Model-Based Prognostics

Abstract

This tutorial will cover the basics of model-based prognostics, and include concepts such as modeling approaches, estimation and prediction algorithms, and how uncertainty is represented and quantified. Other topics covered will include structural model decomposition, system-level prognostics, prognostics of hybrid systems, and distributed prognostics. Several case studies, such as water recovery systems to the prediction of safety margins in the national airspace system will be used to explain different concepts of prognostics and demonstrate their application to real-world systems.