Comet Ephemerides for the EPOXI and Stardust-NExT Flybys

Abstract

The recently successful flybys of Comet 103P/Hartley 2 by the Deep Impact spacecraft and Comet 9P/Tempel 1 by the Stardust spacecraft each presented different challenges from the perspective of comet ephemeris prediction and spacecraft targeting. Hartley 2 is a small, highly active comet, with nongravitational accelerations that proved very difficult to model, requiring some amount of "cometchasing" by the spacecraft navigators. In contrast, Tempel 1 is a far larger and less active comet. It showed very stable ephemeris behavior and at flyby was within 1-sigma of predictions issued more than a year prior to encounter. This happenstance was fortuitous because the Stardust spacecraft had very little fuel margin available for comet ephemeris errors.