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Rosen, R. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Rosen, R. D..

At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1997

Atmospheric Angular Momentum Fluctuations During 1979-1988 Simulated by Global Circulation Models

Changes in major global dynamical phenomena in the Earth's atmosphere are manifested in the time series of atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), as determined directly from meteorological observations and indirectly from geodetic observations of small fluctuations in the rotation of the solid Earth which are proportional to length of day. AAM fluctuations are intimately linked with energetic processes throughout the whole atmosphere and also with the stresses at the Earth's surface produced largely by turbulent momentum transport in the oceanic and continental boundary layers and by the action of normal pressure forces on orographic features. A stringent test of any numerical global circulation model (GCM) is therefore provided by a quantitative assessment of its ability to represent AAM fluctuations on all relevant timescales, ranging from months to several years. From monthly data provided by the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) of the World Climate Research Programme, we have investigated seasonal and interannual fluctuations and the decadal mean in the axial component of AAM in 23 AMIP GCMs over the period 1979-1988. The decadal means are generally well simulated, with the model median value (1.58 x 10(exp 26) kg sq m/s) being only 3.5% larger than the observed mean and with 10 of the models being within 5% of the observed. The seasonal cycle is well reproduced, with the median amplitude of the models seasonal standard deviations being only 2.4% larger than observed. Half the seasonal amplitudes lie within 15% of the observed, and the median correlation found between the observed and model seasonal cycles is 0.95. The dominant seasonal error is an underestimation of AAM during northern hemisphere winter associated with errors in the position of subtropical jets. Less robust are the modeled interannual variations, although the median correlation of 0.61 between model simulations and observed AAM is statistically significant. The two El Nino-Southem Oscillation events that occurred during the AMIP decade 1979-1988 have the expected positive AAM anomalies, although the AAM signature of the 1982-1983 event tends to be underestimated and that of the 1986-1987 event overestimated.

Hide, R.↗
NASA NTRS1997

Atmospheric Angular Momentum Fluctuations During 1979-1988 Simulated by Global Circulation Models

Changes in major global dynamical phenomena in the Earth's atmosphere are manifested in the time series of atmospheric angular momentum (AAM), as determined directly from meteorological observations and indirectly from geodetic observations of small fluctuations in the rotation of the solid Earth which are proportional to length of day. AAM fluctuations are intimately linked with energetic processes throughout the whole atmosphere and also with the stresses at the Earth's surface produced largely by turbulent momentum transport in the oceanic and continental boundary layers and by the action of normal pressure forces on orographic features. A stringent test of any numerical global circulation model (GCM) is therefore provided by a quantitative assessment of its ability to represent AAM fluctuations on all relevant timescales, ranging from months to several years. From monthly data provided by the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) of the World Climate Research Programme, we have investigated seasonal and interannual fluctuations and the decadal mean in the axial component of AAM in 23 AMIP GCMs over the period 1979-1 988. The decadal means are generally well simulated, with the model median value (1.58 x 10(exp 26) kg sq m/s) being only 3.5% larger than the observed mean and with 10 of the models being within 5% of the observed. The seasonal cycle is well reproduced, with the median amplitude of the models' seasonal standard deviations being only 2.4% larger than observed. Half the seasonal amplitudes lie within 15% of the observed, and the median correlation found between the observed and model seasonal cycles is 0.95. The dominant seasonal error is an under- estimation of AAM during northern hemisphere winter associated with errors in the position of subtropical jets. Less robust are the modeled interannual variations, although the median correlation of 0.61 between model simulations and observed AAM is statistically significant. The two El Nino-Southern Oscillation events that occurred during the AMIP decade 1979-1988 have the expected positive AAM anomalies, although the AAM signature of the 1982-1983 event tends to be underestimated and that of the 1986-1987 event overestimated.

Hide, R.↗
NASA NTRS1996

Atmospheric Angular Momentum Fluctuations in Global Circulation Models During the Period 1979-1988

...A stringent test of any numerical global circulation model (GCM) is therefore provided by a quantitative assessment of its ability to represent AAM fluctuations on all relevant time scales, ranging from months to several years. From monthly data provided by the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), we have investigated seasonal and interanual fluctuations and the decadal means are generally well simulated.

Earth's↗
NASA NTRS1990

Forecasting atmospheric angular momentum and length-of-day using operational meteorological models

Forecasts of zonal wind fields produced by the medium-range forecast model of the U.S. National Meteorological Center are used to create predictions of the atmosphere's angular momentum at lead times of 1-10 days. The skill of these forecasts, which are of interest to those concerned with monitoring changes in the length-of-day for navigational purposes, is assessed, and the regions in the atmosphere that contribute most importantly to forecast errors are identified.

