Engineering topics

Tony C. Slaba

Publications and source records attributed to Tony C. Slaba.

17 records

NASA NTRS2023

Applicability of the Nasa Galactic Cosmic Ray Simulator for Mice, Rats, and Minipigs

Space radiation poses multiple health risks to astronauts including cancer, cardiovascular disease, and damage to the central nervous system. Radiation from galactic cosmic rays (GCR) is the main source of these risks for missions beyond low Earth orbit to the moon and beyond. A galactic cosmic ray simulator (GCRsim) was developed at the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory to better understand and mitigate these risks by simulating the complex mixed field of the GCR environment at a ground-based facility. The GCRsim delivers a radiation field to cell and animal models in a laboratory setting that is comparable to the shielded radiation environment within internal organs of astronauts in deep space missions. Previous verification studies using Monte Carlo simulations with mouse (Digimouse) and rat (Digirat) digital phantoms showed that the GCRsim yields acceptable dose homogeneity within the internal organs of these animals. Spectral characteristics of the intended space radiation environment are also accurately reproduced at radiosensitive sites in both phantoms. In this work, similar Monte Carlo simulations were performed in a minipig model (Digipig) to show the applicability and limitations of the current GCRsim for larger animal model systems. The results showed dose homogeneity in internal organs of the three animal models with GCRsim irradiation. While slightly lower average doses were seen in the minipig compared to the external beam dose, the individual voxel doses in slices of the phantoms were found to be within 6%–8% of the average voxel dose, establishing that the GCRsim can still provide a relatively homogeneous irradiation within larger animals. Furthermore, simulated dose and fluence spectral results across the relevant linear energy transfer (LET) range agreed well with the reference field in the most relevant regions of the spectra, further verifying that the GCRsim beam represents the reference field in larger animals.

Galactic cosmic rays↗

NASA NTRS2020

Ensemble Methodologies for Astronaut Cancer Risk Assessment in the face of Large Uncertainties

A new approach to NASA space radiation risk modeling has successfully extended the current NASA probabilistic cancer risk model to an ensemble framework able to consider sub-model parameter uncertainty (e.g. uncertainty in a radiation quality parameter) as well as model-form uncertainty associated with differing theoretical or empirical formalisms (e.g. combined dose-rate and radiation quality effects). Ensemble methodologies are already widely used in weather prediction, modeling of infectious disease outbreaks, and certain terrestrial radiation protection applications to better understand how uncertainty may influence risk decision-making. Applying ensemble methodologies to space radiation risk projections offers the potential to efficiently incorporate emerging research results, allow for the incorporation of future (including international) models, improve uncertainty quantification for underlying sub-models developed against sparse experimental data, and reduce the impact of subjective bias on risk projections. Moreover, risk forecasting across an ensemble of multiple predictive models can provide stakeholders additional information on risk acceptance if current health/medical standards cannot be met or the level of knowledge doesn’t permit a specific risk or exposure limit to be developed for future space exploration missions. In this work, ensemble risk projections implementing multiple sub-models of radiation quality, dose and dose-rate effectiveness factors, excess risk, and latency as ensemble members are presented. Initial consensus methods for ensemble model weights and correlations to account for individual model bias are discussed. In these analyses, the ensemble forecast compares well to results from NASA's current operational cancer risk projection model used to assess permissible exposure limits and permissible mission durations for astronauts. However, a large range of projected risk values are obtained at the upper 95th confidence level where models must extrapolate beyond available biological data sets; closer agreement is seen at the median + one sigma due to the inherent similarities in available models. Future work, including the addition of new models and methods for statistical correlation between predictive members are discussed to define alternate ways of thinking about risk and ‘acceptable’ uncertainty with respect to NASA’s current permissible exposure limits.

space radiation↗

NASA NTRS2018

Comparison of Space Radiation GCR Models to Recent AMS Data

This paper is the third in a series of comparisons of American (NASA) and Russian (ROSCOSMOS) space radiation calculations. The present work focuses on calculation of fluxes of galactic cosmic rays (GCR), which are a constant source of radiation that constitutes one of the major hazards during deep space exploration missions for both astronauts/cosmonauts and hardware. In this work, commonly used GCR models are compared with recently published measurements of cosmic ray Hydrogen, Helium, and the Boron-to-Carbon ratio from the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS). All of the models were developed and calibrated prior to the publication of the AMS data, therefore this an opportunity to validate the models against an independent data set.

John W. Norbury↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied