Engineering topics

Szilard, Ronaldo

Publications and source records attributed to Szilard, Ronaldo.

At least 19 records

DOE OSTI2019

RISMC industry application #1 (ECCS/LOCA). Core characterization automation: Lattice codes interface for PHISICS/RELAP5-3D

The United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (U.S. NRC) is currently proposing rule-making “10 CFR 50.46c” to revise the loss-of-coolant-accident (LOCA) and emergency core cooling system (ECCS) acceptance criteria to include the effects of higher burn-up on cladding performance. The key implications of this proposition are that the cladding performance cannot be evaluated anymore as separated from other disciplines, but needs to be evaluated in a coupled manner with other physics. The Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) Pathway initiated several programs at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support the industry in the transition to the new rule. One of these programs is the Industry Application #1 (IA1). IA1’s goal is to develop an Integrated Evaluation Model (IEM) called LOCA Toolkit for the US (LOTUS). This tool connects five major disciplines involved in LOCA analysis, among them is (automated) core design (CD-A). Here, this paper focuses solely on the design of LOTUS' CD-A module as well as a demonstration application of the CD-A module to a generic Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR). The demonstration of the other LOTUS disciplines together with a demonstration example of the final risk-informed safety margin analysis is published in a separate paper. LOTUS is meant to provide the methodology framework into which the user can plug his established tools and codes. With the CD-A, the plant owner/operator will characterize his core design with the tools he has. He will then integrate his tools/methods into the LOTUS framework for the downstream safety analysis. For the current CD-A demonstration, the tools used are the already coupled codes PHISICS and RELAP5-3D, while cross section generation is done using the Studsvik lattice code HELIOS-2.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2018

Demonstration of LOTUS multiphysics BEPU analysis framework for LB-LOCA simulations

The LOCA Toolkit for U.S. light water reactors (LOTUS) currently under development at Idaho National Labs (INL) is a plug and play, multiphysics environment to be used in support of system level plant transient analysis. New proposed rule changes in LOCA safety regulations (10 CFR 50.46c) require the inclusion of cladding hydrogen content in the evaluation of equivalent cladding reacted (ECR) and peak cladding temperature (PCT). The potential for a future implementation of said rule change motivates the current development of a unique union of core design, system analysis, and fuel performance codes within a framework allowing for uncertainty quantification (UQ). A demonstration of LOTUS capabilities to address this potential need is performed with an integration of the core design code PHISICS, the fuel performance code FRAPCON, and the system analysis code RELAP5-3D. UQ is performed via Wilks’ method to compute the one sided 95/95 confidence values of the aforementioned safety metrics. Results demonstrate the benefits of the Multiphysics Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (MP-BEPU) methodology and provide useful visualization of the limiting cases.

10CFR50.46c↗

DOE OSTI2018

R&D Roadmap for Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems, Metrics, Scenarios, Risk Analysis, and Modeling and Simulation

The nuclear industry and the U.S. Department of Energy are jointly developing accident tolerant fuel (ATF) which has the potential to greatly improve the safety and economic performance of the current fleet of NPPs. The combination of ATF with the optimal use of FLEX equipment (deployed as an industry response to the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) accident in 2012), enhancements on plant components and systems, incorporation of augmented cooling systems or new passive cooling systems, and improvements in fuel cycle efficiency, have the potential to render the NPPs more efficient and resilient to events (both internally and externally initiated) that have the potential to challenge the integrity of the fuel or plant containment. In this report, combinations of these plant improvements are called Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems. In order to accelerate the development and deployment of the components that comprise Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems, a well-integrated toolkit that is fuel/clad-, fuel cycle-, systems-, and scenario-centric is required to provide a ready platform for the analysis of the advanced ATF fuel and cladding materials that are being developed, as well as plant systems modifications to achieve enhanced resiliency. Since the deployment of these enhancements will comprise a risk/benefit tradeoff of their impacts on plant safety and economics, the envisioned toolkit will need to be capable to characterizing the multidimensional aspects associated with these evaluations and provide decision-makers with information that can optimize the technological, economic, and safety benefits that are to be obtained. The Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway of the DOE Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program initiated several research tasks to develop analytical capabilities to support the industry in the transition to the ATF and Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems. The general idea behind the initiative is the development of an integrated evaluation approach which combines the plant probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) models with Multi-Physics Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (MP-BEPU) analyses in a seamless fashion. The integrated evaluation framework aims at enabling plant system configuration variations to be studied with speed and precision, including detailed risk and benefit assessments of introducing ATF and Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems into current LWR plants to achieve both safety and operational performance enhancements. The focus of this report is to present an integrated research and development (R&D) roadmap to identify and perform high value evaluations of proposed ATF and Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems concepts to identify both the technical (e.g. benefits to risk, safety, and operational margins) and the economic (i.e. business and cost) elements associated with industry adoption of the technology. The integrated evaluation approach will be developed to support the development, testing, qualification, licensing, and deployment of ATF and Enhanced Resilient Plant Systems technology that is capable of achieving substantial safety and economic improvements as well as timely widespread adoption by the US nuclear industry.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Position Paper Evaluating and Prioritizing Nuclear Energy Market Attributes

