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Zhou, Ella (ORCID:0000000340314509)

Publications and source records attributed to Zhou, Ella (ORCID:0000000340314509).

Markets, Resources, and Environmental and Energy Justice (MarkeRs-EEJ)

This project will support the development of CO2U technologies and a CO2U industry by assessing the resource and market potential and infrastructure requirements for midterm (-2030) and long-term (-2050) deployment of CO2U technologies, as well as evaluating implications on energy justice factors such as air quality, gross domestic product (GDP), and jobs. Addressing both of these topics enables the project to provide context that can be used across a large portfolio of CO2U technologies so stakeholders can make decisions informed by both economic and societal factors.

BIOMASS FUELS↗

Electrification Futures Study

Through the Electrification Futures Study (EFS), NREL explored the impacts of widespread electrification in all U.S. economic sectors. For the multiyear study, NREL and its research partners - Electric Power Research Institute, Evolved Energy Research, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Northern Arizona University, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory - used multiple analytic tools and models to develop and assess electrification scenarios designed to quantify potential energy, economic, and environmental impacts to the U.S. power system and broader economy. This presentation summarizes the analysis and key findings from across the EFS publications, with a focus on the data and results that are most relevant - and of most interest - to the state of Montana.

EFS↗

Electrification Futures Study: Impact of Electric Vehicles on Bulk Power Systems

This presentation builds on work presented at IEW2019 on "Transportation Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption" by providing insights on the impact of demand-side electrification, and electric vehicles in particular, on electricity supply and bulk power systems. This talk summarizes some results from the multi-year and multi-stakeholder Electrification Futures Study (EFS) series of reports. In particular, this work leverages integrated demand and supply modelling of future energy systems to provide insights on system design and operations focusing on demand flexibility and integration of variable renewables.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

Electrification Futures Study: Power Systems Operation with Newly Electrified and Flexible Loads

The Electrification Futures Study (EFS) is a multi-year study designed to analyze the impacts of widespread electrification in the U.S. energy system. In this webinar we present the detailed power systems operational analysis from the final report in the EFS series. For this analysis, we simulate multiple 2050 power systems for the conterminous United States to assess how variations in the magnitude and shape of electricity demand driven by electrification, and the extent of load participation to more-actively provide grid services, might impact the hourly operation, operational costs, and emissions of various power systems in 2050. The impacts of electrification and demand flexibility are overlayed across systems with significantly greater penetrations of variable renewable energy than today. Overall, we find that the high electrification scenarios envisioned in the EFS with significant VRE penetration (66% of annual national generation) can be operated to meet future increased levels of electrified demand. We also find that demand-side flexibility can enhance operational efficiency and reduce overall annual production costs by $5-$10 billion. The complementary relationship between flexible electric vehicle charging loads and solar generation is particularly pronounced, but in the absence of demand-side flexibility electrification can lead to increased wind and solar curtailment. By helping to reduce renewable curtailment, flexibility can also reduce power sector CO2 emissions. The analysis highlights the value of increased integration and coordination of demand- and supply-side resources in future electric system planning and operations—particularly under high electrification futures.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Building Demand Flexibility: Grid Service Value of Future Market Entrants

The building sector is an important source of demand-side flexibility that is crucial for renewable energy integration in the future power systems. The grid service value of building flexibility, especially that which provides load shifting, has not been analyzed for the United States. We use a technology-agnostic approach based on detailed grid expansion and production cost modeling results to evaluate the capacity, energy, and ancillary service values of a marginal kilowatt-hour (kWh) of daily, shiftable building flexibility as a presumed market entrant in the 2030 U.S. power systems. We find the monthly mean of building flexibility has a range of 0-38 cents/kWh-day, depending on the original usage hour, month, region, building flexibility parameters, and grid scenario. The daily value consists of the highest-value hour each day across all the scenarios has a range of 0-620 cents/kWh-day. The results are provided in an open database for users to obtain the values of specific technologies based on what services can be provided, when, and in what quantities.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