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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Advances in Carbon Capture and Use (CCU) Technologies: A Comprehensive Review and CO2 Mitigation Potential Analysis

One of society’s major current challenges is carbon dioxide emissions and their consequences. In this context, new technologies for carbon dioxide (CO2) capture have attracted much attention. One of these is carbon capture and utilization (CCU). This work focuses on the latest trends in a holistic approach to carbon dioxide capture and utilization. Absorption, adsorption, membranes, and chemical looping are considered for CO2 capture. Each CO2 capture technology is described, and its benefits and drawbacks are discussed. For the use of carbon dioxide, various possible applications of CCU are described, starting with the utilization of carbon dioxide in agriculture and proceeding to the conversion of CO2 into fuels (catalytic processes), chemicals (photocatalytic processes), polymers, and building supplies. For decades, carbon dioxide has been used in industrial processes, such as CO2-enhanced oil recovery, the food industry, organic compound production (such as urea), water treatment, and, therefore, the production of flame retardants and coolants. There also are several new CO2-utilization technologies at various stages of development and exploitation, such as electrochemical conversion to fuels, CO2-enhanced oil recovery, and supercritical CO2. At the end of this review, future opportunities are discussed regarding machine learning (ML) and life cycle assessment (LCA).

Peres, Christiano B.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Tailoring Cementitious Materials Towards Value-Added Use of Large CO 2 Volumes

Hydraulic cements with alternative chemistries were developed for large-volume and value-added use of carbon dioxide. The hydraulic cements were processed using the energy-efficient mechanochemical technique at room temperature and atmospheric pressure. Carbon dioxide was captured directly from combustion emissions during processing. For this purpose, mechanochemical processing of hydraulic cements was accomplished under a flow of combustion emissions prior to the release of emissions to the atmosphere. The process removed a significant fraction of carbon dioxide from combustion emissions. The hydraulic cements captured carbon dioxide at about 10% of their weight. Two hydraulic cement chemistries were developed, and their mechanochemical processing was successfully scaled-up. The characteristic feature of one chemistry was its relatively low (near-neutral) pH where the integration of carbon dioxide yielded clear value. The second cement chemistry was based on alkali activation of industrial wastes. This chemistry could make value-added use of carbon dioxide, but it had to be refined to control the pH drop caused by CO 2 integration. These two cements render binding effects upon hydration by forming a combination of stable carbonates and aluminosilicates or phosphates. Efforts to develop cement chemistries based solely on carbonates were not successful. The mechanochemical process was found to integrate carbon dioxide into the alternative cement chemistries in the form of disordered and metastable carbonates. During hydration reactions, the disordered/metastable carbonates are either transformed into stable carbonate phases with desired binding efforts, or carbonates get integrated into the primary inorganic binders (hydrates). When compared with mechanochemical processing in pure carbon dioxide, mechanochemical processing in combustion emissions produced hydraulic cements with improved engineering properties. The mechanochemical process was scaled-up, and its variables as well as the raw materials formulations were optimized for implementation at pilot scale. Scale-up was found to enhance the carbon capture potential and the engineering qualities of the resulting hydraulic cements. This was because scale-up raises the intensity of mechanical energy input to raw materials. Certain mechanochemical phenomena cannot be induced, irrespective of the cumulative mechanical energy input, unless the intensity of impact is raised above a minimum level that cannot be achieved in laboratory-scale implementation of the process. Due to this effect, the duration of the mechanochemical process as well as its energy demand could be reduced significantly (by an order of magnitude) upon transition from laboratory to pilot scale, with the hydraulic cements produced at pilot scale offering engineering properties that were superior to those realized in laboratory-scale mechanochemical processing. The hydraulic cements produced at pilot scale via mechanochemical processing under a flow of combustion emissions were thoroughly characterized. They were found to meet standard requirements for ‘General Use’ hydraulic cements. They were compatible with the industrial-scale concrete production and construction practices that are used with the currently prevalent hydraulic cements. The new hydraulic cements with integrated carbon dioxide were found to offer distinct advantages over the currently prevalent Portland cement in terms of net carbon footprint and energy content. The combined raw materials and energy costs of the new hydraulic cements are competitive, and major cost savings can be realized because of the simplified production process that significantly lowers the capital investment in cement production plants. Mechanochemical processing of the new hydraulic cements under a flow of combustion emissions can be implemented using some existing components of cement manufacturing plants; this facilitates adoption of the technology by the cement industry.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Porous Organic Cages CC3 and CC2 as Adsorbents for the Separation of Carbon Dioxide from Nitrogen and Hydrogen