This position paper provides the results of a short turn-around study focused on ensuring electrical grid resilience via adequate baseload (nuclear) representation. This includes: • Literature review • Report holistically evaluating grid reliability and resilience (INL/EXT-18-45010) • Report proposing a framework to quantify the value of inertia from nuclear power plants (INL/EXT-18-45018) • Multi-objective optimization tool that provides the ability to understand impacts to reliability and weather-based resilience as the fuel mix changes

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2018

Application of regression, variance, and density based global sensitivity methods to integrated VERA-CS and BISON simulations [Application of regression, variance, and density based global sensitivity methods to integrated VERA-CS and BISON simulations]

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analyses (SA) are performed for coupled simulations between VERA-CS, a coupled pin resolved neutron transport and subchannel thermal hydraulics code, and the fuel performance code BISON. The interface between VERA-CS and BISON is performed in a multiphysics environment known as the LOCA Toolkit for U.S. light water reactors (LOTUS) currently under development at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). A focus is placed on using a variety of SA measures, including two regression based (Pearson and Spearman), one variance based (Sobol indices), and three moment independent measures (Delta moment independent measures with L 1 , L 2 , and L ∞ norms). The problem under inspection is a single assembly depletion case for three fuel cycles. The figures of merit are the minimum departure from nucleate boiling ratio (MDNBR), maximum fuel centerline temperature (MFCT), and gap conductance at peak power (GCPP). SA results show MDNBR to be linear with consistent rankings throughout the fuel cycles. MFCT is linear, but with a change in rankings at the switch from open gap to closed gap models. GCPP is nonlinear at intermediate states that coincide with the onset of contact between fuel and cladding. Furthermore, these nonlinear states allow for the showcasing of higher order SA measures over first order methods.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2018

STP/TAMU/INL Collaboration Update: LWRS Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) Lead

Present a preliminary RISMC model, including plant model interfaces for Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty Loss-Of-Coolant Accident analysis using riskinformed analysis tools. Analysis results for a coupled core design, fuel/clad and systems analysis framework (LOTUS) will be presented for existing baseline codes (RELAP5-3D, FRAPCON) to Large Break Loss-Of-Coolant Accident scenarios

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Risk-Informed Safety Margins Characterization (RISMC) Pathway Technical Program Plan

Safety is central to the design, licensing, operation, and economics of nuclear power plants (NPPs). As the current Light Water Reactor (LWR) NPPs age beyond 60 years, there are possibilities for increased frequency of systems, structures, and components (SSCs) degradations or failures that initiate safety-significant events, reduce existing accident mitigation capabilities, or create new failure modes. Plant designers commonly “over-design” portions of NPPs and provide robustness in the form of redundant and diverse engineered safety features to ensure that, even in the case of well-beyond design basis scenarios, public health and safety will be protected with a very high degree of assurance. This form of defense-in-depth is a reasoned response to uncertainties and is often referred to generically as “safety margin.” Historically, specific safety margin provisions have been formulated, primarily based on “engineering judgment.” The ability to better characterize (i.e., describe and quantify) safety margin is important to improved decision making about LWR design and long-term operation. A systematic approach to characterizing safety margins and the subsequent risk informed margins management options represents a vital input to the licensee and regulatory analysis and decision making that will be involved. In addition, as research and development (R&D) in the LWRS Program and other collaborative efforts yield new data and improved scientific understanding of physical processes that govern the aging and degradation of plant SSCs (and concurrently support technological advances in nuclear reactor fuels and plant instrumentation and control systems), needs and opportunities to better optimize plant safety, economics, and performance will become known. The purpose of the Risk-Informed Safety Margins Characterization (RISMC) Pathway R&D is to support plant decisions for risk-informed margins management with the aim to improve economics, reliability, and sustain safety of current NPPs over periods of extended plant operations. The goals of the RISMC Pathway are twofold: (1) develop and demonstrate a risk-assessment method that is coupled to safety margin quantification that can be used by NPP decision makers as part of risk-informed margin management strategies; (2) create an advanced RISMC Toolkit that enables more accurate representation of NPP safety margins. The methods and tools provided by RISMC are essential to a comprehensive and integrated risk-informed margin management approach that supports effective preservation of margin for both active and passive SSCs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Risk-Informed External Hazards Analysis for Seismic and Flooding Phenomena for a Generic PWR

