Multi-Fidelity Dynamic Line Rating Fusion for System Load Margin Enhancement with Large-Scale Offshore Wind Generations
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Energy↗
Engineering topics
Su, Tong
Publications and source records attributed to Su, Tong.
Analytic Neural Network Gaussian Process Enabled Chance-Constrained Voltage Regulation for Active Distribution Systems with PVs, Batteries and EVs
This paper proposes an analytic neural network Gaussian process (NNGP)-based chance-constrained real-time voltage regulation method for active distribution systems with photovoltaics (PVs), batteries, and electric vehicles (EVs). NNGP can utilize historical measurement data to achieve real-time probabilistic node voltage estimation through Bayesian inference. Then, NNGP is fully analytically embedded into the optimal power flow model to perform voltage regulation and adapt to various topological changes. The uncertainties of voltage estimations are easily considered via the chance constraint, and it has been shown that the adoption of this chance constraint can significantly improve the reliability of voltage regulation under various scenarios. The comparison results with other methods, carried out on a real 759-node distribution system located in western Colorado, U.S., show that the proposed method can achieve accurate voltage estimation across different topologies and reliably perform voltage regulation considering PVs, batteries, and EVs.
active distribution systems↗
EV Forecasting-Based Model Predictive Control for Distribution System Congestion Mitigation
The uncoordinated charging of electric vehicles (EVs) in time and space brings congestion issues to the distribution network. This paper proposes an EV charging demand forecasting-based model predictive control (MPC) method for distribution system congestion management. To effectively forecast the time-series EV station charging demand, a hybrid forecasting model that integrates the long short-term memory network (LSTM) and Transformer is proposed. The Transformer-LSTM model is trained using a one-year real historical charging dataset of EV stations to forecast future charging demand in 15-minute intervals. This informs the MPC for distribution network congestion management and minimization of PV curtailment. Numerical results carried out on the modified IEEE 123-bus distribution system demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively resolve line congestion issues through EV smart charging and PV curtailment while outperforming other benchmarks.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,SOLAR ENERGY↗
Visibility-enhanced model-free deep reinforcement learning algorithm for voltage control in realistic distribution systems using smart inverters
Increasing integration of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) into distribution networks could result in adverse effects on grid operation. Traditional model-based control algorithms require accurate model information that is difficult to acquire and thus are challenging to implement in practice. Here, this paper proposes a surrogate model-enabled grid visibility scheme to empower deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approach for distribution network voltage regulation using PV inverters with minimal system knowledge. In contrast to existing DRL methods, this paper presents and corroborates the adverse impact of missing load information on DRL performance and, based on this finding, proposes a surrogate model methodology to impute load information utilizing observable data. Additionally, a multi-fidelity neural network is utilized to construct the DRL training environment, chosen for its efficient data utilization and enhanced robustness to data uncertainty. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm are assessed by considering DRL testing across varying degrees of observable load information and diverse training environments on a realistic power system.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Probabilistic Physics-Informed Graph Convolutional Network for Active Distribution System Voltage Prediction
Here this letter proposes a novel data-driven probabilistic physics-informed graph convolutional network (GCN) for active distribution system voltage prediction with PVs and EVs. It leverages both measurements and network topology to accurately and efficiently predict node voltages without the need for an accurate distribution system power flow model. The dropout-enabled Bayesian inference is developed to achieve uncertainty quantification of the voltage prediction. Thanks to the network model embedding, it also has robustness against topology changes, a key difference with existing machine learning-based approaches. Comparison results with other state-of-the-art machine learning methods on a realistic 759-node distribution system demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve better accuracy and robustness under different scenarios.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
Deep Sigma Point Processes-Assisted Chance-Constrained Power System Transient Stability Preventive Control
Here this paper proposes a deep sigma point processes (DSPP)-assisted chance-constrained power system transient stability preventive control method to deal with uncertain renewable energy and loads-induced stability risk. The traditional transient stability-constrained preventive control is reformulated as a chance-constrained optimization problem. To deal with the computational bottleneck of the time-domain simulation-based probabilistic transient stability assessment, the DSPP is developed. DSPP is a parametric Bayesian approach that allows us to predict system transient stability with high computational efficiency while accurately quantifying the confidence intervals of the predictions that can be used to inform system instability risk. To this end, with a given preset confidence probability, we embed DSPP into the primal dual interior point method to help solve the chance-constrained preventive control problem, where the corresponding Jacobian and Hessian matrices are derived. Comparison results with other existing methods show that the proposed method can significantly speed up preventive control while maintaining high accuracy and convergence
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
Explainable Bayesian Neural Network for Probabilistic Transient Stability Analysis Considering Wind Energy
While several data-driven models have been developed for transient stability assessment, how to consider the uncertainties from load and renewable generations and provide interpretation of data-driven assessment results are still open. This paper proposes an explainable Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) for probabilistic transient stability assessment (TSA). By extracting the uncertainties from loads and wind farms, the BNN model can make a reliable prediction and quantify the prediction uncertainties. We also develop the Gradient Shap algorithm to make the global and local explanations for the probabilistic TSA model, a significant advantage over existing black-box data-driven methods. Numerical results on the modified IEEE 39-bus system show that the proposed method outperforms the existing methods in terms of prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification capabilities. The explainability of the proposed method allows system operators to design preventive controls for enhancing system stability.
Bayesian Neural Network↗
MEASUREMENT OF Fn 2 /Fp 2 FROM DEEP INELASTIC ELECTRON SCATTERING OFF A=3 MIRROR NUCLEI AT JEFFERSON LAB
This research is part of the Je?erson Lab MARATHON experiment (MeAsurement of the Fn 2 /Fp 2 , d/u RAtios and A = 3 EMC E?ect in Deep Inelastic Electron Scattering Off the Tritium and Helium MirrOr Nuclei). MARATHON is an experiment on electron deep inelastic scattering off the 3H, 3He mirror nuclei. It has extracted, from the measured deep inelastic scattering cross section ratio o? 3H and 3He, the ratio of the neutron to proton inelastic structure functions Fn 2 /Fp 2 . The extraction has taken advantage of the isospin symmetry of the A = 3 mirror nuclei within a novel technique, which avoids the theoretical uncertainties that are present in the SLAC experiments of the 1970s, which used hydrogen and deuterium targets. The experiment was performed using the upgraded 11 GeV beam of the Jefferson Lab electron accelerator, the Hall A Experimental Facility, and a newly designed cryogenic, high-pressure gas target system containing 3H and 3He cells. Electrons scattered o? the gas targets were detected in the two superconducting, high-resolution magnetic spectrometers of Hall A. The cross section data cover the four-momentum transfer squared range 2.0 < Q2 < 14.0 (GeV/c)2, and the Bjorken x scaling variable range 0.19 < x < 0.83. The experiment also measured, for calibration purposes, electron deep inelastic scattering off hydrogen and deuterium at selected kinematics.
Su, Tong↗