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Schoeberl, Mark

Publications and source records attributed to Schoeberl, Mark.

At least 19 records

Impact of Convectively Detrained Ice Crystals on the Tropical Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere

The role of convectively detrained ice crystals on the humidity of the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) is investigated in simulations of cirrus clouds along trajectories launched from the 378K potential temperature level in the tropics. The one-dimensional (vertical) cloud model tracks individual ice crystals through their lifecycle beginning with detrainment from convection, followed by deposition growth, sedimentation and sublimation. Convective influence of the parcels is diagnosed by tracing the trajectories through time-dependent fields of convective cloud-top height adjusted to match the CloudSAT and CALIPSO statistics. Model simulations of UTLS water vapor and cloud fields are evaluated and constrained by comparison with Aura MLS and CALIPSO measurements. Preliminary results indicate sensitivity of the detrained ice crystal lifecycle to atmospheric conditions downstream of convection. Specifically, cooling (high relative humidity and supersaturation) downstream of convection leads to deposition growth and sedimentation of detrained ice crystals, resulting in net dehydration of the UTLS. In contrast, warming (low relative humidity and subsaturation) downstream of convection leads to sublimation of detrained ice crystals and subsequent hydration. As such, the impact of detrained ice crystals on the humidity of the UTLS exhibits distinct spatial variability. Detrained ice crystals predominantly dehydrate the UTLS in the tropical mean. Sensitivities to the convectively detrained ice crystal size and concentration are also examined using measurements from the StatoClim aircraft campaign. The importance of convectively detrained ice crystals will be discussed within the context of the overall contribution of convection to the lower stratospheric humidity.

Ueyama, Rei

Global Assimilation of Loon Stratospheric Balloon Observations

Project Loon has an overall goal of providing worldwide internet coverage using a network of long-durationsuper-pressure balloons. Since 2013, Loon has launched over 1600 balloons from multiple tropical and middlelatitude locations. These GPS tracked balloon trajectories provide lower stratospheric wind information overthe oceans and remote land areas where traditional radiosonde soundings are sparse, thus providing uniquecoverage of lower stratospheric winds. To fully investigate these Loon winds we: 1) compare the Loon windsto winds produced by a global data assimilation system (DAS: NASA GEOS) and 2) assimilate the Loon windsinto the same comprehensive DAS. Results show that in middle latitudes the Loon winds and DAS winds agreewell, and the Loon wind assimilation has only a minor impact on the forecasts. However, in the Tropics, thereis often a substantial difference between the assimilated winds and the observed Loon winds, of 8 m/s or morein magnitude. In these cases, assimilating the Loon winds significantly improves the meteorological analysesand subsequently the forecasts of the Loon winds. By highlighting cases where the Loon and DAS winds differ,these results can lead to improved understanding of stratospheric winds, especially in the tropics, as well asaiding analyses of the representation of dynamical forcing mechanisms in the GEOS model.

Coy, Lawrence

A Method for Obtaining High Frequency, Global, IR-Based Convective Cloud Tops for Studies of the TTL

Models of varying complexity that simulate water vapor and clouds in the Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL) show that including convection directly is essential to properly simulating the water vapor and cloud distribution. In boreal winter, for example, simulations without convection yield a water vapor distribution that is too uniform with longitude, as well as minimal cloud distributions. Two things are important for convective simulations. First, it is important to get the convective cloud top potential temperature correctly, since unrealistically high values (reaching above the cold point tropopause too frequently) will cause excessive hydration of the stratosphere. Second, one must capture the time variation as well, since hydration by convection depends on the local relative humidity (temperature), which has substantial variation on synoptic time scales in the TTL. This paper describes a method for obtaining high frequency (3-hourly) global convective cloud top distributions which can be used in trajectory models. The method uses rainfall thresholds, standard IR brightness temperatures, meteorological temperature analyses, and physically realistic and documented corrections IR brightness temperature corrections to derive cloud top altitudes and potential temperatures. The cloud top altitudes compare well with combined CLOUDSAT and CALIPSO data, both in time-averaged overall vertical and horizontal distributions and in individual cases (correlations of .65-.7). An important finding is that there is significant uncertainty (nearly .5 km) in evaluating the statistical distribution of convective cloud tops even using lidar. Deep convection whose tops are in regions of high relative humidity (such as much of the TTL), will cause clouds to form above the actual convection. It is often difficult to distinguish these clouds from the actual convective cloud due to the uncertainties of evaluating ice water content from lidar measurements. Comparison with models show that calculated cloud top altitudes are generally higher than those calculated by global analyses (e.g., MERRA). Interannual variability in the distribution of convective cloud top altitudes is also investigated.