This report describes the activities performed during the FY2017 for the US-DOE Light Water Reactor Sustainability Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (LWRS-RISMC), Industry Application #2. The scope of Industry Application #2 is to deliver a risk-informed external hazards safety analysis for a representative nuclear power plant. Following the advancements occurred during the previous FYs (toolkits identification, models development), FY2017 focused on: increasing the level of realism of the analysis; improving the tools and the coupling methodologies. In particular the following objectives were achieved: calculation of buildings pounding and their effects on components seismic fragility; development of a SAPHIRE code PRA models for 3-loops Westinghouse PWR; set-up of a methodology for performing static-dynamic PRA coupling between SAPHIRE and EMRALD codes; coupling RELAP5-3D/RAVEN for performing Best-Estimate Plus Uncertainty analysis and automatic limit surface search; and execute sample calculations for demonstrating the capabilities of the toolkit in performing a risk-informed external hazards safety analyses.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

RISMC Industry Application no. 1 (ECCS/LOCA) Core characterization automation: Reference PWR designs for IA no. 1

The U.S. NRC is currently proposing rulemaking '10 CFR 50.46c' to revise the loss-of-coolant-accident (LOCA) and emergency core cooling system (ECCS) acceptance criteria to include the effects of higher burn-up on cladding performance. The key implications of this proposition are that both cladding and ECCS performance need to be considered in a coupled manner. This implies that LOCA methodologies will need to be updated for regulatory purposes. The Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) Pathway, as part of the DOE Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) research and development program initialed several programs at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support the industry by offering potential solutions to this new LOCA/ECCS analysis. One of these programs is the Industry Application no. 1 (IA1). It's goal is to develop an integrated evaluation model called LOCA Toolkit for the US (LOTUS) to revisit how risks are evaluated in a LOCA under 10 CFR 50.46c. The focus of LOTUS is to establish the automation interfaces among the physics disciplines involved, namely the core design automation, the fuels/clad performance, the system analysis, the risk assessment and the core design optimization. The risk-informed margins management approach for IA1 will provide a means of quantifying the impact on the key LOCA analysis figures-of-merit like peak cladding temperature (PCT), equivalent cladding reacted (ECR), etc. of a change in LOCA analysis inputs. The information obtained can then be used for decision-making and margin management. The modular approach for LOTUS will enable plant owners/vendors to further customize the LOTUS framework for use within their established codes and methods. One of the LOTUS modules deals with the core design automation (CD-A). The purpose of this module is to supply the LOCA analysis with initial conditions, i.e. assembly/pin power histories, power shapes, etc. to be employed by the Fuels/Clad Performance (EP) and System Analysis (SA) modules. In the CD-A module, the plant owner/operator will characterize his core design with the tools he has. For the current LOTUS demonstration, the tools used are the already coupled codes PHISICS and RELAP5-3D2,3. Cross section generation will be done using the Studsvik lattice code HELIOS-2.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Industry Application ECCS / LOCA Integrated Cladding/Emergency Core Cooling System Performance: Demonstration of LOTUS-Baseline Coupled Analysis of the South Texas Plant Model

