ORACLES: Optimized Rational Algorithm for Conjecture of Long-term Exploration of Space

Abstract

ORACLES is a joint venture between the United States Space Force (USSF) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) to develop a model for future space exploration, commercialization, and expansion. Following the success of qualitative future scenario exploration during the Space Futures Workshops (SFW), ORACLES aims to produce a quantitative means of evaluating these same factors. This model considers the social, economic, and political environment and determines possible inflection points; that is, the most crucial investments in technologies, infrastructure, and policy for the support and protection of U.S. and allied space assets. The development of ORACLES is in its infancy, with front end interfaces constructed for discussion and debate before the overall algorithm is finalized. Comments are highly encouraged as the team wishes to gain the broadest level of perspectives before continuing with development.