Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Sean Davis.
Stakeholders and end users with diverse backgrounds in atmospheric science gathered to provide the state of the science and user needs for operational atmospheric composition measurements to inform future NOAA low-Earth-orbit satellite missions.
This study presents an updated evaluation of stratospheric ozone profile trends in the 60°S - 60°N latitude range over the 2000 - 2020 period using an updated version of the Long-term Ozone Trends and Uncertainties in the Stratosphere (LOTUS) regression model that was used to evaluate such trends up to 2016 for the last WMO Ozone Assessment (2018). In addition to the derivation of detailed trends as a function of latitude and vertical coordinates, the regressions are performed with the data sets averaged over broad latitude bands, i.e., 60°S–35°S, 20°S–20°N and 35°N–60°N. The same methodology as in the last Assessment is applied to combine trends in these broad latitude bands in order to compare the results with the previous studies. Longitudinally resolved merged satellite records are also considered in order to provide a better comparison with trends retrieved from ground-based records, e.g., lidar, ozone sondes, Umkehr, microwave and Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectrometers at selected stations where long-term time series are available. The study includes a comparison with trends derived from the REF-C2 simulations of the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI-1). This work confirms past results showing an ozone increase in the upper stratosphere, which is now significant in the three broad latitude bands. The increase is largest in the northern and southern hemisphere midlatitudes, with ~2.2%/decade at ~2.1 hPa, and ~2.1%/decade at ~3.2 hPa respectively, compared to ~1.6%/decade at ~2.6 hPa in the tropics. New trend signals have emerged from the records, such as a significant decrease of ozone in the tropics around 35 hPa and a non-significant increase of ozone in the southern midlatitudes at about 20 hPa. Non-significant negative ozone trends are derived in the lowermost stratosphere, with the most pronounced trends in the tropics. While a very good agreement is obtained between trends from merged satellite records and the CCMI-1 REF-C2 simulation in the upper stratosphere, observed negative trends in the lower stratosphere are not reproduced by models at southern and, in particular, at northern midlatitudes, where models report an ozone increase. However, the lower stratospheric trend uncertainties are quite large, for both measured and modelled trends. Finally, 2000-2020 stratospheric ozone trends derived from the ground-based and longitudinally resolved satellite records are in reasonable agreement over the European Alpine and tropical regions, while at the Lauder station in the southern hemisphere mid-latitudes they show some differences.
The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment III on the International Space Station (SAGE III/ISS) was launched on February 19, 2017 and began routine operation in June 2017. The first two years of SAGE III/ISS (v5.1) solar ozone data were evaluated by using correlative satellite and ground-based measurements. Among the three (MES, AO3, and MLR) SAGE III/ISS solar ozone products, AO3 ozone shows the best accuracy and precision, with mean biases less than 5% for altitudes ~15–55 km in the mid-latitudes and ~20–55 km in the tropics. In the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere, AO3 ozone shows high biases that increase with decreasing altitudes and reach ~10% near the tropopause. Preliminary studies indicate that those high biases primarily result from the contributions of the oxygen dimer (O4) not being appropriately removed within the ozone channel. The precision of AO3 ozone is estimated to be ~3% for altitudes between 20 and 40 km. It degrades to ~10–15% in the lower mesosphere (~55 km), and ~20–30% near the tropopause. There could be an altitude registration error of ~100 meter in the SAGE III/ISS auxiliary temperature and pressure profiles. This, however, does not affect retrieved ozone profiles in native number density on geometric altitude coordinates. In the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere (~40–55 km) the SAGE III/ISS (and SAGE II) sunset ozone values are systematically higher than sunrise data by ~5–8% which are almost twice larger than what observed by other satellites or model predictions. This feature needs further study.
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The warm phase ENSO event (El Nino) of 2015/2016 produced significant perturbations to the Tropical Pacific, from sea surface to tropical tropopause and above. Although there have been 3 El Ninos during the modern "A-Train" era, the most recent El Nino started earlier in the year, was located farther west and was stronger than those of 2006/7 and 2009/10. Using A-Train observations, we show that during the 2015/16 El Nino the center of convective activity moved from the tropical western Pacific (TWP) to the central Pacific, just to the east of the dateline. This caused a record amount of cloud ice to occur near or above the environmental cold-point tropopause. Coincidently there was a large positive anomaly in tropical lower stratospheric water vapor, warming of the tropopause over the TWP, and changes to the stratospheric QBO. Using ten+ years of A-Train data and the MERRA-2 reanalysis fields, we explore the observed relationships between the 3D patterns of cloud ice, water vapor, ozone, aerosols and other trace gases in the tropical Pacific, and correlations with the ENSO and QBO cycles.
