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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating methods to reduce duration of near-threshold fatigue crack growth rate measurements for low-alloy steels in hydrogen gas

Measurement of the near-threshold fatigue crack growth rate (da/dN) vs. stress-intensity factor range (∆K) relationship in hydrogen gas is essential for maximizing the calculated design fatigue life of high-pressure hydrogen storage vessels. However, such measurements are rarely performed, since the low cyclic loading frequencies applied in standard practice lead to prohibitively protracted test durations. The objective of this study was to demonstrate two means for reducing test durations when measuring near-threshold da/dN vs. ΔK relationships under decreasing ΔK for low-alloy pressure vessel steels in hydrogen gas: 1) imposing steeper K-gradients relative to the recommended limits in standards such as ASTM E647, and 2) increasing cyclic loading frequency relative to typical values applied during fatigue crack growth testing of low-alloy steels in hydrogen gas. Recognizing that steeper K-gradients could amplify loading-history effects, test methods employing this approach were designed to mitigate such effects by either maintaining constant K max or gradually increasing the K-gradient as the threshold was approached. Although the varying K-gradient method was vulnerable to loading-history effects in the form of plasticity-induced crack closure, particularly at lower stress ratio (R) and higher starting K max values, these effects could be compensated by applying the adjusted compliance ratio (ACR) method. Here, it was demonstrated that steeper K-gradients in concert with increased cyclic loading frequency reduced the duration of near-threshold fatigue crack growth tests in hydrogen gas by more than 99% relative to standard practices.

Fatigue threshold↗
DOE OSTI2026

Basin-scale analysis of Mokelumne River Formation for multi-well CO 2 injection

Large-scale carbon sequestration will likely require multiple projects injecting CO 2 into the same subsurface formation, raising concerns about safe operation and efficient use of storage capacity. This study evaluates the long-term response of the Mokelumne River Formation in California’s Sacramento Basin to multi-megaton CO 2 injection using three geologic models of the formation and the open-source simulator GEOS. The analysis focuses on three aspects of reservoir performance: (1) average pressure increase and dissolved CO 2 mass after 30 years for varying well counts and injection rates, (2) pressure interference in a multi-well configuration, and (3) dynamic storage capacity with identification of overpressure-prone regions. The results show that average formation pressure increases linearly with injected mass, while CO 2 dissolution exhibits mixed scaling: approximately linear with the number of wells but sublinear with injection rate, indicating that distributing injection across more wells enhances dissolution more effectively than increasing per-well rates. Pressure-interference effects are significant, with lower-permeability conditions delaying their onset but amplifying their magnitude at later times. Dynamic capacity, defined by the first occurrence of pressure exceeding the local overburden-based limit anywhere in the formation, varies across geologic models and assumed overburden pressure gradients. A lower fidelity geologic model predicts nearly twice the storage capacity of the two higher fidelity models, which consistently estimate approximately 1 Gt under the upper-bound overburden pressure gradient considered for the Sacramento Basin. In all model scenarios, overpressure develops away from injection wells, particularly in higher-elevation regions, highlighting the importance of basin-scale modelling for identifying risks beyond the immediate well vicinity.

Basin-scale↗
DOE OSTI2025

Coupled geomechanical investigation of depletion-induced fault reactivation

Fault reactivation during subsurface fluid production pose significant challenges to safe and sustainable resource extraction. Here, this study presents a three-dimensional coupled geomechanical framework to investigate the processes driving fault reactivation, capturing the interactions between reservoir dynamics and geomechanical responses. Verification against theoretical estimations based on linear poroelasticity confirms the model's capacity in representing reservoir background stress responses. However, the study reveals that relying solely on background stress states can underestimate or overestimate fault reactivation potential, emphasizing the importance of including localized stress perturbations such as differential compaction and stress redistribution. Applied to a fault (M1) inspired by the geological characteristics of the Groningen field, the model shows slip initiation at 2965 m depth with 16.0 MPa depletion, aligning with field observations where seismicity occurred at approximately 3 km depth after 15.8 MPa depletion. Parametric studies reveal: (1) inelastic reservoir compaction delays fault reactivation and mitigates fault slip by reducing stress concentration, (2) higher intermediate in-situ stress magnitudes decrease the Coulomb Failure Stress (CFS) increase rate and reduce fault slip, (3) larger fault offsets amplify shear stress near the offset zone, promoting earlier reactivation and longer rupture propagation, and (4) fault permeability significantly influences pressure diffusion, with low-permeability faults leading to sharper stress changes and earlier fault destabilization. These insights highlight the critical role of geological and mechanical parameters in fault reactivation and provide a predictive framework for mitigating induced seismicity risks.

