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William Koshak

Publications and source records attributed to William Koshak.

At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Monte Carlo Simulations for Evaluating the Accuracy of GLM Detection Efficiency and False Alarm Rate Retrievals

The performance of the Geostationary Lightning Mapper has been evaluated through comparison with other satellite lightning sensors and ground-based networks. However, because the performance of these reference sensors is both imperfect and imperfectly known, the true performance of GLM can only be estimated through such a process. In particular, GLM performance metrics such as detection efficiency (DE) and false alarm rate (FAR) retrieved through comparison with reference networks are affected by those networks’ own DE, FAR, and spatiotemporal accuracy, as well as the selected flash matching criteria. This study presents follow-on results from an ongoing analysis that uses a Monte Carlo simulation-based inversion technique to quantify the effect on retrieved GLM performance of a reasonable range of reference network DE, FAR, spatiotemporal accuracy, and the associated geographic patterns of each. These results help quantify and bound the actual performance of GLM and the attendant uncertainties when comparing GLM to imperfect reference networks.

Katrina Virts↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

GOES-16 GLM Observations for National Climate Assessments

The heating of air by a lightning discharge, followed by rapid cooling, leads to the production of lightning nitrogen oxides (“LNO x ” for brevity, where NO x = NO + NO 2 ). The LNO x are important trace gases because they control the concentration of the greenhouse gas ozone (O 3 ) and the highly reactive hydroxyl radicals (OH). In fact, LNO x are the most important source of NO x in the upper troposphere at tropical and subtropical latitudes, and climate is most sensitive to O 3 in the upper troposphere. Since lightning indirectly influences the Earth's climate, it is a key variable to monitor in National Climate Assessment (NCA) studies. In this work, GOES-16 Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) flash counts and flash optical properties (i.e., optical energy, optical area, …) that are linked to LNO x production are examined in detail for the continental United States analysis region, and are compared with ground-based National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) observations.

Lightning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Maintaining the Continuity of the Global Climate Data Record of Lightning from Space

Lightning is a natural hazard, an indicator of changes in convective storm behavior across multiple spatial and temporal scales, and a major influence on climate-affecting chemicals such as ozone and methane. Lightning also has substantial impacts on the near-space environment. As such, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has designated lightning as an Essential Climate Variable (ECV); that is, a measurement that is really important for understanding Earth’s climate. Spaceborne lightning observations are the gold standard for measuring global lightning, as the detection efficiency is more spatially uniform compared to ground-based lightning measurements. In addition, spaceborne is the only practical method for measuring total lightning (i.e., both intracloud and cloud-to-ground) at the global scale, as ground-based networks have limited ability to detect intracloud lightning at long distances (e.g., over oceans, far from land-based sensors). Since 1995, with only a two-year gap (2015-2017), lightning has been observed globally using a combination of Optical Transient Detector (OTD) and Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) instruments. However, the year 2023 is the planned end for the International Space Station (ISS) LIS mission, and there is no designated low-Earth orbit (LEO) successor yet identified. Since 2017, geostationary (GEO) observations of lightning have become increasingly available. These include the U.S. Geostationary Lightning Mappers (GLMs), China’s Lightning Mapping Imager (LMI), and Europe’s Lightning Imager (LI). While GEO provides continuous, quasi-hemispheric coverage of lightning and thunderstorms, there are current gaps preventing global coverage, particularly in portions of Asia and the western Pacific, as well as high-latitude regions. Moreover, integration of the GEO constellation into a Climate Data Record (CDR) of lightning is a major challenge only recently begun to be addressed by the WMO. Furthermore, recent work has demonstrated some deficiencies in the global record of lightning from space. For example, small lightning flashes are very common in severe weather, but are difficult to observe using the present set of spaceborne lightning imagers. Moreover, some types of lightning are best observed using frequencies other than the commonly used near-infrared (777-nm), including ultraviolet and the radio spectrum. Finally, it is not possible to assess the vertical distribution of lightning globally, even though this measurement is highly relevant to thunderstorm behavior as well as lightning’s effects on greenhouse gases and the near-space environment. This presentation will provide a current assessment of lightning measurements from space, will identify significant current and future gaps in these observations, and will evaluate potential solutions for improving the overall CDR of global lightning.

Timothy Lang↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Future Lightning Instruments for Weather and Climate Monitoring From LEO

Lightning is not only a natural hazard, but it also holds information about physical processes at work in deep convection and influences atmospheric oxidants that modulate ozone and methane. Hence, spaceborne lightning observations are essential for monitoring extreme events and feedbacks in Earth’s climate system. Low-Earth orbiting (LEO) lightning mapping instruments established a 25-year record of global lightning activity and resulted in a wealth of studies that motivated its designation as an Essential Climate Variable by the World Meteorological Organization. Although geostationary observations of lightning have become increasingly available since 2017, LEO lightning mappers continue to serve critical needs given their unique vantage point and acceptance as a unifying reference for geostationary lightning mapper and ground-based global lightning datasets. At the close of 2023, the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) will cease operations on the International Space Station, which introduces a critical gap in LEO-based monitoring of global lightning activity. To address this need, NASA is developing new lightning mapping technology that enables future LEO-based satellite missions. Existing LEO-based lightning mappers rely on narrowband optical emissions centered on 777.4-nm and detectors that capture 500 images per second to detect lightning both day and night. Lightning can also produce optical emissions in a narrowband centered on 337-nm without any corresponding emissions at the traditionally used near-infrared (NIR) wavelength. These near-ultraviolet (UV) emissions are associated with earlier stage electrical breakdown (e.g., streamers), may frequent intense regions of deep convective storms, and may be a significant source of nitrogen oxide production in the upper atmosphere. A new lightning mapping instrument called the CubeSat Lightning Imaging and Detection Experiment (CLIDE) is being designed at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center to use high-speed, scientific CMOS image sensors capable of detecting lightning’s transient optical emissions in the near-UV and NIR during both daylit and nighttime scenes. This will extend the record of global lightning activity and help pave the way for future small satellite missions that combine radio and optical lightning detectors to obtain novel three-dimensional maps of lightning on a global scale, which can revolutionize the way lightning is used to monitor weather and understand changes in climate.

lightning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Overview of Lightning Science at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center

NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is a recognized world leader in the science of lightning. To date, MSFC has led three space-based global lightning observing missions and has helped lead multiple suborbital field campaigns involving lightning observations. Recently, the MSFC Lightning Team is closing out the recently completed International Space Station Lightning Imaging Sensor (ISS LIS) mission, including developing a nearly three-decade global climatology of lightning from space. This work also includes integrating lightning observations with data from NASA precipitation missions. The Team is also busy analyzing data from a recent airborne field campaign that observed dozens of terrestrial gamma-ray flashes (TGFs) from intense tropical thunderstorms. Lightning Team members are also leaders in validation of the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) operated by NOAA, and in developing lightning safety applications and studying the relationship between lightning and wildfires. The Lightning Team also studies chemical production by lightning and contributes to the National Climate Assessment (NCA). Finally, the Lightning Team is busy developing the next generation of spaceborne lightning sensors to broaden our understanding of the relationships between lightning, weather, climate, and atmospheric composition.

Timothy Lang↗