Under the auspices of the DOE LWRS Program RISMC Industry Application ECCS/LOCA, INL has engaged staff from both South Texas Project (STP) and the Texas A&M University (TAMU) to produce a generic pressurized water reactor (PWR) model including reactor core, clad/fuel design and systems thermal hydraulics based on the South Texas Project (STP) nuclear power plant, a 4-Loop Westinghouse PWR. A RISMC toolkit, named LOCA Toolkit for the U.S. (LOTUS), has been developed for use in this generic PWR plant model to assess safety margins for the proposed NRC 10 CFR 50.46c rule, Emergency Core Cooling System (ECCS) performance during LOCA. This demonstration includes coupled analysis of core design, fuel design, thermalhydraulics and systems analysis, using advanced risk analysis tools and methods to investigate a wide range of results. Within this context, a multi-physics best estimate plus uncertainty (MPBEPU) methodology framework is proposed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Sensitivity Analysis of Lbloca In Response To 10 Cfr50.46c New Rulemaking

10CFR50.46c↗

DOE OSTI2016

Comparisons of Wilks’ and Monte Carlo Methods in Response to the 10CFR50.46(c) Proposed Rulemaking

The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is proposing a new rulemaking on emergency core system/loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) performance analysis. In the proposed rulemaking, designated as 10CFR50.46(c), the US NRC put forward an equivalent cladding oxidation criterion as a function of cladding pre-transient hydrogen content. The proposed rulemaking imposes more restrictive and burnup-dependent cladding embrittlement criteria; consequently nearly all the fuel rods in a reactor core need to be analyzed under LOCA conditions to demonstrate compliance to the safety limits. New analysis methods are required to provide a thorough characterization of the reactor core in order to identify the locations of the limiting rods as well as to quantify the safety margins under LOCA conditions. With the new analysis method presented in this work, the limiting transient case and the limiting rods can be easily identified to quantify the safety margins in response to the proposed new rulemaking. In this work, the best-estimate plus uncertainty (BEPU) analysis capability for large break LOCA with the new cladding embrittlement criteria using the RELAP5-3D code is established and demonstrated with a reduced set of uncertainty parameters. Both the direct Monte Carlo method and the Wilks’ nonparametric statistical method can be used to perform uncertainty quantification. Wilks’ method has become the de-facto industry standard to perform uncertainty quantification in BEPU LOCA analyses. Despite its widespread adoption by the industry, the use of small sample sizes to infer statement of compliance to the existing 10CFR50.46 rule, has been a major cause of unrealized operational margin in today’s BEPU methods. Moreover the debate on the proper interpretation of the Wilks’ theorem in the context of safety analyses is not fully resolved yet, even more than two decades after its introduction in the frame of safety analyses in the nuclear industry. This represents both a regulatory and application risk in rolling out new methods. With the 10CFR50.46(c) proposed rulemaking, the deficiencies of the Wilks’ approach are further exacerbated. The direct Monte Carlo approach offers a robust alternative to perform uncertainty quantification within the context of BEPU analyses. In this work, the Monte Carlo method is compared with the Wilks’ method in response to the NRC 10CFR50.46(c) proposed rulemaking.

10CFR50.46(c)↗

DOE OSTI2016

Economic and Market Challenges Facing the U.S. Nuclear Commercial Fleet

This report identifies underlying economic and electricity market factors that have led to early retirements of U.S. operating nuclear power plants, assesses the Gap between operating revenues and operating costs for selected nuclear power plants, and discusses a range of actions that might be taken to stop early retirement of operating nuclear power plants. The Kewaunee and Vermont Yankee nuclear power plants were retired early for economic and financial reasons. Early retirement has been announced or proposed for Clinton and Quad Cities in Illinois, Fitzpatrick and Ginna in New York, Fort Calhoun in Nebraska. Other nuclear power plants, including Palisades, Davis-Besse, Prairie Island, and Three Mile Island Unit 1, have been identified as facing financial stress that might lead to early retirement. The early retirement of operating nuclear power plants will mean the loss of a large amount of zero-emission electricity, inconsistent with the goal of reducing carbon emissions in the electricity sector. This report provides a high-level view of the major factors driving early retirement: • The U.S. market and private ownership approach to the electricity sector; • Low electricity market prices resulting from low natural gas prices, low demand growth, increased penetration of renewable generation, and negative electricity market prices; and • No compensation to nuclear power plants for public benefits including zero-emission electricity.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2016

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program: Risk-Informed Safety Margins Characterization (RISMC) Pathway Technical Program Plan

