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Sowder, Andrew

Publications and source records attributed to Sowder, Andrew.

Build-to-Replace: A New Paradigm for Reducing Advanced Reactor O&M Costs

Nuclear energy is a carbon free source of reliable, resilient, and dispatchable energy that has the potential to feature prominently in a future energy mix. To this end, many new reactor designs are being developed to help reduce cost and improve safety. Operating and maintenance (O&M) costs can make up a significant portion of lifecycle costs. Traditional approaches for nuclear plant design O&M is to perform significant inspections and testing of plant equipment to extend the life of equipment as long as possible. This is contrasted with approaches used in other industries where equipment is replaced when it is no longer functional in lieu of spending time and resources on maintenance. This research investigated the “build-to-replace” approach for new nuclear power plants. A methodology was developed to evaluate the effectiveness of the “build-to-replace” approach. Several scenarios were developed and analyzed using the approach. Modest reductions in O&M costs were obtained in some cases.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Nuclear Power's Future Role in a Decarbonized U.S. Electricity System

This study explores the potential future role of nuclear energy in a decarbonized U.S. electricity system through a multi-model comparison approach. We employ four state-of-the-art CEMs with native and harmonized input assumptions, layered with different policy and technology trajectories. Comparing outputs across models, technology assumptions, and policy scenarios informs model understanding, interpretation, and development decisions. Under current policies, models differ in their projections for nuclear retirements, but nuclear power plants consistently run with high capacity factors and new builds only occur in scenarios with very low nuclear costs. String power sector carbon policies drive models to align in keeping existing nuclear capacity and employing nuclear plant flexibility, but they may not be enough to bring new nuclear capacity online in the absence of significant cost declines. Therefore, significant economic deployment of new nuclear capacity requires both a stringent electric sector CO2 policy and very low cost assumptions for new nuclear. While these scenarios should not be interpreted as predictions, they are informative for understanding differing model assessments of the relative competitiveness of nuclear energy under a range of policy and technology conditions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Potential Role for New Nuclear in the U.S. Power System: A View from Electricity System Modelers

There are diverse views on the role nuclear power might play in a decarbonized energy system, with some vocal viewpoints suggesting nuclear should either have no role or that nuclear should be a key pillar. Here we present a perspective on the role of nuclear power based on our collective experience in modeling nuclear power within the decarbonized U.S. power systems. We summarize the costs of current reactor development projects, and compare their stated costs with the costs that our models indicate is necessary in order to see deployment of new nuclear. We also discuss aspects of new nuclear deployment that are not included in our models but can influence decisions about whether to invest in new nuclear capacity.

decarbonization↗

Modeling nuclear energy’s future role in decarbonized energy systems

Increased attention has been focused on the potential role of nuclear energy in future electricity markets and energy systems as stakeholders target rapid and deep decarbonization and reductions in fossil fuel use. This paper examines models of electric sector planning and broader energy systems optimization to understand the prospective roles of nuclear energy and other technologies. In this perspective, we survey modeling challenges in this environment, illustrate opportunities to propagate best practices, and highlight insights from the deep decarbonization literature on the range of visions for nuclear energy's role. Nuclear energy deployment is highest with combinations of stringent emissions policies, nuclear cost reductions, and constraints on the deployment of other technologies, which underscores model dimensions related to these areas. New modeling capabilities are needed to adequately address emerging issues, including representing characteristics and applications of nuclear energy in systems models, and to ensure the relevance of models for policy and planning as deeper decarbonization is explored.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Nuclear Energy Model Intercomparison Project

This document summarizes the current status and future plans of the Nuclear Model Intercomparison Project. The objectives of this project are to understand how issues central to nuclear energy are modeled in long-term capacity expansion models, to investigate how model structures and input assumptions impact projections for nuclear’s role, to refine model representations of nuclear energy, and to communicate findings to the research community and decision-makers. High-level goals are discussed for each of the four participating model groups: the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). This document summarizes scenarios and assumptions for the model comparison, outcomes from the first workshop, and next steps.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Separating Nuclear Reactors from the Power Block with Heat Storage: A New Power Plant Design Paradigm

The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) conducted a workshop on Separating Nuclear Reactors from the Power Block with Heat Storage: A New Power Plant Design Paradigm. The workshop was held as three webinars (July 29, August 12 and August 26, 2020). These proceedings include this abstract, an executive summary, the main report and presentations. There are two reasons to consider a new design paradigm. First, the market is changing with (1) the addition of variable wind and solar that results in highly volatile electricity prices and (2) the goal of a low-carbon economy that requires (a) economic dispatchable electricity that is now provided by natural gas turbines in the United States and (b) heat for industry and commerce. Second, nuclear plant requirements have changed in the last 50 years suggesting that a lower-cost plant layout may be to separate the nuclear island from the power block with a clear separation of the nuclear island with nuclear requirements and the power block built to industrial standards.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