hydration

Ticosonde CFH at Costa Rica: A Seasonal Climatology of Tropical UT-LS Water Vapor and Inter-Comparisons with MLS and CALIPSO

Balloon sonde measurements of tropical water vapor using the Cryogenic Frostpoint Hygrometer were initiated in Costa Rica in July 2005 and have continued to the present day. Over the nine years through July 2014, the Ticosonde program has launched 174 CFH payloads, representing the longest-running and most extensive single-site balloon dataset for tropical water vapor. In this presentation we present a seasonal climatology for water vapor and ozone at Costa Rica and examine the frequency of upper tropospheric supersaturation with comparisons to cloud fraction and cloud ice water content observations from the Cloud Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) on the CALIPSO mission. We then make a critical comparison of these data to water vapor measurements from the MLS instrument on board Aura in light of recently published work for other sites. Finally, we examine time series of 2-km altitude averages in the upper troposphere-lower stratosphere at Costa Rica in light of anomalies and trends seen in various large-scale indices of tropical water vapor.

water vapor

Evidence of Convective Redistribution of Carbon Monoxide in Aura Tropospheric Emission Sounder (TES) and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) Observations

Vertical convective transport is a key element of the tropospheric circulation. Convection lofts air from the boundary layer into the free troposphere, allowing surface emissions to travel much further, and altering the rate of chemical processes such as ozone production. This study uses satellite observations to focus on the convective transport of CO from the boundary layer to the mid and upper troposphere. Our hypothesis is that strong convection associated with high rain rate regions leads to a correlation between mid level and upper level CO amounts. We first test this hypothesis using the Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) chemistry and transport model. We find the correlation is robust and increases as the precipitation rate (the strength of convection) increases. We next examine three years of CO profiles from the Tropospheric Emission Sounder (TES) and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) instruments aboard EOS Aura. Rain rates are taken from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B-42 multi-satellite product. Again we find a correlation between mid-level and upper tropospheric CO, which increases with rain rate. Our result shows the critical importance of tropical convection in coupling vertical levels of the troposphere in the transport of trace gases. The effect is seen most clearly in strong convective regions such as the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone.

Manyin, Michael

The Aerosol/Cloud/Ecosystems Mission (ACE)

The goals and measurement strategy of the Aerosol/Cloud/Ecosystems Mission (ACE) are described. ACE will help to answer fundamental science questions associated with aerosols, clouds, air quality and global ocean ecosystems. Specifically, the goals of ACE are: 1) to quantify aerosol-cloud interactions and to assess the impact of aerosols on the hydrological cycle and 2) determine Ocean Carbon Cycling and other ocean biological processes. It is expected that ACE will: narrow the uncertainty in aerosol-cloud-precipitation interaction and quantify the role of aerosols in climate change; measure the ocean ecosystem changes and precisely quantify ocean carbon uptake; and, improve air quality forecasting by determining the height and type of aerosols being transported long distances. Overviews are provided of the aerosol-cloud community measurement strategy, aerosol and cloud observations over South Asia, and ocean biology research goals. Instruments used in the measurement strategy of the ACE mission are also highlighted, including: multi-beam lidar, multiwavelength high spectra resolution lidar, the ocean color instrument (ORCA)--a spectroradiometer for ocean remote sensing, dual frequency cloud radar and high- and low-frequency micron-wave radiometer. Future steps for the ACE mission include refining measurement requirements and carrying out additional instrument and payload studies.