The selective capture of carbon dioxide over nitrogen and hydrogen is of great industrial interest in flue gas and hydrogen purification respectively. Microporous adsorbents are highly suitable materials to preferentially adsorb gases. Here, in particular, Porous organic cages (POCs) with tunable hierarchically ordered micropores, high surface area, and thermodynamic affinity for CO 2 make them appealing candidates for these applications. Herein, we demonstrate that two prototypical POCs denoted as CC3, and CC2 with limiting pore aperture of 3.6 Å can selectively separate CO 2 from N 2 , and H 2 . For CC3 adsorption selectivities as high as ~ 8 and ~20 for CO 2 /N 2 and CO 2 /H 2 respectively were observed. For CC2 adsorption selectivities as high as ~ 9 and ~35 for CO 2 /N 2 and CO 2 /H 2 respectively were observed. Interestingly, the adsorption selectivity of the studied gases correlated linearly with polarizability selectivity.

Carbon Dioxide↗
DOE OSTI2020

Sorption Enhanced Mixed Matrix Membranes for Hydrogen (H 2 ) Purification and Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) Capture

The technical objective of this project was to develop sorption enhanced mixed matrix membranes with H 2 permeance of 500 gas permeance units (GPU) and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200 °C. These membranes will be the central component in the design of membrane based systems for 90% capture of CO 2 from coal-derived syngas, with 95% CO 2 purity at a cost of electricity 30% less than baseline capture approaches. The unique approach in this proposal is to design crosslinked polymers containing Pd-based nanoparticles achieving strong H 2 sorption and size sieving ability and thus H 2 /CO 2 selectivity. The specific objectives for each budget period (BP) are described below. BP 1: Identify polymer matrix with strong size sieving ability and palladium (Pd)-containing nanomaterials to prepare freestanding mixed matrix films with H 2 permeability of 50 Barrer and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200°C with simulated syngas. BP 2: Prepare and optimize thin film mixed matrix composite membranes materials with H 2 permeance of 500 GPU and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 30 at 150-200 °C, and complete the modification of the membrane test unit for the field test in the BP 3. BP 3: Conduct a 20-day field test of the membranes with real syngas at Center for Advanced Energy Research (CAER) of the University of Kentucky (UKy). During the BP2, we have successfully prepared thin-film composite (TFC) membranes based on mixed matrix materials (MMMs) containing Pd nanoparticles in polymers, and demonstrated their superior and robust performance for H 2 /CO 2 separation at 150 – 225 °C. (1) Production of the Pd based nanoparticles with a diameter of 4 nm has been scaled up to 200 mg/day. (2) We have prepared TFC membranes with H 2 permeance above 500 GPU and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity above 30 at temperatures up to 225 °C, which meet the targets for the BP2. (3) We have conducted parametric studies of TFC membranes with a mixed gas containing H 2 S and H 2 O and demonstrated the stability of the membranes. (4) We have established a new testing plan at the Center for Advanced Energy Studies (CAER) at the University of Kentucky because NCCC decided to shut down their gasifier. During this project, four Ph.D. students received the inter-disciplinary training and graduated, including Shailesh Konda, Maryam Omidvar, Deqiang Yin, and Lingxiang Zhu. One postdoctoral researcher (Dr. Liang Huang) and two Ph.D. students (Abhishek Kumar and Hien Nguyen) are involved in this project. The project leads to one provisional patent application, eight peer-reviewed articles, and one manuscript in preparation. The details are shown below.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

MCM (Marine Carbon Management) [SWR-24-122]

The marine carbon management software is an open-source Python based software that contains generic models for marine carbon capture, marine carbon dioxide removal, marine carbon capture and utilization, marine carbon capture and storage. The models include design parameters, operational conditions and scenarios and technology costs.

Niffenegger, James↗
DOE OSTI2022

An Electrochemical Hydrogen-Looping System for Low-Cost CO 2 Capture from Seawater

Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture from seawater is a viable, long-term solution for addressing legacy carbon pollution on the planet. However, significant challenges to widespread applicability exist in terms of efficiency, cost, and scalability. In this work, we have developed an electrochemical hydrogen-looping (EHL) system that capitalizes on the generation of proton and OH – from seawater. A CO 2 capture efficiency as high as 91% is achieved for our EHL flow cell. We have demonstrated that the electrochemical hydrogen-looping flow cell can remove CO 2 from simulated seawater at a record low electric energy consumption of 660 kWh ton –1 CO 2 , which is a significant reduction of 56% compared with the currently used bipolar membrane electrodialysis technology. In conclusion, the electrochemical hydrogen-looping flow cell with its much lower energy consumption provides an economical approach for direct removal of CO 2 from seawater at practical scale.