Rosen, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Causes of rapid motions of the earth's pole

Analysis of new, highly accurate geodetic data reveals rapid motions of the earth's pole, with peak-to-peak variations of about 0.002 to 0.020 seconds of arc, fluctuating on timescales between two weeks and several months. Comparison with meteorological excitation estimates shows that these motions are at least partially driven by surface air pressure changes as modified by the response of sea level to atmospheric loading. Such geodetic measurements thus potentially provide a novel means of observing the dynamics of the atmosphere and oceans at very low spatial wavenumbers.

Eubanks, T. M.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Generation of available potential energy and the energy cycle during the global weather experiment

Two major themes were pursued during this research period. The first of these involved examining the impacts of satellite-based data and the forecast model used by the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) on general circulation statistics. For the other major topic, the diabatic heating fields produced by GLA were examined for one month during the FGGE First Special Observing Period. As part of that effort, the three-dimensional distribution of the four component heating fields were studied, namely those due to shortwave radiation, Q sub SW, longwave radiation, Q sub LW, sensible heating, Q sub S, and latent heating, Q sub L. These components were calculated as part of the GLA analysis/forecast system and archived every quarter day; from these archives cross products with temperature were computed to enable the direct calculation of certain terms of the large-scale atmospheric energy cycle, namely those involving the generation of available potential energy (APE). The decision to archive the diabatic heating components separately has enabled researchers to study the role of the various processes that drive the energy cycle of the atmosphere.

Salstein, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Impact of FGGE on diagnoses of the general circulation

Several studies have pointed out that a number of significant differences exist in circulation fields derived from the various Level IIIb analyses. For example, differences in the strength of the January Hadley cell between the GFDL and ECMWF analyses are as large as 35 percent, and there are some locations over the Northern Hemisphere where the 200 mb zonal wind in January differs by 10 m/s between these two analyses. Calculations of the global energy cycle based on the GFDL and ECMWF analyses are significantly different as well. In addition, the uncertain quality of some of the FGGE IIIb moisture and vertical motion fields raises doubts about whether new insights into the role of these fields in the general circulation will be gained from the FGGE data. Overall, therefore, a sense of disappointment emerges that the FGGE analyses have thus far failed to live up to the expectation that they would yield more definitive general circulation statistics. The shortcomings in the Level IIIb analyses need to be rectified before full confidence can be placed in results pertaining to the general circulation that are based on such modern data assimilation approaches.

Rosen, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Contribution of stratospheric winds to annual and semiannual fluctuations in atmospheric angular momentum and the length of day

It is pointed out that modern data sets pertaining to the motions of the solid earth and the atmosphere have begun to achieve an accuracy sufficient to justify renewed interest in the classic problem of explaining variations in the rotation rate of the earth. The possibility exists that deficiencies in the current meteorological data sets account for most of the discrepancies in the annual and semiannual earth-atmosphere momentum budgets. On the basis of composite stratospheric wind analyses produced by Belmont et al. (1974), it has been demonstrated that the seasonal components of the stratosphere's momentum could contribute significantly to a reduction of the seasonal discrepancies thought to exist in the earth-atmosphere momentum budget. The present investigation is further concerned with this subject. A newly available stratospheric wind data set is utilized in conjunction with concurrent U.S. National Meteorological Center data and data of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts.

Rosen, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Generation of available potential energy and the energy cycle during the global weather experiment

Two parallel sets of analyses, which in one case included and in the other omitted data observed by satellite based and other FGGE special observing systems are examined. The results of our previous work is extended in two separate, but not unrelated, ways. First, from these two parallel analyses, which are labeled FGGE (full FGGE system) and NOSAT (satellite omitted), it was discovered that the two sets of fields were quite close over much of the globe. Locally the influence of satellite based systems led to some differences, particularly over the Southern Hemisphere Oceans. The diabatic heating fields generated by the GLA FGGE analysis was also examined. From these fields, one can ascertain the role of total diabatic heating and of the various diabatic heating components in the atmospheric energy cycle, in particular in the generation of available potential energy.

Salstein, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Generation of Available Potential Energy and Other Diagnostic Studies During FGGE

The energy cycle of the atmosphere was examined by utilizing gridded analyses of the state of the atmosphere produced by a special objective analysis system and the GLAS fourth order general circulation model. The analyses of a month period during the first special observing period of FGGE are produced at GLAS. The various diabatic heating fields necessary for direct computation of the generation of available potential energy (P) are recorded.

