Intent Modeling and Intent Conflict Probability Calculation for Operations in Upper Class E Airspace

Strategic Deconfliction of Small Unmanned Aircraft Using Operational Volume Blocks at Crossing Waypoints

In this research, first, analytical case studies are performed to understand the parameters on which the minimum temporal separation between unmanned aircraft at crossing waypoints is dependent for enabling strategic deconfliction. The analytical expressions show that the minimum temporal separation is a function of the length and width of operational volume blocks, the relative positions of the active operational volume blocks, groundspeed of unmanned aircraft, and the incoming crossing angle. Next, the parametric study shows that the impact of the incoming crossing angle on the minimum temporal separation at a crossing waypoint increases with an increase in the width of the operational volume blocks. Finally, simulation studies are performed to understand the impact of operational volume block sizing, on-demand departure rate, minimum departure time separation, and the incoming crossing angle on the average ground delay of unmanned aircraft traveling on two routes with a single crossing waypoint and identical on-demand departure rate. Each unmanned aircraft’s estimated time of arrival at a crossing waypoint is adjusted by introducing a ground delay in departure time; no other controls (e.g., speed adjustments) are applied for strategic deconfliction. Simulation studies show that the impact of the minimum temporal separation at a crossing waypoint on the average ground delay of flights is negligible if the minimum departure time separation is at least two times the minimum temporal separation. Therefore, with an increase in minimum departure time separation at a depot, the impact of increased length of operational volume blocks enclosing the crossing waypoint on the ground delay is offset to an extent.