Coupled geomechanical modeling↗
DOE OSTI2026

Low-stress creep behavior of multiple salt caverns under cyclic operations

Here, the use of multiple salt caverns for large-scale underground hydrogen storage offers a strategic solution to the growing demand for efficient and flexible energy storage, due to the inherent low permeability, high mechanical strength, and self-healing properties of the salt formation. Despite these advantages, the long-term geomechanical response of salt caverns under cyclic injection and withdrawal remains a significant challenge for ensuring operational stability. This mechanistic study highlights the critical role of low-stress creep, also known as pressure solution creep, in governing deformation of salt caverns during cyclic operations. Unlike conventional creep mechanisms that dominate under high-stress conditions, low-stress creep becomes particularly relevant under the moderate stress changes induced by repeated injection and withdrawal, which provides a previously underexplored control on cavern closure. Our three-dimensional computational model integrates the low-stress creep mechanism into the Munson–Dawson creep equation across a spectrum of operational scenarios including variations in cavern pressure cycles, injection-withdrawal frequencies, and caprock mechanical property. The low-stress creep components accelerate the cavern creep closure, which is amplified with shorter cycle frequency and larger pressure difference. Sensitivity analyses capture the complex interactions between multiple caverns and surround formations at the field scale that allows for a quantitative assessment of deformation patterns and closure rates over time and thereby informs the design and operation of sustainable underground hydrogen storage system.

Cyclic operation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Cross-sectoral impact of emerging technologies on U.S. manufacturing resilience and competitiveness

Introducing new technologies in one energy-intensive industry can affect how other industries operate and stay resilient, yet these cross-sector interactions are often underappreciated in conventional technology roadmaps. In practice, industrial systems do not evolve in isolation. They are linked through shared upstream and downstream dependencies, such as electricity and fuel supply, critical materials, transportation networks, and enabling infrastructure. As a result, large-scale technology deployment in one sector can reshape resource availability, infrastructure demand, and operational risk in others. These interdependencies mean that technology deployment decisions in one sector can create unintended bottlenecks or cascading benefits in others. Here, this article argues that a cross-sector, system-of-systems perspective is essential for evaluating and scaling emerging technologies in energy-intensive industries. By framing industrial transformation as an interconnected systems challenge rather than a set of isolated sectoral decisions, the study highlights how interdependence shapes technology feasibility, adoption pathways, and resilience outcomes. The article illustrates how cross-sector linkages can amplify both risks and benefits, and it emphasizes the importance of integrated planning approaches that account for shared dependencies, cascading impacts, and co-optimization opportunities. Adopting this broader perspective can support more robust technology roadmaps, improve strategic coordination across industries, and strengthen the long-term resilience of the industrial sector as a whole.

Nain, Preeti [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Identifying recharge sources and their impacts on a North Central New Mexico shallow aquifer using unsupervised machine learning

In this article, shallow aquifers are important but highly variable resources in arid to semi-arid regions. Limited shallow aquifer volume results in high sensitivity to recharge fluctuations, which can impact the local fauna and flora, and transport of contaminants in the aquifer or vadose zone. Aquifer response to external forcing (e.g., precipitation) is usually solved by estimating aquifer parameters and running physics-based models to match known fluctuations of hydraulic head. However, this technique is time and computationally expensive. Furthermore, high aquifer complexity decreases precision in physics-based models. Alternatively supervised machine learning is used to predict aquifer dynamics. However, these techniques rely on input data and struggle to interpret aquifer response for missing sources (i.e., snowpack data). To counter these problems, we propose an unsupervised machine learning technique (NMFk) to estimate the impact of different sources on aquifer recharge. NMFk is used to understand the influence of external forcing on shallow aquifer recharge in the Pajarito Plateau (Los Alamos, NM, USA). The results show how NMFk can be used to reduce the data dimension in a complex field dataset to three recharge signals that cause fluctuations within the field data. Here, the source signals are interpreted as rainfall, snowmelt, and a delayed aquifer response to the previous two signals. These results evidence how heterogeneous aquifers delimited by canyons incised into the Pajarito Plateau respond in similar ways to the source signals identified by NMFk. Furthermore, results show the importance of the local geology where faults act as sinks, and anthropogenic disturbances can facilitate infiltration amplifying the interpreted signal.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of inland boundary conditions on seawater intrusion modeling in stratified coastal aquifers under sea-level rise

