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DOE OSTI2024

Advances in Experimental Design, Optimal Control, and Learning for Uncertain Complex Systems (Final Report for AEOLUS)

The AEOLUS Center is dedicated to developing a unified optimization-under-uncertainty framework for: (1) learning predictive models from data; and (2) optimizing experiments, processes, and designs governed by these models, all driven by complex, uncertain energy systems. AEOLUS addresses the critical need for principled, rigorous, scalable, and structure-exploiting capabilities for exploring parameter and decision spaces of complex forward simulation models. This report summarizes the key highlights of our research during the period of performance.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Mathematical methods for optimal polynomial recovery of high-dimensional systems from noisy data

The goal of our Early Career Research Project (ECRP) is to establish a modern mathematical foundation that will enable next-generation computational methods for polynomial approximation of high-dimensional systems, having a certain set of constraints, from a limited amount of noisy data. Such a foundation is critical to realizing the future potential of the DOE user facilities, and will ultimately empower scientists to address a fundamental question, namely, “how many realizations of a nonlinear manifold are required to recover the entire high-dimensional solution map, with optimal approximation guarantees and minimal computational cost?” The central theme of this effort aims to conquer this challenge by pioneering the development of extraordinarily innovative theoretical analysis and transformational non-intrusive computational methodologies. Such approaches will enable the reconstruction of the entire high-dimensional solution map, with accuracy comparable to the best approximation, while utilizing an optimal number of samples. During this reporting period we have made significant progress on four thrusts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