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Sean N Raymond

Publications and source records attributed to Sean N Raymond.

12 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2021

Refining the Transit Timing and Photometric Analysis of TRAPPIST-1: Masses, Radii, Densities, Dynamics, and Ephemerides

We have collected transit times for the TRAPPIST-1 system with the Spitzer Space Telescope over four years. We add to these ground-based, HST, and K2 transit-time measurements, and revisit an N-body dynamical analysis of the seven-planet system using our complete set of times from which we refine the mass ratios of the planets to the star. We next carry out a photodynamical analysis of the Spitzer light curves to derive the density of the host starand the planet densities. We find that all seven planets’ densities may be described with a single rocky mass–radius relation which is depleted in iron relative to Earth, with Fe 21 wt% versus 32 wt% for Earth, and otherwise Earth-like in composition. Alternatively, the planets may have an Earth-like composition but enhanced in light elements,such as a surface water layer or a core-free structure with oxidized iron in the mantle. We measure planet masses toa precision of 3%–5%, equivalent to a radial-velocity(RV)precision of 2.5 cm s−1, or two orders of magnitude more precise than current RV capabilities. We find the eccentricities of the planets are very small, the orbits are extremely coplanar, and the system is stable on 10 Myr timescales. We find evidence of infrequent timing outliers, which we cannot explain with an eighth planet; we instead account for the outliers using a robust likelihood function. We forecast JWST timing observations and speculate on possible implications of the planet densities forthe formation, migration, and evolution of the planet system.

Eric Agol↗
NASA NTRS2016

The Habitability of Proxima Centauri b: I. Irradiation, Rotation and Volatile Inventory From Formation to the Present

Proxima b is a planet with a minimum mass of 1.3 M(sub ⨁) orbiting within the habitable zone (HZ) of Proxima Centauri, a very low-mass, active star and the Sun’s closest neighbor. Here we investigate a number of factors related to the potential habitability of Proxima b and its ability to maintain liquid water on its surface. We set the stage by estimating the current high-energy irradiance of the planet and show that the planet currently receives 30 times more extreme-UV radiation than Earth and 250 times more X-rays. We compute the time evolution of the star’s spectrum, which is essential for modeling the flux received over Proxima b’s lifetime. We also show that Proxima b’s obliquity is likely null, and its spin is either synchronous or in a 3:2 spin-orbit resonance, depending on the planet’s eccentricity and level of triaxiality. Next, we consider the evolution of Proxima b’s water inventory. We use our spectral energy distribution to compute the hydrogen loss from the planet with an improved energy-limited escape formalism. Despite the high level of stellar activity, we find that Proxima b is likely to have lost less than an Earth ocean’s worth of hydrogen (EO(sub H)) before it reached the HZ 100–200 Myr after its formation. The largest uncertainty in our work is the initial water budget, which is not constrained by planet formation models. We conclude that Proxima b is a viable candidate habitable planet.

Proxima Cen↗
NASA NTRS2016

The Habitability of Proxima Centauri b II. Possible Climates and Observability

Radial velocity monitoring has found the signature of a M sin i = 1.3 M(sub ⨁) planet located within the habitable zone (HZ) of Proxima Centauri. Despite a hotter past and an active host star, the planet Proxima b could have retained enough volatiles to sustain surface habitability. Here we use a 3D Global Climate Model (GCM) to simulate the atmosphere and water cycle of Proxima b for its two likely rotation modes (1:1 and 3:2 spin-orbit resonances), while varying the unconstrained surface water inventory and atmospheric greenhouse effect. Any low-obliquity, low-eccentricity planet within the HZ of its star should be in one of the climate regimes discussed here. We find that a broad range of atmospheric compositions allow surface liquid water. On a tidally locked planet with sufficient surface water inventory, liquid water is always present, at least in the substellar region. With a non-synchronous rotation, this requires a minimum greenhouse warming (~10 mbar of CO2 and 1 bar of N2). If the planet is dryer, ~0.5 bar or 1.5 bars of CO2 (for asynchronous or synchronous rotation, respectively) suffice to prevent the trapping of any arbitrary, small water inventory into polar or nightside ice caps. We produce reflection and emission spectra and phase curves for the simulated climates. We find that atmospheric characterization will be possible via direct imaging with forthcoming large telescopes. The angular separation of 7 λ/D at 1 μm (with the E-ELT) and a contrast of ~10(exp -7) will enable high-resolution spectroscopy and the search for molecular signatures, including H2O, O2, and CO2. The observation of thermal phase curves can be attempted with the James Webb Space Telescope, thanks to a contrast of 2 × 10(exp -5) at 10 μm. Proxima b will also be an exceptional target for future IR interferometers. Within a decade it will be possible to image Proxima b and possibly determine whether the surface of this exoplanet is habitable.