In this reanalysis inter-comparison study, we compare the modeled Cold-point tropopause temperature (CPT from model level data) near the equator to that of multi-mission GNSS-RO within a preliminary time period of 2007-2011. The known reanalysis CPT temperature warm bias is studied relative to the phase of equatorial waves filtered from GNSS-RO at tropopause level. This uncovers a common denominator in the CPT temperature bias behavior in all reanalyses: - When equatorial waves are present, within their cold phase the reanalysis bias is increased by over 1K, i.e. >1K on top of the reanalysis average warm bias. - Within an equatorial wave’s warm phase, the opposite is observed, with the reanalysis CPT temperature bias even being reversed at higher equatorial wave amplitudes, i.e. the modeled CPT becoming too cold in these cases. - With no equatorial wave anomalies present, the reanalysis bias remains at the average reported in previous inter-comparisons that looked at zonal-mean CPT biases. Inertia-Gravity and Mixed Rossby-Gravity waves show this behavior most clearly, Kelvin waves show a similar modulation but with half of the magnitude, and equatorial Rossby wave modulation of CPT reanalysis bias is still apparent but with further decreased magnitude. This hints on a time-space scale-dependence, with medium-smaller-scale and faster equatorial waves influencing CPT reanalysis bias the most. For comparison, the large-scale and slow-moving MJO does not show any of the effects described above. Current work focuses on the data assimilation response of the reanalysis systems, again relative to the equatorial wave’s phases.
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In this study, we evaluate a decadal ozone profile record derived from Suomi NPP Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) Limb Profiler (LP). The data from OMPS LP were re-processed with the new retrieval algorithm from 2012 to present. The new reprocessing includes adjustments in both Level 1 and Level 2 algorithms. The sensor’s altitude registration, updates in radiometric calibrations, under-sampling and stray light corrections were addressed in Level 1 processing. The new retrieval algorithm (version 2.7) combines measurements from UV and VIS parts of the spectra to retrieve a single vertical ozone profile between 12.5 km (or cloud tops) and 57.5 km, unlike to previous version 2.5 where ozone profiles were retrieved independently from UV and VIS. To improve ozone retrievals in the Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) region, we implemented a new aerosol correction that assumes a gamma-function particle size distribution. In addition, ozone and nitrogen dioxide cross sections and climatologies were updated. We discuss sensitivity of the ozone retrievals to implemented changes in Level 1 and Level 2 algorithms. We focus our analysis on evaluation of the stability of the 10-year record from OMPS LP. We show results from the internal methods for characterizing the stability of the LP altitude registration and compare the LP reflectivity and ozone with the similar quantities measured by OMPS nadir sensors. Finally, we will show results from comparisons with independent satellite (MLS and SAGE III) and ozone sonde measurements.
In this presentation we evaluate ozone profile retrievals from Ozone Mapping and Profiling Suite Limb Profiler (OMPS-LP) launched in October 2011 on Suomi NPP satellite. The data from OMPS-LP were re-processed with the new retrieval algorithm that combines measurements from UV and VIS parts of the spectra to retrieve a single ozone profile between 12.5 km (or cloud tops) and 57.5 km. To improve ozone retrievals in the Upper Troposphere Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) region, a new aerosol correction with a gamma-function particle size distribution was implemented. The OMPS-LP altitude registration was also adjusted in the new version to ensure the stability of the ozone record. The continuous ozone profile observations with Suomi NPP OMPS LP exceeds 10 years. We will compare OMPS-LP ozone profiles with coincident stratospheric ozone measurements from NASA Aura MLS, ISS SAGE III, and OMPS NP and with the observations in UTLS and middle stratosphere from a ground-based network of ozone sonde stations to evaluate accuracy and precision of OMPS-LP retrievals and overall stability of the record. We will also investigate the quality of stratospheric ozone columns obtained from OMPS-LP and estimate the contribution of various errors to integrated stratospheric columns from OMPS-LP.
Reanalysis datasets are widely used to understand numerous atmospheric processes. Different reanalyses may give very different results for the same diagnostics. The Stratosphere-troposphere Processes And their Role in Climate (SPARC) Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP, https://s-rip.github.io/) is a coordinated activity to compare key diagnostics among available reanalyses, identify differences among reanalyses and their underlying causes, provide guidance on appropriate usage of reanalyses in scientific studies, and contribute to future improvements in the reanalysis products via collaborations with reanalysis centers and data users. S-RIP Phase 1 (completed in early 2022) focused primarily on the upper troposphere through the middle atmosphere and processes linking these regions to the troposphere and surface. We look forward to broadening our efforts in Phase 2 (S-RIP2), with new foci including studies of tropospheric circulation, extreme weather events, and their links to the stratosphere, and focusing on evaluation of chemical reanalyses, both those with a stratosphere / upper troposphere focus and those that focus on air quality applications. This presentation will provide a summary of Phase 1 results and discussion of future directions for S-RIP2, emphasizing applications to composition and chemistry studies as well as fostering capacity building for Early Career Scientists.
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