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DOE OSTI · 1440462

A thought experiment to evaluate a proposed data analysis method

Lestone, John Paul
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Abstract

A statistical analysis was recently presented at a DOE review in reference to a particular problem. Here we attempt to capture the essence of this problem with a simple “toy” analog and demonstrate the incorrectness of the presented J figure of merit algorithm. We show that the incorrect usage of J gives PDFs that have erroneous long tails and significantly overestimate the rms deviations relative to those obtained by exact analytic methods. Conversely, a numerical Bayesian analysis gives the correct result.

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97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

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Lestone, John Paul. 2018-05-30. A thought experiment to evaluate a proposed data analysis method. https://doi.org/10.2172/1440462

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