Proxima Cen↗
NASA NTRS2016

Planet Formation Imager (PFI): Science Vision and Key Requirements

The Planet Formation Imager (PFI) project aims to provide a strong scientific vision for ground-based optical astronomy beyond the upcoming generation of Extremely Large Telescopes. We make the case that a breakthrough in angular resolution imaging capabilities is required in order to unravel the processes involved in planet formation. PFI will be optimised to provide a complete census of the protoplanet population at all stellocentric radii and over the age range from 0.1 to ~ 100 Myr. Within this age period, planetary systems undergo dramatic changes and the final architecture of planetary systems is determined. Our goal is to study the planetary birth on the natural spatial scale where the material is assembled, which is the “Hill Sphere” of the forming planet, and to characterise the protoplanetary cores by measuring their masses and physical properties. Our science working group has investigated the observational characteristics of these young protoplanets as well as the migration mechanisms that might alter the system architecture. We simulated the imprints that the planets leave in the disk and study how PFI could revolutionise areas ranging from exoplanet to extragalactic science. In this contribution we outline the key science drivers of PFI and discuss the requirements that will guide the technology choices, the site selection, and potential science/technology tradeoffs.

Planet formation↗
NASA NTRS2016

Is There an Exoplanet in the Solar System?

We investigate the prospects for the capture of the proposed Planet 9 from other stars in the Sun’s birth cluster. Any capture scenario must satisfy three conditions: the encounter must be more distant than ∼150 au to avoid perturbing the Kuiper belt; the other star must have a wide-orbit planet (a ≳ 100 au); the planet must be captured on to an appropriate orbit to sculpt the orbital distribution of wide-orbit Solar system bodies. Here we use N-body simulations to show that these criteria may be simultaneously satisfied. In a few per cent of slow close encounters in a cluster, bodies are captured on to heliocentric, Planet 9-like orbits. During the ∼100 Myr cluster phase, many stars are likely to host planets on highly eccentric orbits with apastron distances beyond 100 au if Neptune-sized planets are common and susceptible to planet–planet scattering. While the existence of Planet 9 remains unproven, we consider capture from one of the Sun’s young brethren a plausible route to explain such an object’s orbit. Capture appears to predict a large population of trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) whose orbits are aligned with the captured planet, and we propose that different formation mechanisms will be distinguishable based on their imprint on the distribution of TNOs.

Kuiper belt↗
NASA NTRS2016

Did Jupiter's Core Form in the Innermost Parts of the Sun's Protoplanetary Disc?

Jupiter’s core is generally assumed to have formed beyond the snow line. Here we consider an alternative scenario, that Jupiter’s core may have accumulated in the innermost parts of the protoplanetary disk. A growing body of research suggests that small particles (“pebbles”) continually drift inward through the disk. If a fraction of drifting pebbles is trapped at the inner edge of the disk a several Earth-mass core can quickly grow. Subsequently, the core may migrate outward beyond the snow line via planet-disk interactions. Of course, to reach the outer Solar System Jupiter’s core must traverse the terrestrial planet-forming region. We use N-body simulations including synthetic forces from an underlying gaseous disk to study how the outward migration of Jupiter’s core sculpts the terrestrial zone. If the outward migration is fast (τ(sub mig) ∼ 10(exp 4) years), the core simply migrates past resident planetesimals and planetary embryos. However, if its migration is slower (τ(sub mig) ∼ 10(exp 5) years) the core removes solids from the inner disk by shepherding objects in mean motion resonances. In many cases the disk interior to 0.5-1 AU is cleared of embryos and most planetesimals. By generating a mass deficit close to the Sun, the outward migration of Jupiter’s core may thus explain the absence of terrestrial planets closer than Mercury. Jupiter’s migrating core often stimulates the growth of another large (∼ Earth-mass) core – that may provide a seed for Saturn’s core – trapped in exterior resonance. The migrating core also may transport a fraction of terrestrial planetesimals, such as the putative parent bodies of iron meteorites, to the asteroid belt.

