Engineering topics
Springer, Martin (ORCID:000000016803108X)
Publications and source records attributed to Springer, Martin (ORCID:000000016803108X).
Advancing Our Understanding of System Availability through the PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative
The PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative partners with photovoltaic (PV) fleet owners to collect time-series data of PV production data and publishes aggregated anonymized results of system performance metrics. With an extensive dataset drawn from over 2,200 PV systems across the United States, comprising 8.5 GW and 24,000 separate inverter data channels, this initiative aims to ensure that systemic risks in the US PV fleet are detected. The current work explores system availability, revealing a pronounced dependence on time, especially within the initial 6 months of system performance. Following this start-up period, the average system availability stabilizes. Statistical analyses illustrate a median (P5O) monthly availability of 0.991 and a dependence on system size with a negative trend in availability with increasing system size. This finding indicates that larger systems experience lower availability compared to their smaller counterparts.
Performance Modelling and Yearlong Outdoor Degradation Analysis of a GaAs//Si Tandem Module
Silicon-based tandem photovoltaic cells and modules are forecasted to enter mass production around the year 2026. Previous research efforts on tandem photovoltaic technology have focused heavily on increasing cell efficiencies. However, for successful large-scale deployment of tandem modules, reliability and long-term durability will be equally important. Outdoor performance data beyond the one-year mark enable sophisticated degradation analysis and help build confidence in the reliability and durability of this new technology.
Energy Yield Loss Due to LETID
This presentation presents an open-source LETID model part of the PVDegradationTools, which can calculate solar modules degradation due to Light and Elevated Temperature (LETID).
The "PVLib" of Degradation: PVDeg
The Photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs through higher-efficiency cells, improved module designs, and improvements in durability. This leads to the use of new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, and not always with a sufficient amount of durability testing. To help drive down costs there is a desire to create modules that will last for up to 50 years of service life. To accomplish this, every degradation mode and mechanism must be identified and either eliminated or otherwise mitigated. This involves the extrapolation of laboratory results to the field conditions. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. While the basic equations used to model degradation are sometimes very simple, the full analysis involves calculations are cumbersome but ubiquitous for many degradation processes. A simplified, modeling framework to accomplish these repetitive processes will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this talk, we will describe our progress creating the open-source tool PVDeg. This tool can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. PVDeg simplifies many of the common foundational computational operations for obtaining meteorological data and using it to generate a model of the PV deployment. This prediction tool repository also contains various degradation models as well as a library of material parameters suitable for estimating the durability assessment of materials and components. We use an integration pipeline approach that allows us to leverage weather data from the National Solar Radiation Database, and other weather sources, to perform geospatial degradation analysis in the US and worldwide. We hope to become a repository that can be used for weathering and degradation analysis for various applications beyond the PV industry. During the talk, we will provide the PVPMC attendees the opportunity to interact with the tool via a Google Collab tutorial they can run on their phones or laptops.
pvdeg - Advanced Degradation Prediction Tool and Database
pvdeg is an open-source python library that provides set of tools to calculate degradation responses and degradation related parameters for PV.
PVDeg: Development of a Streamlined Tool for PV Degradation Modeling
The photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs, higher-efficiency cells, and improved module designs. These trends lead to using new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, resulting in a continually changing technological landscape. These changes can potentially introduce new, unknown degradation mechanisms and failure modes that are difficult to diagnose, analyze, test, and model. This introduces uncertainty into the expected lifetime of PV modules of 25 to 50 years. research efforts aim to achieve this while keeping performance degradation at a minimum for decades. This puts considerable pressure on improving the accuracy of long-term durability and reliability assessments. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. Because the core of this type of analysis involves calculations that are complicated but ubiquitous for many degradation processes, an enhanced predictive modeling framework will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this work, we present an online tool that can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. The tool will simplify many of the routine computational operations that are common to many degradation studies. The prediction tool will be built modular and published as open source, enabling users to expand on the existing framework. This repository will contain various degradation models and material parameters suitable for the reliability and durability assessment of materials and components deployed outdoors.
PV Inverter Availability from the U.S. PV Fleet
In the PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative, we partner with photovoltaic (PV) fleet owners to collect time-series PV production data, and publish aggregated, anonymized results. An assessment of system availability is conducted on 1128 systems which passed our data quality checks, and include cumulative energy meter data. Overall inverter availability is low in the first 6 months of system performance before reaching steady-state by the end of the first year. System-level aggregated data shows a median (P50) system availability of 0.99, and a lower P90 value of 0.95. A dependence on system size is also identified, with better inverter availability results for smaller PV systems. Potential causes of this effect may include the selection of inverter itself: smaller inverters 6kW-250kW showed better average availability than inverters 300kW-5MW. The elimination of string combiner boxes and lower energy impact when one particular inverter goes off-line are potential benefits of a string inverter-based PV system architecture. DNV also analyzed availability data from over 1100 operating systems and found similar trends. DNV's P50 industry guidance on expected availability has been updated to reflect the data and the following observations: utility scale systems have lower availability than DG systems, availability is lower in first year compared to subsequent years, and that actual availability is lower than expected.
AI and ML Applications for PV Reliability and System Performance
This poster discusses AI and ML topics in PV reliability and system performance. In particular, automated metadata extraction and QA for fielded solar installations is covered for the PV Fleets Project. Additionally, statistical learning topics for the PVInsight Project are addressed, as well as development of the PV Validation Hub.
Close Roof Mounted System Temperature Estimation for Compliance to IEC TS 63126
When photovoltaic modules are installed on rooftops the temperature is dependent on both the geographic location and the mounting configuration. If the mounting structure does not provide sufficient air flow in a hot environment, the 98th percential temperature will exceed 70 degrees C which according to IEC TS 63126 requires higher levels of thermal stability testing. However, a simple there is not a clear way to determe which temperature level is needed for a particular location and system design. In this work we identify a relationship between the gap between the rooftop and a module and propose methods to describe minimum gaps for a given location. Because system designs vary in more ways than just the gap, we show how to determine an effective gap which can be simply applied to generic calculations. Lastly, we show measurements and calculations from several systems to demonstrate how this method could work.
Industry Facing PV Degradation Prediction Tool and Database to Enable a 50-Year Life Module
The Photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs, higher-efficiency cells, and improved module designs. These trends lead to using new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, resulting in a continually changing technological landscape. These changes can potentially introduce new, unknown degradation mechanisms and failure modes that are difficult to diagnose, analyze, test, and model. This introduces uncertainty into the expected lifetime of PV modules of 25 years. Furthermore, research efforts aim for up to 50 years of service life while keeping performance degradation at a minimum for decades of outdoor weathering - putting additional pressure on improving the accuracy of long-term durability and reliability assessments. Here there is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. Because the core of this type of analysis involves calculations that are complicated but ubiquitous for many degradation processes, an enhanced predictive modeling framework will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this work, we present an online tool that can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. A graphical user interface will aid in the understanding of the results. The prediction tool will be built modular and published as open source, enabling users to expand on the existing framework. We use an integration pipeline approach that allows us to leverage weather data from the National Solar Radiation Database to perform geospatial degradation analysis in the US and worldwide. Our repository will contain various degradation models and material parameters suitable for the reliability and durability assessment of materials and components deployed outdoors. We hope to become a repository that can be used for weathering and degradation analysis for various applications beyond the PV industry.
Industry Facing PV Degradation Prediction Tool and Database to Enable a 50 Year Life Module
The goal of this work is to create an online tool that can be used to search for degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. A graphical user interface will aid in the understanding of the results. The prediction tool will be built modular and published open-source allowing users to expand on the existing framework.