Safety is central to the design, licensing, operation, and economics of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). As the current Light Water Reactor (LWR) NPPs age beyond 60 years, there are possibilities for increased frequency of Systems, Structures, and Components (SSCs) degradations or failures that initiate safety-significant events, reduce existing accident mitigation capabilities, or create new failure modes. Plant designers commonly “over-design” portions of NPPs and provide robustness in the form of redundant and diverse engineered safety features to ensure that, even in the case of well-beyond design basis scenarios, public health and safety will be protected with a very high degree of assurance. This form of defense-in-depth is a reasoned response to uncertainties and is often referred to generically as “safety margin.” Historically, specific safety margin provisions have been formulated, primarily based on “engineering judgment.”

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2016

limiting rods selection in large break LOCA analysis with the RELAP5-3D code

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2016

RISMC Analysis Framework in Response to Proposed 10 CFR 50.46c Rulemaking

The results obtained from the demonstration calculations indicate that as an automation tool in LOCA analyses, LOTUS has the capability to provide integrated evaluation through seamless interfaces of the data stream in multiple disciplines. With further more development, LOTUS will provide a systematic way to perform uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis and risk assessment of the multiple physics involved in the LOCA analysis in response to the proposed 10 CFR 50.46c rulemaking. It can be used to obtain quantitative estimate of design or operational margin loss or gain as well as to assess the impact on LOCA analysis safety metrics associated with various combinations of changes in LOCA analysis inputs. It can also aid plant owners to make decision on evaluating design changes as well as resolving operational issues. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2016

RISMC Industry Application no. 1 (ECCS/LOCA) - Core Characterization Automation: Lattice Codes Interface for PHISICS/RELAP5-3D

The U.S. NRC is currently proposing rulemaking '10 CFR 50.46c' to revise the loss-of-coolant-accident (LOCA) and emergency core cooling system (ECCS) acceptance criteria to include the effects of higher burn-up on cladding performance. The key implications of this proposition are that the cladding performance cannot be evaluated in isolation anymore. Both cladding and ECCS performance need to be considered in a coupled manner. This also implies that models for cladding performance as well as LOCA methodologies will need to be updated for regulatory purposes. Furthermore, efforts need to be made to find the limiting case within the regulatory input space. The Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) Pathway, as part of the DOE Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) research and development program initialed several programs at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to support the industry in the transition to the new rule and to offer potential solutions to this LOCA/ECCS analysis. One of these programs is the Industry Application no. 1 (IA1). Its purpose is to provide to the plant owner/operator a vehicle to inform decisions to manage margins related to compliance with the proposed 10 CFR 50.46c rule. IA1's goal is to develop an Integrated Evaluation Model (IEM) to revisit how uncertainties are propagated across the physical disciplines and data involved, as well as well as how risks are evaluated in a LOCA under 10 CFR 50.46c. This IEM is called LOCA Tool-kit for the US (LOTUS) and it connects five major disciplines involved in LOCA analysis. The focus of LOTUS is to establish the automation interfaces among the five disciplines. LOTUS will utilize in a first step existing computer codes. The risk-informed margins management approach for IA1 will provide a means of quantifying the impact on the key LOCA analysis figures-of-merit like peak cladding temperature (PCT), equivalent cladding reacted (ECR), etc. of a change in LOCA analysis inputs. The information that the risk analysis and associated tools provide can then be used for decision-making and margin management. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2016

A Study of BWR Mark I Station Blackout Accident with GOTHIC Modeling

The overall objective of this study is to develop a high-fidelity simulation capability for the analysis of accident progression during Station Black-Out (SBO) scenario in Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) Mark I plant. The motivation is on predicting the effectiveness of containment venting within accident mitigation strategy and how to avoid core melt by choosing a proper time to initiate primary system venting. In this work, a GOTHIC model has been developed to support characterization of reactor safety systems performance and evaluation of the venting strategy. The GOTHIC model provides a seamless coupled simulation of the reactor coolant system and the containment system based on the design of the Peach Bottom-2 plant system. Efforts are also taken on the analysis for the primary system venting strategy. The safe time intervals (so-called “safe venting window”) to initiate the primary system depressurization in order to optimize the early cooling strategy by adding fire water and avoid core melt are also studied based on the heat removal capability (HRC) of the reactor vessel coolant. This concept is instructive for the operation of the safety systems during the SBO accident mitigation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