Schoeberl, Mark

The Aura Mission, Science and Validation

The EOS-Aura Mission is designed to answer three basic questions concerning the Earth's atmosphere: 1) Is stratospheric ozone recovering as predicted, 2) what are the processes that control air quality, and 3) how is changes in atmospheric chemistry effecting climate? Aura's four instruments work synergistically and are dedicated to answering these questions. Aura's instruments observe from the ultraviolet to the microwave region and view in the nadir and limb. This capability allows measurements of all the critical source, radical, and reservoir gases in the stratosphere to be observed globally on a daily basis. Aura will also continue the TOMS global ozone trend record. Observations in the troposphere will be conducted with the best spatial resolution and coverage ever achieved from space. Key pollutants, including aerosols, gases, and their precursors are the primary targets for Aura. High vertical resolution measurements will be made in the vicinity of the tropopause to better define the interactions of the UT/LS and particularly determine the amount downward transport of ozone and upward transport.of water vapor where both contribute to climate forcing. Aura will also measure aerosols in the stratosphere and troposphere where they play a role in ozone chemistry, air quality and climate. Aura data will be used by several environmental agencies for their decision support systems. Aura post launch validation program includes an augmented ground based measurement program which include the operational networks which measure atmospheric composition. Validation will be conducted under a range of geophysical conditions and throughout most of Aura s observing range. Balloon campaigns will conducted from a variety of latitudes and numerous aircraft missions are planned to cover an altitude range from the middle troposphere to the lower stratosphere and include in-situ and remote sensors. Long duration Un-inhabited aircraft are also being considered as part of the validation program. Substantial collaboration is planned with other chemistry satellite missions such as Envisat, SciSat, and Odin in order to make efficient use of resources and to provide continuity among these missions.

Hilsenrath, Ernest

Active and Passive Sensing from Geosynchronous and Libration Orbits

The development of the LEO (EOS) missions has led the way to new technologies and new science discoveries. However, LEO measurements alone cannot cost effectively produce high time resolution measurements needed to move the science to the next level. Both GEO and the Lagrange points, L1 and L2, provide vantage points that will allow higher time resolution measurements. GEO is currently being exploited by weather satellites, but the sensors currently operating at GEO do not provide the spatial or spectral resolution needed for atmospheric trace gas, ocean or land surface measurements. It is also may be possible to place active sensors in geostationary orbit. It seems clear, that the next era in earth observation and discovery will be opened by sensor systems operating beyond near earth orbit.

Schoeberl, Mark

The Earth System Model

The Earth System Model is the natural evolution of current climate models and will be the ultimate embodiment of our geophysical understanding of the planet. These models are constructed from components - atmosphere, ocean, ice, land, chemistry, solid earth, etc. models and merged together through a coupling program which is responsible for the exchange of data from the components. Climate models and future earth system models will have standardized modules, and these standards are now being developed by the ESMF project funded by NASA. The Earth System Model will have a variety of uses beyond climate prediction. The model can be used to build climate data records making it the core of an assimilation system, and it can be used in OSSE experiments to evaluate. The computing and storage requirements for the ESM appear to be daunting. However, the Japanese ES theoretical computing capability is already within 20% of the minimum requirements needed for some 2010 climate model applications. Thus it seems very possible that a focused effort to build an Earth System Model will achieve succcss.

Schoeberl, Mark

The Aura Mission and Its Application to Climate and Air Quality

NASA's Aura satellite is scheduled to launch in the second quarter of 2004 into a polar orbit. The Aura mission is designed to collect data to address three high priority environmental science questions: (1) Is the ozone layer recovering as expected? (2) What are the sources and processes that control tropospheric pollutants? And (3) what is the quantitative impact of constituents on climate change? Aura will answer these questions by globally measuring a comprehensive set of trace gases and aerosols in the troposphere and stratosphere. Aura data will also have applications for monitoring and predicting climate and air quality parameters. Aura s observations will continue the TOMS ozone trend record and provide an assessment as to whether the Montreal Protocol is achieving its objective. Aura will measure gases and aerosols in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere that contribute to climate forcing. These data will be of sufficient coverage, vertical resolution, and accuracy to help constrain climate models. In addition, Aura observations of tropospheric ozone and its precursors will have regional as well as intercontinental coverage, which could improve emission inventories. Near real time data will tested for local air quality forecasts in collaboration with the US's Environmental Protection UV-B forecasts from Aura ozone and cloud cover data. An overview of Aura s instruments, data products, validation, and examples of data applications will be presented.