Electrical energy↗
DOE OSTI2022

Multifunctional Charge and Hydrogen-Bond Effects of Second-Sphere Imidazolium Pendants Promote Capture and Electrochemical Reduction of CO 2 in Water Catalyzed by Iron Porphyrins

Microenvironments tailored by multifunctional secondary coordination sphere groups can enhance catalytic performance at primary metal active sites in natural systems. In this work, we capture this biological concept in synthetic systems by developing a family of iron porphyrins decorated with imidazolium (im) pendants for the electrochemical CO 2 reduction reaction (CO 2 RR), which promotes multiple synergistic effects to enhance CO 2 RR and enables the disentangling of second-sphere contributions that stem from each type of interaction. Fe-ortho-im(H), which poises imidazolium units featuring both positive charge and hydrogen-bond capabilities proximal to the active iron center, increases CO 2 binding affinity by 25-fold and CO 2 RR activity by 2000-fold relative to the parent Fe tetraphenylporphyrin (Fe-TPP). Comparison with monofunctional analogs reveals that through-space charge effects have a greater impact on catalytic CO 2 RR performance compared to hydrogen bonding in this context.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Electrochemically driven carbon dioxide separation

This project explored the viability of a Ni(OH) 2 based hydroxide exchange membrane carbon capture (HEMCC) device for direct air capture. It is built off an H 2 fuel cell based HEMCC previously developed in the Yushan Yan group at University of Delaware. Taking the same membrane-based, electrochemically driven pH gradient concept, similar flux performance was able to be seen in the Ni(OH) 2 system as the H 2 system when using comparable current densities. The project produced two types of membrane electrode assemblies (MEA). The first was a traditional MEA with two electrodes and a membrane, the second was a flow-through membrane MEA. Consistent performance was achieved with the traditional MEA with an energy cost of 1.1 MWh∙ton -1 and flux of 82 kg∙m -2 ∙yr -1 . This was the most stable of the two designs. This project investigated strategies to improve performance with a flow-through membrane design. Two designs were made, one with a cast phase inversion membrane, and one with powdered membrane layer. The template phase inversion membrane achieved low pressure drop but had performance limitations due to a skin layer of membrane limiting CO 2 gas transport. The powdered membrane layer had better performance but higher pressure drop. Finally, using the powdered membrane, commercial battery materials were able to be used in order to achieve higher flux. This showed that the flow through membrane design does have the capability to overcome flux inefficiencies in the traditional MEA. Moreover, the process design of the system is proposed and given in this project. The process mass and energy balances were calculated for a reference plant of 1000 t/yr CO 2 capture, which contains several subsystems, e.g. air processing subsystem, electrical subsystem, and CO 2 purification and compression subsystem is designed and evaluated. Based on our calculation, When the power consumption for stack is 1 MWh t -1 CO 2 , Additional 382 kWh t -1 CO 2 will be consumed by other subsystem of the plant, i.e. The total power consumption of 1.38 MWh t -1 CO 2 , lower than the final milestone of 1.5 MWh t -1 CO 2 in this project.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2024

Implementing vanadium peroxides as direct air carbon capture materials

Vanadium peroxide molecules undergo stoichiometric direct air capture of carbon dioxide, wherein reactivity towards carbon capture via both peroxide and adventitious superoxide ligands trends with the size of the alkali countercation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Techno-Economic Analysis of a Cryogenic Flux Capacitor for Grid Storage

Abstract The Cryogenic Flux Capacitor (CFC) is a cold, dense fluid storage core with integrated design features that afford the designer flexibility and provide new possibilities for the storage and discharge of energy. The stored energy, in this case, is represented by hydrogen physically bonded within the nanoscale pores within the aerogel composite blanket material, and the process of bonding or debonding is governed by principles of physical adsorption (physisorption) and thermodynamics. The large surface area afforded by the nanoporous aerogel (∼1,000 m2/g) allows for storage densities close to, or in some cases exceeding, that of normal boiling point liquids. Its performance easily exceeds what can be achieved via ambient temperature, high-pressure gas storage for an equivalent volume. CFC storage is predicted to be easily scalable, is constructed from readily available commercial materials, lends itself to a range of pressure applications, and is geometry insensitive. The high energy density of CFC-stored hydrogen allows long durations of storage, such as daily to monthly cycling, which corresponds to approximately 10 to 100 hours of duration, respectively. The techno-economic analysis examines different types of hydrogen storage for commercial viability. The assessment includes the use of hydrogen blended with natural gas in a combined cycle gas turbine. The study provides results for a range of blends from 100% natural gas to 100% hydrogen. The required fuel usages are estimated for the intended application in a grid scenario that features large amounts of renewable penetration, 10 hours, and as a baseload, 100 hours. The study presents preliminary estimates of the capital cost of storage and operating cost of storage. In addition, the cost of firing natural gas and capturing the carbon dioxide (CO2) in a carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) system is assessed. Based on the study, it is shown that CFC can competitively meet performance and cost needs for grid-based energy storage.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unique nanotechnology converts carbon dioxide to valuable products