This study systematically examines the impact of inland boundary conditions on seawater intrusion modeling in general stratified coastal aquifers under sea-level rise (SLR). We derived analytical solutions for seawater wedge toe positions in stratified aquifers with general head boundary (GHB) conditions and compiled solutions for constant head boundary (CHB), constant flux boundary (CFB), and GHB conditions in both homogeneous and stratified aquifers. Additionally, we introduced the concept of equivalent boundary conditions and developed equations to ensure consistent steady-state toe positions across different boundary types. Unlike previous studies focusing on specific layering configurations, we conducted a comprehensive sensitivity analysis of seawater intrusion in general stratified aquifers using transmissivity centroid elevation (TCE). Our results show that SLR generally exacerbates seawater intrusion, with unconfined aquifers exhibiting higher sensitivity across all boundary conditions. Among boundary types, CHB conditions were the most sensitive to SLR, CFB the least, and GHB showed an intermediate response depending on its distance from the model boundary. Furthermore, seawater intrusion increases with the TCE of the stratified aquifer under SLR, suggesting that high-permeability or preferential flow layers near the surface amplify the impact of SLR. These findings emphasize the importance of selecting appropriate boundary conditions when evaluating SLR-driven seawater intrusion in stratified coastal aquifers.

Boundary condition↗
DOE OSTI2026

Re-evaluating probable maximum precipitation estimates: sensitivity to transposition domains and storm rotation using modern datasets

This study examines the sensitivity of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) estimates to key methodological decisions embedded in the legacy approach adopted in the U.S. National Weather Service Hydrometeorological Reports No. 51 and No. 52. Although widely used for infrastructure design and risk regulation, fundamental aspects of PMP estimation—such as storm sample size, transposition domain, maximization procedures, and storm rotation—remain poorly constrained and lack formal guidance. Using the Red Rock watershed in Iowa as a case study, and leveraging the 2002–2023 NOAA Analysis of Record for Calibration (AORC) precipitation dataset, we systematically evaluate how each methodological choice, individually and in combination, influences PMP estimates. Our findings demonstrate that PMP is not a fixed physical upper bound but rather a modeling construct shaped heavily by user-defined assumptions. Notably, PMP values derived from modern gridded rainfall datasets can be substantially higher than the legacy estimate used in the original spillway design for Red Rock Dam. Decisions regarding storm sample size, domain extent, climatological window, and particularly storm rotation all contributed to higher PMP estimates. Storm rotation alone—a loosely constrained element in the current PMP practice—can amplify PMP by more than 25%. These results reveal the lack of standardized bounds in current PMP workflows and the need for systematic sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. As PMP estimation shifts toward probabilistic approaches, incorporating physically meaningful storm attributes will be key to developing more transparent, defensible methods for dam safety and climate-resilient infrastructure.

Probable maximum precipitation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Surface smoothing for laser powder-bed Ti-6Al-4V by a transient liquid phase

Surface roughness is the primary driver of fatigue for additively manufactured metals. To address surface roughness, this work introduces a new method to smooth features beyond line-of-sight without material removal. The method applies a coating that triggers local surface remelting by activating a eutectic reaction during heat treatment. The associated liquid phase then wets and isothermally solidifies into a smoother surface. For Ti-6Al-4V fabricated with laser powder bed fusion, samples with and without TLP smoothing (using a Cu coating) were characterized with a suite of techniques, including mechanical testing, electron backscatter diffraction, synchrotron X-ray tomography, and fractography. TLP smoothing reduced surface roughness by 80% and amplified compressive residual stress at the surface by about 50%. With statistically equivalent virtual microstructures, crystal plasticity scrutinized the roles of phases, porosity, and surface roughness. Although the tensile strain-to-failure was reduced to 1% strain, the TLP smoothing process increased high-cycle fatigue strength by about 20% compared to control samples, pointing to future opportunities to optimize the new process through various coating compositions and heat treatment schedules. Overall, this work establishes a new paradigm for treating surfaces of materials for smoothness and compressive residual stress.

