Engineering topics

Zhang, Suyalatu

Publications and source records attributed to Zhang, Suyalatu.

3 records

DOE OSTI2020

The coronavirus spread: the Italian case

A model based on population growth, chaotic maps and turbulent flows is applied to the spread of Coronavirus for each Italian region in order to obtain useful information and help to contrast it. We divide the regions into different risk categories and discuss anomalies. The worst cases are confined between the Appenine and the Alps mountain ranges but the situation seem to improve closer to the sea. The Veneto region gave the most efficient response so far and some of their resources could be diverted to other regions, in particular more tests to the Lombardia, Liguria, Piemonte, Marche and V. Aosta regions, which seem to be worst affected. We noticed worrying anomalies in the Lazio, Campania and Sicilia regions to be monitored. We stress that the number of fatalities we predicted on March 12 has been confirmed daily by the bulletins. This suggests a change of strategy in order to reduce such number maybe moving the weaker population (and negative to the virus test) to beach resorts, which should be empty presently. The ratio deceased/positives on April 4, 2020 is 5.4% worldwide, 12.3% in Italy, 1.4% in Germany, 2.7% in the USA, 10.3% in the UK and 4.1% in China. Furthermore, these large fluctuations should be investigated starting from the Italian regions, which show similar large fluctuations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Primary yields of protons measured using CR-39 in laser-induced deuteron–deuteron fusion reactions

The deuteron and deuteron (DD) fusion reactions is the most crucial reaction in the nuclear astrophysics and inertial confinement fusion, which is responsible for synthesizing chemical elements, and for powering the stellar evolution. The plasma environment generated by the high-intensity laser used in a DD fusion reaction is similar to the early stage of the Big Bang. Therefore, it is important to study laser-induced DD fusion reactions. Recently, we experimentally investigated such reactions using eight laser beams with the third harmonic impact on a deuterated polyethylene target at the ShenGuang-II Upgrade facility. In this work, we focused on the application of range-filter spectrometers assembled from a 70 μm aluminum filter and two CR-39 nuclear track detectors to measure the yields of primary DD protons. Based on the track diameter calibration results of 3 MeV protons used to diagnose the tracks on the range- filter spectrometers, we measured a primary DD proton yield of approximately (8:52 ± 1:7) × 10 6 , consistent with the yields from similar laser facilities worldwide, indicating that range-filter spectrometry is an effective way to measure primary DD protons. Furthermore, using other accurate detectors may help to measure the rare events of D 3 He protons.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Chaos, Percolation and the Coronavirus Spread

The dynamics of the spreading of the COVID-19 virus has similar features to the turbulent flow, chaotic maps and other non-linear systems: a small seed grows exponentially and eventually saturates. Like in the percolation model, the virus is mostly dangerous if the probability of transmission (or the bond probability p in the percolation model) is high. This suggests a relation with the population density, ρ s , which must be higher than a certain value (ρ s > 1000 persons/km 2 ). A ‘seed’ implanted in such towns grows vigorously and affects nearby places at distance x. Thus, the spreading is governed by the ratio ρ = ρ s /x. Assuming a power law dependence τ of the number of positives to the virus N + from ρ, we find τ = 0.55, 0.75 and 0.96 for S.Korea, Italy and China respectively.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