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Rothrock, D. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Rothrock, D. A..

Role of the Polar Oceans in Global Climate

The project focused on ice-ocean model development and in particular on the assimilation of ice motion data and ice concentration data into both regional and global models. Many of the resulting publications below deal with improvements made in the physics treated by the model and the procedures for assimilating data. Several papers examine how the ability of the model to simulate the past behavior of the ice cover, especially to represent the ice thickness and ice deformation, is improved by data assimilation. A second aspect of the work involved interpretation of modeled behavior. Resulting papers treat the decline of arctic ice thickness over the last thirty years, and how that decline was caused by a slight warming of the near-surface atmosphere, and also how large variation in ice thickness are due to changes in wind patterns associated with a well- known oscillation of the atmospheric circulation. The research resulted in over 20 published papers on these topics.

Rothrock, D. A.

Variablility of Fram Strait Ice Flux

We estimate the winter sea ice export through the Fram Strait using ice motion from satellite passive microwave data. Sea ice motion (October through May)is obtained by tracking the displacement of common features in sequential 85 GHz and 37 GHz brightness temperature fields.

Fram Strait Ice Flux North Atlantic Oscillation

Surface Turbulent Fluxes Over Pack Ice Inferred from TOVS Observations

A one-dimensional, atmospheric boundary layer model is coupled to a thermodynamic ice model to estimate the surface turbulent fluxes over thick sea ice. The principal forcing parameters in this time-dependent model are the air temperature, humidity, and wind speed at a specified level (either at 2 m or at 850 mb) and the downwelling surface radiative fluxes. The free parameters. are the air temperature, humidity, and wind speed profiles below the specified level, the surface skin temperature, the ice temperature profile, and the surface turbulent fluxes. The goal is to determine how well we can estimate the turbulent surface heat and momentum fluxes using forcing parameters from atmospheric temperatures and radiative fluxes retrieved from the TIROS-N Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) data. Meteorological observations from the Lead Experiment (LeadEx, April 1992) ice camp are used to validate turbulent fluxes computed with the surface observations and the results are used to compare with estimates based on radio-sonde observations or with estimates based on TOVS data. We find that the TOVS-based estimates of the stress are significantly more accurate than those found with a constant geostrophic drag coefficient, with a root-mean-square error about half as large. This improvement is due to stratification effects included in the boundary layer model. The errors in the sensible heat flux estimates, however, are large compared to the small mean values observed during the field experiment.

Lindsay, R. W.

Accuracy of sea ice temperature derived from the advanced very high resolution radiometer

The accuracy of Arctic sea ice surface temperatures T(sub s) dericed from advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) thermal channels is evaluated in the cold seasons by comparing them with surface air temperatures T(sub air) from drifting buoys and ice stations. We use three different estimates of satellite surface temperatures, a direct estimate from AVHRR channel 4 with only correction for the snow surface emissivity but not for the atmosphere, a single-channel regression of T(sub s) with T(sub air), and Key and Haefliger's (1992) polar multichannel algorithm. We find no measurable bias in any of these estimates and few differences in their statistics. The similar performance of all three methods indicates that an atmospheric water vapor correction is not important for the dry winter atmosphere in the central Arctic, given the other sources of error that remain in both the satellite and the comparison data. A record of drifting station data shows winter air temperature to be 1.4 C warmer than the snow surface temperature. `Correcting' air temperatures to skin temperature by subtracting this amount implies that satellite T(sub s) estimates are biased warm with respect to skin temperature by about this amount. A case study with low-flying aircraft data suggests that ice crystal precipitation can cause satellite estimates of T(sub s) to be several degrees warmer than radiometric measurements taken close to the surface, presumably below the ice crystal precipitation layer. An analysis in which errors are assumed to exist in all measurements, not just the satellite measurements, gives a standard deviation in the satellite estimates of 0.9 C, about half the standard deviation of 1.7 C estimated by assigning all the variation between T(sub s) and T(sub air) to errors in T(sub s).

Yu, Y.

Arctic sea ice leads from advanced very high resolution radiometer images

A large number of advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) images from throughout 1989 are analyzed to determine lead characteristics. The units of analysis are square 200-km cells, and there are 270 such cells in the data set. Clouds are masked manually. Leads determine from images of the potential open water delta, a scaled version of the surface temperature or albedo that weights thin ice by its thermal or brightness impact. The lead fraction is determined as the mean delta, the monthly mean lead fraction ranges from 0.02 in winter to 0.06 in summer in the central Arctic and is near 0.08 in the winter in the peripheral seas. A method of accounting for lead width sampling errors due to the finite sample areas is introduced. In the central Arctic the observed mean lead width for a threshold of delta = 0.1 ranges from 2 or 3 km (near the resolution of the instrument) in the winter to 6 km in the summer. In the peripheral seas it is about 5 km in the winter. Width distributions are often more heavily weighted in the tail than exponential distributions and are well approximated by a power law. The along-track, number density power law N = aw(exp -6) has a mean exponent of b = 1.60 (standard deviation 0.18) and shows some seasonal variability. Mean floe widths in the central Arctic are 40 to 50 km in the winter, dropping to about 10 km in the summer. For floes the power law has a mean exponent of 0.93 and exhibits a clearer annual cycle. Lead orientation is determined with a method based on the direction of maximum extent.