Additive manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2025

Supported ionic liquid membranes (SILMs) with exceptional selectivity and permeability for dilute CO 2 separations

Supported ionic liquid membranes (SILMs), containing phosphonium ionic liquids with aprotic N-heterocyclic anions (AHA ILs) in an inert inorganic support, were tested under both dry and humidified (40 % RH) mixed-gas conditions down to 420 ppm CO 2 in N 2 at 35 °C. In the dry case, the best performing IL, triethyl(octyl)phosphonium 4-bromopyrazolide ([P 2228 ][4-BrPyra]) exhibited mixed-gas CO 2 permeabilities and CO 2 /N 2 permeability selectivities as high as 26,800 barrer and 7,000, respectively. In the presence of humidity, the CO 2 permeability and CO 2 /N 2 selectivity increased to 49,100 barrer and 13,200, respectively, and these are the highest reported combination in the literature. Humidity amplifies CO 2 permeabilities and CO 2 /N 2 permeability selectivities through increases in CO 2 capacity due to bicarbonate formation and through faster mobility of the mobile carrier from decreased viscosity. Furthermore, N 2 permeability stayed roughly invariant in the presence of humidity, likely from competing effects of viscosity reduction and lower N 2 solubility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electrostatic limits on charge selectivity in ultrahigh charge density polymer membranes

Ion-exchange membranes (IEMs) with ultrahigh charge densities offer the promise of enhanced ion transport for electrochemical technologies, yet the fundamental limits of this membrane design strategy are not yet understood. In this work, we present a systematic study of bis(1-vinyl-3-imidazolium) cross-linked polymer membranes with fixed charge contents ranging from 6 to 9 mol/L[dry polymer], synthesized to isolate the effects of charge density at constant membrane water content. While ionic conductivity increases monotonically with increasing charge density, a sharp decline in charge selectivity is observed for the most densely charged membranes, defying conventional expectations. Structural, thermal, and mechanical analyses reveal a critical onset of network disruption and anomalous ion partitioning behavior in these densely charged membranes. With proper consideration of cross-linker geometry, these results are interpreted using Manning's counter-ion condensation theory, which suggests that closely packed charged cross-linkers amplify inter-chain electrostatic interactions and trigger excess counter-ion condensation. Our findings suggest that, beyond a threshold spacing between fixed charges, increased functionalization may harm rather than help charge selectivity of IEMs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Co-, Ni- and Fe-rich grain-boundary phases enhance creep resistance in θ'-strengthened Al-Cu alloys

Here, microstructural evolution and creep response were investigated in the cast Al-5.0Cu-0.3Mn-0.2Zr (wt.%) alloy with and without addition of slow-diffusing, intermetallic-forming elements Fe, Ni, or Co. Baseline Al-5.0Cu-0.3Mn-0.2Zr alloy exhibits high creep resistance at 300 °C, up to ~75 MPa, which is attributed to high-aspect-ratio, intragranular θ'-Al 2 Cu precipitates that effectively suppress dislocation climb. However, θ'-Al 2 Cu precipitate-free zones form along grain boundaries upon heat treatment, whose extent is amplified during subsequent creep. Such weak regions experience dislocation creep, leading to strain localization and acceleration of grain-boundary sliding. Adding Ni and Co, individually or in combination, leads to the formation of grain-boundary precipitates (Al 9 Co 2 , Al 3 Ni 2 ) which are resistant to coarsening, thus suppressing the formation of θ'-Al 2 Cu precipitate-free zones. This microstructure provides high creep resistance at stresses up to 75–80 MPa, with strain rates much lower than in unmodified Al-5.0Cu-0.3Mn-0.2Zr. Adding Fe, which results in extensive decoration of grain boundaries with coarsening-resistant Al 7 Cu 2 Fe, and then increasing the Cu content to compensate for the Cu loss to this new phase, leads to a new Al-7.4Cu-1.6Fe-0.3Mn-0.2Zr alloy with creep resistance at 300 °C that surpasses known cast aluminum alloys. Adding Fe to improve the creep resistance of Al-Cu alloys is both cost-effective and sustainable. Our findings offer guidelines applicable to various alloy systems on controlling the evolution of precipitate-free zones and its ensuing effects on creep deformation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Acute wood smoke exposure is associated with cell-specific hippocampal transcriptomic responses in an accelerated ovarian failure mouse model

