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Tim Mayer

Publications and source records attributed to Tim Mayer.

Developing a Customized Composite Drought Index for Pakistan

This study aims to identify historical agricultural droughts between 2004-2019 using 10 geophysical variables (Table 1) and determine what variables have little importance in this identification. Satellite data products or model outputs are used for all input variables. Understanding the interactions between the data will provide information on temporal and spatial patterns of how drought is presented in irrigated and rainfed areas (Fig. 2). This knowledge will assist in creating a Customized Composite Drought Index in future work

Drought↗

Capacity Building Engagement for Estimating Forest Stand Height Utilizing the SAR Handbook

Utilizing Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) which provides information such as vegetation structure and moisture content, independently of weather conditions is a powerful tool that can be employed to more effectively monitor deforestation and estimate biomass which is of paramount concern, especially in South and Southeast Asia which contain nearly 15% of all tropical forests. SERVIR, a NASA-USAID initiative, works in partnership with regional hubs around the world building capacity through promoting the use of Earth observations and geospatial technologies. The SERVIR Global network and the Silva Carbon program collaboratively developed the SAR Handbook: Comprehensive Methodologies for Forest Monitoring and Biomass Estimation which set out to reduce the barriers associated with leveraging SAR and increase the capacity of researchers and practitioners globally to use SAR for monitoring. In particular, utilizing SAR to estimate Forest Stand Height (FSH) is crucial for greenhouse gas emissions reporting and estimating carbon storage. Programs such as Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) rely on parameters such as these for their monitoring efforts. This talk will showcase the collaborative efforts, emergent geospatial technology leveraged, and capacity building approaches utilized by our team to conduct a South and Southeast Asia focused in-person training event located at SERVIR-Mekong, a SERVIR hub lead by the Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC) in Bangkok.

AGU↗

Developing a Customizable Composite Drought Index for Pakistan

Pakistan has experienced intense agricultural droughts in recent years, with the southern provinces experiencing the most severe drought conditions. These prolonged dry conditions often result in failed crop production, impacting families and communities. To reduce the impacts a drought may have on a community by identifying dry conditions, drought indices are used. A customizable composite drought index (CDI) is developed to improve the spatial and temporal understanding of historical agricultural droughts that have affected Pakistan. An in depth analysis using 9 input variables will provide information regarding the most important variables for differing locations. This framework can enhance drought monitoring and forecasting systems. The performance of the CDI will be evaluated by using production data from different crops that have significant economic value in Pakistan. These crops include wheat, rice, maize, cotton and barley. The expected relationship between the CDI and crop production would be to see production decrease when the CDI decreases, an indication that crops failed due to drought. The CDI is made more precise by evaluating only agricultural areas using the months of the growing season for each specific crop. This will allow for a custom drought index to be developed based on crop type and geographic location that only uses the most important variables, while still capturing the full extent of historical drought.

Caily Schwartz↗

Anticipating Hazard Impacts through Capacity Building and Co-development

Improving forecast accuracy, extending lead time, understanding hazard susceptibility, and integrating exposure and vulnerability data to generate impact-based forecasts are critical in mitigating disaster impacts. These efforts enable anticipatory action through enhancing the efficacy of early warning systems to assess potential multi-dimensional hazard impacts. In response to this need, SERVIR has co-developed a series of hazard services providing vital information from national to regional scales. This poster showcases examples of geospatial services co-developed with partners through a capacity building approach, supporting the establishment of hazard early warning / early action systems. These services integrate multidimensional vulnerability and exposure data to comprehensively assess impacts. Furthermore, these services demonstrate how co-development and capacity building can advance the development of impact-based forecasts and multi-hazards services. By prioritizing collaboration, human insights, local knowledge, capacity building, and employing applied science approaches in geospatial service development, this work has helped create inclusive and customized solutions. These solutions are tailored to meet the needs of local communities and are readily adaptable into decision-making processes.

weather↗