Weighing the Iron Dice: Assessing Capability Impact on Deterrence Scenarios

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Kemp, Andreas [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Chapman, Tom [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Higginson, Drew [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Divol, Laurent [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Zimmerman, George [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Strozzi, David [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Fernandez, Giselle [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Gopalakrishnan Menon, Harshitha [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Korner, Kevin [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Gunnarson, Brian [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Belof, Jon [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Biwer, Christopher, Brown, Nathan [Sandia National Laboratory], Garmon, Andrew [Los Alamos National Laboratory], Herring, Angela [Los Alamos National Laboratory], Jekel, Charles [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Li, Ying Wai, Rockefeller, Gabriel, Shachar, Meir [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Schill, William [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Sterbentz, Dane [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], White, Dan [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Perreault, Christopher [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Baker, Jason [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Nielsen, Mike [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Willey, Trevor [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Armstrong, Mike [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Bastea, Sorin [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Fried, Larry [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Foster, Kaden [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Longman, Andrew [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Michel, Pierre [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Ehlinger, Victoria [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Chatterjee, Tanusree [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Deo, Shyam [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Sunshine, Ethan, Yuan, Mengyao [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Laird, Carl [Carnegie Mellon University], Kitchin, John, Bucci, Giovanna [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], McNenly, Matthew [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Akhade, Sneha [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Stevenson, Brian [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Swartz, Kenny [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Tupek, Michael [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Tortorelli, Daniel [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Talamini, Brandon [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Rios-Lopez, William, Kawasaki, Koki, Gonzalez, Stephanie, Bayu Aji, Leonardus Bimo [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Engwall, Alison [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Shin, Swanee [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Forien, Jean-Baptiste [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Sohngen, Liam [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Seo, Minsuk [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Taylor, Gregory [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Kucheyev, Sergei [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory], Silvestre, Luke, League, Dustin [Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory]. 2026-07-28. Weighing the Iron Dice: Assessing Capability Impact on Deterrence Scenarios. https://doi.org/10.2172/3389016

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