Hilsenrath, Ernest

Extratropical Stratosphere-Troposphere Mass Exchange

Global net mass flux between the troposphere and the stratosphere can be computed simply by estimating the heating rate along the 380K isentropic surface and the time rate of change of the lower most stratosphere (region between the tropopause and 380K). Given the net tropopause mass flux and the cross tropopause diabatic flux, the residual adiabatic mass flux can be estimated. These fluxes have been computed using three different meteorological data sets, the FVGCM and two assimilation data sets, FVDAS, and UKMO, using the 3.5 PVU defined tropopause. For all three data sets, the extratropical diabatic flux across the tropopause is generally to be larger than the net flux cross tropopause flux implying that there is a net extra-tropical adiabatic flux of air from the troposphere into the middle world stratosphere. This adiabatic flux is four to five times larger than the flux into the stratosphere across the tropical tropopause. For the FVDAS, the tropopause diabatic flux is smaller than UKMO as a result of colder tropopause temperatures. The difference in the diabatic mass fluxes by almost a factor of two between the two data assimilation meteorological analyses is much larger than the interannual variability in the UKMO or FVGCM data sets. Compared to radiosonde estimated tropopause temperatures, both data assimilation tropopause temperatures are warm biased due to a low bias in the tropopause heights. These comparisons point to the PV determination of the tropopause height as the source of the differences in the mass fluxes.

Schoeberl, Mark

Clouds in the Winter Arctic Tropopause Region

Water vapor in the winter arctic tropopause region is important because, after the tropical tropopause region, the winter arctic tropopause has the coldest temperatures in the tropospheric northern hemisphere. This suggests the potential for cloud formation that can remove water vapor from a part of the atmosphere where radiatively active gases (such as water) exert a disproportionate influence on the earth's radiation budget. Previous work by the same authors has shown that this cloud formation extends into the stratosphere, with 20% of the parcels having ozone values of 300-350 ppbv experiencing ice saturation in any given 10 day period period during the late winter. In fact, temperatures are cold enough that 5-10% of the parcels experience saturation even if the water content is below the prevailing stratospheric value of 5 ppmv. This work describes a case study of clouds observed by aircraft near the winter arctic tropopause during the SAGE Ozone Loss and Validation Experiment (SOLVE). This provided a unique opportunity to examine dehydration processes in this region since in situ water, tracer, cloud particle, and meteorological data were all available simultaneously. During this period, temperatures were cold enough at the tropopause to produce saturation mixing ratios of 3-4 ppmv. Thus, clouds were actually observed within the stratosphere. Back trajectories indicate that the air in these clouds came from lower latitudes and altitudes. The study describes the nature of the clouds, the history of the air, and the possible implications for the upper tropospheric water budget.

Pfister, Leonhard

The Aqua-Aura Train

This talk will focus on the afternoon constellation of EOS platforms and the scientific benefits that arise from this formation. The afternoon EOS constellation or the "A-train" will provide unprecedented information on clouds and aerosols. At 1:30 PM crossing time EOS-Aqua begins the train with the MODIS, CERES and AIRS instruments making aerosol, cloud, radiation budget , temperature and water vapor measurements. AMSR-E will also make total column water measurements. Following Aqua by one minute, Cloudsat will make active radar precipitation measurements as and PICASSOCENA will make lidar measurements of clouds and aerosols. Fourteen minutes later, EOS-Aura will pass through the same space making upper troposphere water vapor and ice profiles as well as some key trace gases associated with convective processes (MLS and HIRDLS). Additional measurements of aerosols will be made by Aura's OMI instrument.

Schoeberl, Mark

The New MODIS-Terra, and the Proposed COBRA Mission: First Global Aerosol Distribution and Properties Over Land and Ocean, and Plans to Measure Global Black Carbon Absorption Over the Ocean Glint

The MODIS instrument was launched on the NASA Terra satellite in Dec. 1999. Since last Oct, the sensor and the aerosol algorithm reached maturity and provide global daily retrievals of aerosol optical thickness and properties. MODIS has 36 spectral channels in the visible to IR with resolution down to 250 m. This allows accurate cloud screening and multi-spectral aerosol retrievals. We derive the aerosol optical thickness over the ocean and most of the land areas, distinguishing between fine (mainly man-made aerosol) and coarse (mainly natural) aerosol particles. New methods to derive the aerosol absorption of sunlight are also being developed. These measurements are use to track different aerosol sources, transport and the radiative forcing at the top and bottom of the atmosphere. However MODIS or any present satellite sensor cannot measure absorption by Black Carbon over the oceans, a critical component in studying climate change and human health. For this purpose we propose the COBRA mission that observes the ocean at glint and off glint simultaneously measuring the spectral polarized light and deriving precisely the aerosol absorption.

Kaufman, Yoram J.