Background Wildfire events are increasing in frequency and intensity, and aging individuals demonstrate heightened biological susceptibility to air pollution exposures including increased risk of neurological sequelae. Declining ovarian hormones levels that occur with aging in females along with associated systemic physiological and inflammatory changes may contribute to increased cerebral vulnerability to air pollution, representing a potential but underexplored mechanism. Menopause and the menopausal transition represent a period of profound physiological change that affects cardiovascular, neurological, and immune health. Methods We tested whether peri-menopausal–like hormonal status amplifies hippocampal responses to acute wood smoke (WS) using an ovary-intact, 4-vinylcyclohexene diepoxide (VCD) model of moderate accelerated ovarian failure (AOF) in female C57BL/6 mice. Animals were exposed to HEPA-filtered air (FA) or WS for 4 h/day over 2 consecutive days (∼0.5 mg/m³). Exposure characterization confirmed a complex mixture of combustion products with significant levels of both trace metals and gas release during WS exposure. Results Spatial transcriptomics (10x Visium; n = 4 sections/group) with automated cell-type annotation identified astrocytes, GABAergic and glutamatergic neurons, oligodendrocytes, revealed cell type-specific transcriptional alterations following WS exposure. Distinct transcriptional patterns were observed across all identified neuronal and glial cell populations. Conclusion Together, these findings define a cell-type specific transcriptomic framework describing how WS exposure and ovarian hormone decline interact to influence hippocampal responses and identify potential cellular pathways relevant to hippocampal vulnerability.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Photocathode characterisation for robust PICOSEC Micromegas precise-timing detectors

The PICOSEC Micromegas detector is a precise-timing gaseous detector based on a Cherenkov radiator coupled with a semi-transparent photocathode and a Micromegas amplifying structure, targeting a time resolution of tens of picoseconds for minimum ionising particles. Initial single-pad prototypes have demonstrated a time resolution below σ = 25 ps, prompting ongoing developments to adapt the concept for High Energy Physics applications, where sub-nanosecond precision is essential for event separation, improved track reconstruction and particle identification. The achieved performance is being transferred to robust multi-channel detector modules suitable for large-area detection systems requiring excellent timing precision. To enhance the robustness and stability of the PICOSEC Micromegas detector, research on robust carbon-based photocathodes, including Diamond-Like Carbon (DLC) and Boron Carbide (B 4 C), is pursued. Results from prototypes equipped with DLC and B 4 C photocathodes exhibited a time resolution of σ ≈ 32 ps and σ ≈ 34.5 ps, respectively. Efforts dedicated to improve detector robustness and stability enhance the feasibility of the PICOSEC Micromegas concept for large experiments, ensuring sustained performance while maintaining excellent timing precision.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2026

Thermal neutron imaging detector with wavelength shifting fiber and digital readout

Here, we developed a large area, digital thermal neutron imaging detector. The detector uses a 6 LiF/ZnS(Ag) neutron-sensitive scintillator combined with wavelength shifting fiber technology. The signals from fiber channels are amplified, integrated, and digitized using individual analog-to-digital converters for each channel. The neutron position is determined from the digitized signal using a least-squares gaussian-fitting algorithm. The detector size was 77 × 38 cm 2 (2926 cm 2 ), it provided 1.3 mm resolution, and its resolution can further be improved. The detector was designed for a powder diffraction neutron scattering beamline and provided substantial improvement of d-space resolution compared with existing detectors. This detector may have broader applications due to its large area and high spatial resolution extended over its large area.