Lindsay, R. W.

Arctic sea ice albedo from AVHRR

The seasonal cycle of surface albedo of sea ice in the Arctic is estimated from measurements made with the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on the polar-orbiting satellites NOAA-10 and NOAA-11. The albedos of 145 200-km-square cells are analyzed. The cells are from March through September 1989 and include only those for which the sun is more than 10 deg above the horizon. Cloud masking is performed manually. Corrections are applied for instrument calibration, nonisotropic reflection, atmospheric interference, narrowband to broadband conversion, and normalization to a common solar zenith angle. The estimated albedos are relative, with the instrument gain set to give an albedo of 0.80 for ice floes in March and April. The mean values for the cloud-free portions of individual cells range from 0.18 to 0.91. Monthly averages of cells in the central Arctic range from 0.76 in April to 0.47 in August. The monthly averages of the within-cell standard deviations in the central Arctic are 0.04 in April and 0.06 in September. The surface albedo and surface temperature are correlated most strongly in March (R = -0.77) with little correlation in the summer. The monthly average lead fraction is determined from the mean potential open water, a scaled representation of the temperature or albedo between 0.0 (for ice) and 1.0 (for water); in the central Arctic it rises from an average 0.025 in the spring to 0.06 in September. Sparse data on aerosols, ozone, and water vapor in the atmospheric column contribute uncertainties to instantaneous, area-average albedos of 0.13, 0.04, and 0.08. Uncertainties in monthly average albedos are not this large. Contemporaneous estimation of these variables could reduce the uncertainty in the estimated albedo considerably. The poor calibration of AVHRR channels 1 and 2 is another large impediment to making accurate albedo estimates.

Lindsay, R. W.

The Arctic Ocean ice balance - A Kalman smoother estimate

The methodology of Kalman filtering and smoothing is used to integrate a 7-year time series of buoy-derived ice motion fields and satellite passive microwave observations. The result is a record of the concentrations of open water, first-year ice, and multiyear ice that we believe is better than the estimates based on the microwave data alone. The Kalman procedure interprets the evolution of the ice cover in terms of advection, melt, growth, ridging, and aging of first-year into multiyear ice. Generally, the regions along the coasts of Alaska and Siberia and the area just north of Fram Strait are sources of first-year ice, with the rest of the Arctic Ocean acting as a sink for first-year ice via ridging and aging. All the Arctic Ocean except for the Beaufort and Chukchi seas is a source of multiyear ice, with the Chukchi being the only internal multiyear ice sink. Export through Fram Strait is a major ice sink, but we find only about two-thirds the export and greater interannual variation than found in previous studies. There is no discernible trend in the area of multiyear ice in the Arctic Ocean during the 7 years.

Thomas, D. R.

Ice tracking techniques, implementation, performance, and applications

Present techniques of ice tracking make use both of cross-correlation and of edge tracking, the former being more successful in heavy pack ice, the latter being critical for the broken ice of the pack margins. Algorithms must assume some constraints on the spatial variations of displacements to eliminate fliers, but must avoid introducing any errors into the spatial statistics of the measured displacement field. We draw our illustrations from the implementation of an automated tracking system for kinematic analyses of ERS-1 and JERS-1 SAR imagery at the University of Alaska - the Alaska SAR Facility's Geophysical Processor System. Analyses of the ice kinematic data that might have some general interest to analysts of cloud-derived wind fields are the spatial structure of the fields, and the evaluation and variability of average deformation and its invariants: divergence, vorticity and shear. Many problems in sea ice dynamics and mechanics can be addressed with the kinematic data from SAR.

Rothrock, D. A.

Opening and closing of sea ice leads - Digital measurements from synthetic aperture radar

An algorithm that uses two sequential SAR digital images to measure the opening and closing of sea ice leads is introduced. The methods used to analyze the SAR images is described, including the mesh of tie points and the classification of leads and ice. The results of the anaylsis are compared with independent manual measurements, showing that the cells covering each lead are best interpreted as opening or closing in a group, rather than individually. Also, consideration is given to an automated algorithm for grouping cells, the possibility of simplifying the method, and the relationship between the opening and closing measurements and the theory of their parametric relation to mean deformation.

Fily, M.