Processes Controlling Water Vapor in the Winter Arctic Stratospheric Middleworld

Water vapor in the winter arctic stratospheric middleworld is import-an: for two reasons: (1) the arctic middleworld is a source of air for the upper Troposphere because of the generally downward motion, and thus its water vapor content helps determine upper tropospheric water, a critical part of the earth's radiation budget; and (2) under appropriate conditions, relative humidities will be large, even to the point of stratospheric cirrus cloud formation, leading to the production of active chlorine species that could destroy ozone. On a number of occasions during SOLVE, clouds were observed in the stratospheric middleworld by the DC-8 aircraft. These tended to coincide with regions of low temperatures, though some cases suggest water vapor enhancements due to troposphere-to-stratosphere transport. The goal of this work is to understand the importance of processes in and at the edge of the arctic stratospheric middleworld in determining water vapor at these levels. Specifically, is water vapor at these levels determined largely by the descent of air from above, or are clouds both within and at the edge of the stratospheric middleworld potentially important? How important is troposphere-to-stratosphere transport of air in determining stratospheric middleworld water vapor content? To this end, we will first examine the minimum saturation mixing ratios along theta/EPV tubes during the SOLVE winter and compare these with DC-8 water vapor observations. This will be a rough indicator of how high relative humidities can get, and the likelihood of cirrus cloud formation in various parts of the stratospheric middleworld. We will then examine saturation mixing ratios along both diabatic and adiabatic trajectories, comparing these values with actual aircraft water vapor observations, both in situ and remote. Finally, we will attempt to actually predict water vapor using minimum saturation mixing ratios along trajectories, cloud injection (derived from satellite imagery) along trajectories, and suitable initial conditions.

Pfister, Leonhard

Microphysical Modelling of Polar Stratospheric Clouds During the 1999-2000 Winter

The evolution of the 1999-2000 Arctic winter has been examined using a microphysical/photochemical model run along diabatic trajectories. A large number of trajectories have been generated, filling the vortex throughout the region of polar stratospheric cloud (PSC) formation, and extending from November until the vortex breakup, in order to provide representative sampling of the evolution of PSCs and their effect on stratospheric chemistry. The 1999-2000 winter was particularly cold, allowing extensive PSC formation. Many trajectories have ten-day periods continuously below the Type I PSC threshold; significant periods of Type II PSCs are also indicated. The model has been used to test the extent and severity of denitrification and dehydration predicted using a range of different microphysical schemes. Scenarios in which freezing only occurs below the ice frost point (causing explicit coupling of denitrification and dehydration) have been tested, as well as scenarios with partial freezing at warmer temperatures (in which denitrification can occur independently of dehydration). The sensitivity to parameters such as aerosol freezing rates and heterogeneous freezing have been explored. Several scenarios cause sufficient denitrification to affect chlorine partitioning, and in turn, model-predicted ozone depletion, demonstrating that an improved understanding of the microphysics responsible for denitrification is necessary for understanding ozone loss rates.

Drdla, Katja

The EOS-CHEM Mission

The EOS-CHEM Mission is currently scheduled for launch in late 2002. The payload consists of four instruments: a microwave limb sounder, MLS, an infrared limb sounder, HIRDLS, an infrared nadir and limb Fourier transform spectrometer, TES, and a UV backscatter sounder, OMI, The science objectives of the CHEM mission will be discussed as well as the observing strategies. The limb instruments are designed to make near coincidental measurements of the same air mass thus providing a nearly complete assessment of key stratospheric trace gases. The nadir instruments will provide the first global measurements of tropospheric ozone and the tropospheric ozone residual.

Schoeberl, Mark

Future Weather Forecasting in the Year 2020-Investing in Technology Today: Improving Weather and Environmental Predictions

Fast-forward twenty years to the nightly simultaneous TV/webcast. Accurate 8-14 day regional forecasts will be available as will be a whole host of linked products including economic impact, travel, energy usage, etc. On-demand, personalized street-level forecasts will be downloaded into your PDA. Your home system will automatically update the products of interest to you (e.g. severe storm forecasts, hurricane predictions, etc). Short and long range climate forecasts will be used by your "Quicken 2020" to make suggest changes in your "futures" investment portfolio. Through a lively and informative multi-media presentation, leading Space-Earth Science Researchers and Technologists will share their vision for the year 2020, offering a possible futuristic forecast enabled through the application of new technologies under development today. Copies of the 'broadcast' will be available on Beta Tape for your own future use. If sufficient interest exists, the program may also be made available for broadcasters wishing to do stand-ups with roll-ins from the San Francisco meeting for their viewers back home.

Anthes, Richard