6LiF/ZnS(Ag) scintillator↗
DOE OSTI2025

Seismic response of vertical dry storage casks under three-dimensional earthquake motions

Ensuring the long-term seismic safety of dry storage casks (DSCs) is becoming increasingly critical as these systems evolve from temporary to de facto permanent repositories for spent nuclear fuels. Traditional seismic soil–structure interaction (SSI) assessment methods use one-dimensional deconvolution or simplified boundary conditions to model incident waves. Although computationally appealing, simplifying assumptions may alter the seismic risk by neglecting the full complexity of three-dimensional (3D) wave propagation effects. To address this challenge, this paper introduces a novel high-fidelity computational framework that leverages the Domain Reduction Method (DRM) with perfectly matched layers (PML) to accurately transfer complex, 3D seismic wavefields from regional-scale fault-rupture simulations into local-scale finite element models of DSCs. Using broadband, physics-based ground motions from a generic M w 7.0 strike-slip event, both single-cask and multi-cask configurations were investigated under near- and far-field conditions. Emphasis is placed on capturing complex SSI, spatial variability in the ground motion, and nonlinear phenomena such as cask rocking and sliding. Numerical results demonstrate that near-field conditions, where forward directivity and fling-step effects dominate, lead to significantly higher DSC rocking and sliding. Far-field cases, by contrast, generally exhibit modest responses. Incorporating SSI tends to amplify or alter DSC response spectra and introduce response variability, which underscores the need for site-specific evaluations and robust modeling approaches to ensure the seismic integrity of DSCs in interim spent fuel storage installations.

Das, Tonmoy↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unsteady aerodynamics of large-scale floating offshore wind turbines in surge motion

Unsteady aerodynamic loads significantly influence the design and wake flow field of floating offshore wind turbines, especially due to wave- or vibration-induced tower top motions triggering various unsteady phenomena. Recent studies show that increasing turbine sizes amplify unsteady aerodynamic effects, as their impact typically grows with rotor diameter. This work combines recent findings from experiments and simulations on model-scale FOWT aerodynamics with new numerical analyses of large-scale rotors, providing a comprehensive understanding of unsteady phenomena occurrence and impact. Numerical analyses of the IEA 15-MW and 22-MW rotors undergoing surge motions characterise the combined influence of motion-induced unsteady phenomena on rotor thrust. Results indicate that unsteady effects can reduce thrust force variations by up to 40% at realistic surge periods. These findings contrast with prior model-scale rotor investigations, attributed to the specialised design of the model rotors. Comparisons between numerical methods - the dynamic blade element momentum method in OpenFAST and free vortex wake modules in panMARE and OpenFAST - reveal persistent differences in thrust predictions under both idealised and realistic conditions. This highlights that classical blade element momentum approaches require enhancement to accurately capture unsteady loads on large-scale floating offshore wind turbines at low wind speeds.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2024

The influence of cloud cover on the reliability of satellite-based solar resource data

Satellite-based solar resource data are often developed and validated by using binary cloudiness categories: clear sky or overcast cloudy sky. To investigate the reliability of solar resource data in partially cloudy conditions, we estimate cloud fraction using two distinct algorithms: a physical retrieval model using surface observed global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and direct normal irradiance (DNI) and a temporal average of cloud mask data estimated by the observed DNI. Our analysis reveals a significant presence of scattered clouds, broken clouds, and mismatches between satellite- and surface-based cloud data at 17 surface sites across the contiguous United States, though confidently clear and cloudy conditions collectively account for more than 70 % of the data. Solar radiation is computed using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) algorithm and validated using surface observations. Here, our findings suggest that, in the presence of scattered clouds, NSRDB data for clear-sky conditions can be subject to significant overestimation. In cloudy-sky conditions classified by satellite data, DNI computed by the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with DNI (FARMS-DNI) can be underestimated when limited clouds are detected by surface observations. The bias observed in several cloudiness categories indicates that the NSRDB is exceptionally accurate in confidently clear conditions. However, clear-sky conditions with scattered clouds and mismatched cloud data contribute significantly to the overall uncertainties in the NSRDB. Therefore, future improvements in solar resource data should involve development and implementation of satellite-derived cloud fraction and should consider a novel radiative transfer model accounting for amplified cloud reflection. The evaluation within cloudiness categories also provides a physical rationale for the superior performance of FARMS-DNI compared to the Direct Insolation Simulation Code (DISC) in both cloudy-sky and all-sky conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