Salstein, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1984

An El Nino signal in atmospheric angular momentum and earth rotation

Anomalously high values of atmospheric angular momentum and length of day were observed in late January 1983. This signal in the time series of these two coupled quantities appears to have been a consequence of the equatorial Pacific Ocean warming event of 1982-1983.

Rosen, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The atmospheric lifetime experiment. I - Introduction, instrumentation, and overview

The Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment is designed to determine accurately the atmospheric concentrations of the four halocarbons CFCl3, CF2Cl2, CCl4, and CH3CCl3, and also of N2O with emphasis on measurement of their long-term trends in the atmosphere. Comparison of these concentrations and trends for the four halocarbons with estimates of their industrial emission rates then enables calculations of their global circulation rates and globally averaged atmospheric lifetimes. The experiment utilizes automated dual-column electron-capture gas chromatographs which sample the background air about 4 times daily at the following globally distributed sites: Adrigole, Ireland, Cape Meares, Oregon; Ragged Point, Barbados; Point Matatula, American Samoa, and Cape Grim, Tasmania. The climatology of these 'clean air' sites and their ability to describe the global air mass are reviewed. The instrumentation and methods for data acquisition and processing are then described. An overview of the data obtained and the trends derived during the 3-year period from July 1978 through June 1981 for each of the five species being measured is presented.

Prinn, R. G.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The atmospheric lifetime experiment. III - Lifetime methodology and application to three years of CFCL3 data

Observations of the chlorofluorocarbon CFCl3 obtained several times daily over the period July 1978 to June 1981 at Adrigole, Ireland; Ragged Point, Barbados; Point Matatula, American Samoa; and Cape Grim, Tasmania are reported. In addition, observations at Cape Meares, Oregon are given for the period January 1980 to June 1981. On January 1, 1980, the average mixing ratio of CFCl3 in the lower troposphere is esimated to have been 168 pptv, and this is calculated to have been increasing 5.7 percent annually. Assuming that the only destruction of CFCl3 occurs in the stratosphere, the lifetime, on January 1, 1980, estimated by a trend technique is 83 + 73, or -27 years; the lifetime estimated from the global inventory of CFCl3 is to + 89 or -25 years. The maximum likelihood current lifetime estimate obtained by combining the estimates from both analysis techniques is 78 years.

Cunnold, D. M.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Variations in atmospheric angular momentum on global and regional scales and the length of day

It is pointed out that a fundamental measure of the dynamic state of the atmosphere is its angular momentum about the polar axis relative to the earth. Hide et al. (1980) demonstrated the potential which now exists for studying high frequency changes in atmospheric angular momentum by using the global grid point analyses produced by the British Meteorological Office and by the U.S. National Meteorological Center (NMC) for the same 4-month period. The present investigation is concerned with an extension of the work of Hide et al. by using six years (1976-1981) of NMC twice-daily global analyses to create and study a lengthy time series of high temporal resolution angular momentum values. Changes in these atmospheric values are compared with independently determined changes in the rotation rate of the solid earth. The atmospheric data are examined in more detail to determine the time and space scales on which variations in momentum occur within the atmosphere and the regions which contribute most to the changes found in the global integral.

Rosen, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The latitude-height structure of 40-50 day variations in atmospheric angular momentum

Using five years of U.S. National Meteorological Center twice-daily global analyses, a description of the two-dimensional latitude-height structure of the winds responsible for quasi-periodic variations in the relative angular momentum of the atmosphere observed by Langley et al. (1981) is constructed. Cross-spectral and amplitude phase eigenvector techniques indicate that these variations are associated with wave-like motions in the tropical upper troposphere which propagate poleward and downward in phase within the tropics. The tropical component is suggested to be the zonally averaged part of the motions described by Madden and Julian (1971, 1972), while a Northern Hemisphere midlatitude component whose phase is essentially independent of height may be a direct response to the tropical motions. Alternatively, both motions may be the common response to an as yet unidentified tropical forcing.

Anderson, J. R.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Variations in atmospheric angular momentum and the length of day

Six years of twice daily global analyses were used to create and study a lengthy time series of high temporal resolution angular momentum values. Changes in these atmospheric values were compared to independently determined charges in the rotation rate of the solid Earth. Finally, the atmospheric data was examined in more detail to determine the time and space scales on which variations in momentum occur within the atmosphere and which regions are contributing most to the changes found in the global integral. The data and techniques used to derive the time series of momentum values are described.

Rosen, R. D.↗