Protoplanetary disks↗
NASA NTRS2015

Mercury-T: A New Code to Study Tidally Evolving Multi-Planet Systems. Applications to Kepler-62

A large proportion of observed planetary systems contain several planets in a compact orbital configuration, and often harbor at least one close-in object. These systems are then most likely tidally evolving. We investigate how the effects of planet-planet interactions influence the tidal evolution of planets. We introduce for that purpose a new open-source addition to the Mercury N-body code, Mercury-T, which takes into account tides, general relativity and the effect of rotation-induced flattening in order to simulate the dynamical and tidal evolution of multi-planet systems. It uses a standard equilibrium tidal model, the constant time lag model. Besides, the evolution of the radius of several host bodies has been implemented (brown dwarfs, M-dwarfs of mass 0:1 M(sub ⨀), Sun-like stars, Jupiter). We validate the new code by comparing its output for one-planet systems to the secular equations results. We find that this code does respect the conservation of total angular momentum. We applied this new tool to the planetary system Kepler-62. We find that tides influence the stability of the system in some cases. We also show that while the four inner planets of the systems are likely to have slow rotation rates and small obliquities, the fifth planet could have a fast rotation rate and a high obliquity. This means that the two habitable zone planets of this system, Kepler-62e ad f are likely to have very different climate features, and this of course would influence their potential at hosting surface liquid water..

Dynamical evolution and stability↗
NASA NTRS2015

Terrestrial Planet Formation Constrained By Mars and the Structure of the Asteroid Belt

Reproducing the large Earth/Mars mass ratio requires a strong mass depletion in solids within the protoplanetary disc between 1 and 3 au. The Grand Tack model invokes a specific migration history of the giant planets to remove most of the mass initially beyond 1 au and to dynamically excite the asteroid belt. However, one could also invoke a steep density gradient created by inward drift and pile-up of small particles induced by gas drag, as has been proposed to explain the formation of close-in super-Earths. Here we show that the asteroid belt’s orbital excitation provides a crucial constraint against this scenario for the Solar system. We performed a series of simulations of terrestrial planet formation and asteroid belt evolution starting from discs of planetesimals and planetary embryos with various radial density gradients and including Jupiter and Saturn on nearly circular and coplanar orbits. Discs with shallow density gradients reproduce the dynamical excitation of the asteroid belt by gravitational self-stirring but form Mars analogues significantly more massive than the real planet. In contrast, a disc with a surface density gradient proportional to r(exp −5.5) reproduces the Earth/Mars mass ratio but leaves the asteroid belt in a dynamical state that is far colder than the real belt. We conclude that no disc profile can simultaneously explain the structure of the terrestrial planets and asteroid belt. The asteroid belt must have been depleted and dynamically excited by a different mechanism such as, for instance, in the Grand Tack scenario.

Numerical methods↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Late Accretion of large Dark Asteroids and Their Implantation into the Outer Main Belt

Dark (geometric albedo < 0.09) asteroidsare genetically linked to carbonaceous chondrites. Most of these asteroids are located in the mid-outer main belt (2.5 < a < 4.0 AU)and thought to be remnants of the primary accretion of the first solar system planetesimals. Here we presentnew near-infrared (NIR: ~0.5-4.0 μm) reflectance spectra of dark and large (diameter > 100 km) asteroidsmeasured atNASA Infrared Telescope Facility (IRTF).We place the astronomical observations of these large dark asteroids in the context of the thermal evolution and dynamical models and provide new interpretations for the origin and evolution of these asteroids. The astronomical observations together with thermal evolution and dynamical modeling show late accretion and implantation to a confined heliocentric region (~3.0 < a < 3.4 AU)for these large dark asteroids, in agreement with the dynamical predictions. Average densities of large and dark asteroids suggest highly porous interiors and, consequently, relatively late accretion ata time of 1.5-3.5 Myr relative to the formation of calcium-aluminum-rich inclusions with maximum interior temperatures of < 900 K. This work demonstrates that thederived accretion times of large dark asteroids do not correlate in any way with their current semimajor axes. Large and dark asteroidswere likely implanted from more distant regions of the solar system during the giant planet’s dynamical instability. The discovery of dark large asteroids that are smaller than Ceres near its orbital vicinity suggests that this dwarf planet is not unique in the main belt and its surface composition is not driven by its very large size.

Driss Takir↗