Forecasting the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Steven Pawson.
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Assimilating surface-sensitive radiances over land is still challenging for both infrared (IR) and microwave (WV) radiances essentially because of the large uncertainties of the land physical surface emissivity model used in the Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) and the uncertainties of land surface state properties. Currently very few IR radiances are assimilated over land. Large number of IR radiances are rejected by the surface sensitivity checks as well as the cloud detection check. In this study, we identified the appropriate Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) and Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) surface-sensitive channels to retrieve Land Surface Temperature (LST). Then, we studied the impacts of these retrieved LST and retuned cloud detection on the simulation and assimilation of IASI and CrIS in the NASA GEOS in clear sky conditions. The preliminary results are shown to enhance the rate of IASI and CrIS assimilated channels over land. The impacts on the quality of the resulting analysis and subsequent forecast will be presented at the meeting.
The adequate modeling of physical processes in the Arctic and Antarctic is vital for developing prediction capabilities and for obtaining an understanding of rapidly evolving polar conditions, including their potential global impacts. These processes are often poorly represented in global models and reanalyses, owing to a legacy modeling focus on midlatitude processes, as well as a scarcity of observations needed for model development in polar regions. The polarMERRA initiative, a joint effort between NASA’s Cryospheric Sciences and Modeling and Prediction programs, seeks to improve the representation of cryospheric and polar atmospheric processes and to develop an open-source framework for a quantitively evaluation of polar-relevant variables against current and future satellite and in-situ observations, models, and reanalyses. Here, we evaluate the impacts of spatial resolution and modifications to sea ice, ice sheet, and atmospheric parameterizations on the representation of high latitude conditions by using a quantitative scorecard approach that leverages NASA’s extensive satellite record. Investigations are conducted using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System model (GEOS) and its data assimilation system (GEOS DAS). Through a quantitative identification of process deficiencies, bias reductions in key surface variables, including temperature and precipitation over cryospheric surfaces, may be achieved. The polarMERRA project additionally seeks to identify additional data sources for use in the GEOS DAS, and to incorporate data and parameterization improvements into future model and reanalysis products for scientific and stakeholder use.
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A climate data product with ozone and water vapor data from NASA SAGE and Aura missions and NASA re-analyses.
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Pollution forecasting aids in decision making for human health and agriculture studies.