Estimating sea ice concentration from satellite passive microwave data and a physical model

Sea ice remote sensing and estimation of concentrations of each of several ice types from passive microwave satellite data is described. The approach is based on the Kalman filter; it incorporates surface temperature, ice advection, and ice deformation data derived from drifting buoys and uses the whole temporal microwave record to make a smoothed estimate of ice concentration. The method allows resolution of previously ambiguous surface types. An example using time histories of two SMMR measurements to resolve the fractional areas of four surface types: open water, first-year, second-year and older multiyear ice is shown.

Rothrock, D. A.

Sea ice tracking by nested correlations

Spatial differences in sea ice displacement affect ice stress, ice production, and the mass balance of the ice cover. Concepts about the spatial structure of this field have been undernourished because of a paucity of data with high spatial detail and because of the tedium of extracting such measurements from images manually. A method is described that measures displacements from synthetic aperture radar digital imagery with fine spatial resolution, and does so fully automatically. Many small areas of ice common to two images are identified by correlating the two images. The strategy is to acquire a crude displacement field first from highly averaged images, and to refine this field with images of successively higher resolution. The median discrepancy between automatically and manually measured displacements is three pixels (0.075 km). The algorithm operates successfully on compact ice with large floes and modest rotation rates; it is believed it will prove applicable to most of the arctic ice cover throughout the year.

Fily, Michael

Quantitative use of satellite SAR imagery of sea ice

An automatic technique to obtain ice motion based on maximizing cross-correlation and employing a strategy of nested calculations has been developed and used to obtain displacements of more than 2000 tie-points on a 2 km mesh grid. The mean displacement error is 250 m and is as low as manual data error of 150 m on rigid pieces. The method allows tie-points to be found on a regular grid in a fully automatic fashion. Full resolution data are not needed to maximize the accuracy of displacement measurements, a result which is significant for SAR images, with their large amounts of data.

Fily, M.

Weddell-Scotia sea marginal ice zone observations from space, October 1984

Imagery from the Shuttle imaging radar-B experiment as well as other satellite and meteorological data are examined to learn more about the open sea ice margin of the Weddell-Scotia Seas region. At the ice edge, the ice forms into bandlike aggregates of small ice floes similar to those observed in the Bering Sea. The radar backscatter characteristics of these bands suggest that their upper surface is wet. Further into the pack, the radar imagery shows a transition to large floes. In the open sea, large icebergs and long surface gravity waves are discernable in the radar images.

Carsey, F. D.

Extracting sea ice data from satellite SAR imagery

With the prospect operational satellite SAR's by the end of the decade, there is a clear need to develop automated algorithms for the extraction of geophysical data about sea ice from high resolution radar imagery. To this end, techniques were developed for distinguishing ice from open water and for resolving the details of deformation within areas 100 km square imaged by SEASAT SAR. The classification of ice and open water is based on the creation of two bands of lower resolution image data: local average brightness, and the local variance of brightness. In the space of these two variables, ice and open water are separated into two distinct clusters. The deformation is found on a 3.4 km mesh by local cross-correlations of the brightness. Comparison with manually determined deformation shows room for improvement in regions of high deformation by using smaller areas for cross-correlation. Th concentration and deformation data are used together to determine localized regions of the scene where open water is produced or lost.

Fily, M.

Measuring the sea ice floe size distribution

The sea ice covering the Arctic Ocean is broken into distinct pieces,called floes. In the summer, these floes, which have diameters ranging up to 100 km, are separated from each other by a region of open water. In the winter, floes still exist, but they are less easily identified. An understanding of the geometry of the ice pack is of interest for a number of practical applications associated with transportation in ice-covered seas and with the design of offshore structures intended to survive in the presence of ice. The present investigation has the objective to clarify ideas about floe sizes and to propose techniques for measuring them. Measurements are presented with the primary aim to illustrate points of technique or approach. A preliminary discussion of the floe size distribution of sea ice is devoted to questions of definition and of measurement.

Rothrock, D. A.

Southern ocean sea-ice morphology and kinematics

A pilot satellite experiment is described which would employ shuttle imaging radar (SIR) to determine the applicability of imaging radar for the description of sea ice type and movement. The experimental objectives, design, and anticipated results are discussed. The results are expected to constitute an important contribution to the understanding of the role of sea ice in air-sea interactions in polar regions. It is proposed that shuttle photography, thematic mapper imagery, and SIR data be utilized in this remote sensing project.

Carsey, F.

Remote sensing of floe size distribution and surface topography

Floe size can be measured by several properties p- for instance, area or mean caliper diameter. Two definitions of floe size distribution seem particularly useful. F(p), the fraction of area covered by floes no smaller than p; and N(p), the number of floes per unit area no smaller than p. Several summertime distributions measured are a graph, their slopes range from -1.7 to -2.5. The variance of an estimate is also calculated.

Rothrock, D. A.