Artemis Missions Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) & Reliability Assessment Overview

Roger Boyer

NASA NTRS · 20230010735

Artemis Missions Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) & Reliability Assessment Overview

Abstract

To show how NASA’s Moon-to-Mars (M2M) program can use hardware reliability assessments and comprehensive Probabilistic Risk Assessments (PRAs) to estimate risk of future missions and manage risk via safety and mission success requirements from the top down, so that this risk can be balanced with other program metrics like cost and schedule. These PRAs and reliability assessments can be used during the concept, design, and operational phases of development. This presentation also provides some thoughts on how the NASA process can be utilized for a lunar surface power grid development.

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Roger Boyer. Artemis Missions Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) & Reliability Assessment Overview. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230010735

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