Search NASA⌕ Search
Home/Archive/NASA NTRS

NASA NTRS · 20230016180

Exploring Climate With Obliquity in A Variable-Eccentricity Earth-Like World

M. J. Way·Nikolaos Georgakarakos·Thomas L. Clune
View original source ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Exploring planetary systems similar to our solar system can provide a means to explore a large range of possibly temperate climates on Earth-like worlds. Rather than run hundreds of simulations with different eccentricities at fixed obliquities, our variable-eccentricity approach provides a means to cover an incredibly large parameter space. Herein Jupiter's orbital radius is moved substantially inward in two different scenarios, causing a forcing on Earth's eccentricity. In one case, the eccentricity of Earth varies from 0 to 0.27 over ∼7000 yr for three different fixed obliquities (0°, 23°, and 45°). In another case, the eccentricity varies from 0 to 0.53 over ∼9400 yr in a single case with zero obliquity. In all cases, we find that the climate remains stable, but regional habitability changes through time in unique ways. At the same time, the moist greenhouse state is approached but only when at the highest eccentricities.

Explore related subjects

Exoplanet astronomyExoplanet atmospheresExoplanet dynamics

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

M. J. Way, Nikolaos Georgakarakos, Thomas L. Clune. 2023-11-07. Exploring Climate With Obliquity in A Variable-Eccentricity Earth-Like World. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230016180

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related reports

NASA NTRS2024

Detectability Simulations of a Near-infrared Surface Biosignature on Proxima Centauri b with Future Space Observatories

Telescope missions are currently being designed that will make direct imaging of habitable exoplanets possible in the near future, and studies are needed to quantify the detectability of biosignature features in the planet's reflectance spectrum. We simulated the detectability of a near-infrared-absorbing surface biosignature feature with simulated observations of the nearby exoplanet Proxima Centauri b. We modeled a biosignature spectral feature with a reflectance spectrum based on an anoxygenic photosynthetic bacterial species that has strong absorption at 1 μm, which could make it well suited for life on an M-dwarf-hosted planet. We modeled the distribution of this organism across the planet's surface based on climate states from a 3D general circulation model (GCM) that were Archean- and Proterozoic-like exo-Earth analogs. We included the GCM states' prognostically simulated water clouds and added organic haze into the Archean-like atmospheres. We simulated observations of these Proxima Centauri b scenarios with the LUVOIR-A and B telescope concepts, with LUVOIR-B serving as a proxy to the planned Habitable Worlds Observatory. We calculated the integration times necessary to detect the biosignature and found that it would be detectable on Proxima Centauri b if the organism is moderately abundant (greater than a 1%–4% global surface area coverage), as long as the atmosphere is transmitting in the wavelength range under consideration. Small amounts of methane, clouds, and haze do not greatly impede detectability. We found preliminary evidence that such a biosignature would be detectable on exoplanets within 15 pc, but further investigations are needed to corroborate this.

Exoplanet astronomy↗
NASA NTRS2023

A High-Eccentricity Warm Jupiter Orbiting TOI-4127

We report the discovery of TOI-4127 b, which is a transiting, Jupiter-sized exoplanet on a long period (P=56.39879 +0.00010 -0.00010 days) and a high-eccentricity orbit around a late F-type dwarf star. This warm Jupiter was first detected and identified as a promising candidate from a search for single-transit signals in TESS Sector 20 data and was later characterized as a planet following two subsequent transits (TESS Sectors 26 and 53) and follow-up ground-based RV observations with the NEID and SOPHIE spectrographs. We jointly fit the transit and RV data to constrain the physical (R p =1.096 +0.039 -0.032 R J , M p =2.30 +0.11 -0.11 M J ) and orbital parameters of the exoplanet. Given its high orbital eccentricity (𝓮=0.7471 +0.0078 -0.0086 ), TOI-4127 b is a compelling candidate for studies of warm Jupiter populations and of hot Jupiter formation pathways. We show that the present periastron separation of TOI-4127 b is too large for high-eccentricity tidal migration to circularize its orbit, and that TOI-4127 b is unlikely to be a hot Jupiter progenitor unless it is undergoing angular momentum exchange with an undetected outer companion. Although we find no evidence for an external companion, the available observational data are insufficient to rule out the presence of a perturber that can excite eccentricity oscillations and facilitate tidal migration.

Exoplanet astronomy↗
NASA NTRS2022

TOI-3757 b: A Low-density Gas Giant Orbiting a Solar-metallicity M Dwarf

We present the discovery of a new Jovian-sized planet, TOI-3757 b, the lowest-density transiting planet known to orbit an M dwarf (M0V). This planet was discovered around a solar-metallicity M dwarf, using Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite photometry and confirmed with precise radial velocities from the Habitable-zone Planet Finder (HPF) and NEID. With a planetary radius of 12.0 (+0.4 -0.5) R ⊕ and mass of 85.3 (+8.8 -8.7)M ⊕ , not only does this object add to the small sample of gas giants (∼10) around M dwarfs, but also its low density (ρ=0.27 +0.05 -0.04 g) provides an opportunity to test theories of planet formation. We present two hypotheses to explain its low density; first, we posit that the low metallicity of its stellar host (∼0.3 dex lower than the median metallicity of M dwarfs hosting gas giants) could have played a role in the delayed formation of a solid core massive enough to initiate runaway accretion. Second, using the eccentricity estimate of 0.14 ± 0.06, we determine it is also plausible for tidal heating to at least partially be responsible for inflating the radius of TOI-3757b b. The low density and large scale height of TOI-3757 b makes it an excellent target for transmission spectroscopy studies of atmospheric escape and composition (transmission spectroscopy measurement of ∼ 190). We use HPF to perform transmission spectroscopy of TOI-3757 b using the helium 10830 Å line. Doing this, we place an upper limit of 6.9% (with 90% confidence) on the maximum depth of the absorption from the metastable transition of He at ∼10830 Å, which can help constraint the atmospheric mass-loss rate in this energy-limited regime.

Exoplanet astronomy↗