (LCOT) has a single modular design that can be quickly reconfigured to support different laser communications missions. The LCOT prototype uses a 70cm commercially available telescope designed with optical and quantum communications in mind. This telescope is currently being integrated with a state-of-the-art adaptive optics system, and novel high-power laser amplifier demonstrate its utility as an optical communications receiver by receiving a downlink from the recently launched Laser Communication Relay Demonstration (LCRD). LCOT uses commercially available components wherever possible, and where commercial options are not available, the LCOT team works with vendors to create commercial options. This paper discusses the development progress for the blueprint of NASA’s future global ground terminal network.

Laser communications↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The Role of Internal Variability and Feedbacks Controlling AMOC Stability

A bi-stable mode of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is found in a 10-member ensemble simulation of the SSP2-4.5 scenario using the NASA GISS-E2-1-G climate model. Local feedbacks in the subpolar North Atlantic region in conjunction with internal variability in sea-ice transport and melt play a critical role in causing the divergent behavior of the AMOC in the ensemble members. While other fully coupled models have demonstrated the important role of surface freshening in leading to AMOC shutdown, either through hosing experiments or increased precipitation and greenhouse gas warming at high latitudes, in the GISS simulations, there are no external freshwater perturbations. This is the first time that a CMIP-class model has shown such a bifurcation across an initial condition ensemble.

Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation↗