Selection effects against small comets

Abstract

Everhart's (1967) formulation is used to determine the correlation between the probability of discovering a comet and the size of its nuclear radius. The analysis is concentrated on comets that are not more than two or three hundred meters in diameter; hence, heliocentric variations in cometary brightness can be neglected. The effect of cometary physical decay is also considered, and a strong observational bias against the detection of small active comets is found. The following three factors are involved: (1) small comets must pass closer to the earth than large comets in order to be detected, (2) the resulting higher angular velocity for nearby comets leads to a decrease in the time available to discover a small comet, and (3) small comets physically decay and vanish faster than do large comets.