Carbon capture and management are increasing challenges associated with global warming. Current commercial-scale carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture technologies are associated with a heavy economic penalty – they require at least one-third of the plant’s steam and power to operate. The objective of this project was to develop and test an innovative nanotechnology that can utilize CO 2 , from coal-based power systems or other industrial sources, as the primary feedstock to produce commercially valuable products to potentially offset the cost of CO 2 capture. The scope of this project includes conversion of CO 2 to nanomaterials using two unique amino acids in synthetic flue gases and the completion of a process design and techno-economic and lifecycle analyses to demonstrate the economic feasibility and environmental impact of the developed technology. The International Energy Agency predicts that fossil fuels will continue to play a significant role in meeting global energy demand. The goal of the research is to lead to an affordable and transformational CO 2 capture and reuse technology that will reduce the release of CO 2 thereby reducing global climate variability and its enormous impact on our daily lives.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2021

Deep Eutectic Solvent Formed by Imidazolium Cyanopyrrolide and Ethylene Glycol for Reactive CO 2 Separations

Solvents made from a reactive ionic liquid, with an imidazolium cation and pyrrolide anion, and ethylene glycol at a wide compositional range were studied for separations of CO 2 at low partial pressures (<<0.1 bar up to 1 bar). Thermal analysis and measurements of viscosity and density show compacting of the liquid upon mixing with enhanced stability achieved by hydrogen bonding. A detailed mechanistic study was performed by IR, quantitative NMR, and ab initio calculations that show significant CO 2 absorption capacity below 5000 ppm of CO 2 in N 2 . Three reversible routes are found that yield carbonate (major product), carboxylate (moderate), and carbamate (minor) species. With CO 2 at 100% RH, bicarbonate along with carbonate species form. The CO 2 -ethlyene glycol reaction complex, the carbonate anion, is stabilized by the hydrogen bonding and Coulombic interactions, thus preventing evaporation of the solvent during regeneration. This study demonstrates a promising approach to designer green solvents for CO 2 separations in open systems such as direct air capture.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of multiple calcination cycles on CO 2 capture efficiency during carbonation of MgO in a mineral looping process

Magnesium oxide (MgO) is considered as a potential sorbent for direct air capture of carbon dioxide in a looping process. Previous research on mineral looping for carbon capture from flue gas using MgO has shown deactivation of the sorbent with repeated cycles but repeated cycling for carbonation at ambient conditions has not been yet investigated. Here, we tested three cycles of carbonation for MgO nano-scale powders with different starting surface area. We find that carbonation efficiency is higher at higher surface area. No decrease in carbonation efficiency was observed with cycling, instead we find that carbonation efficiency and surface area are stable or even increasing with cycling. Based on our experimental data, we hypothesize that the carbonation in presence of relative humidity leads to first hydration of MgO, leading to formation of brucite (Mg(OH) 2 ). This formation of Mg(OH) 2 is a volume-increasing reaction, which leads to fracturing of MgO particles and results in an increase in surface area. We observed formation of amorphous and crystalline hydrated carbonates. The crystalline phase observed was nesquehonite (MgCO 3 ⋅ 3H 2 O). Our results show that MgO does not show any deactivation with repeated cycling for carbon capture at ambient conditions and in the presence of humidity. These findings therefore indicate that MgO is a suitable candidate as sorbent material for direct air capture of carbon dioxide.

Ambient weathering↗
DOE OSTI2021

Method for direct conversion of carbon dioxide to dialkyl carbonates using ethylene oxide as feedstock

A method for co-production of high purity dimethyl carbonate and mono-ethylene glycol by applying a reactor, such as a membrane reactor and/or an adsorbent-catalytic reactor by capturing and reacting carbon dioxide with methanol and ethylene oxide. Carbon dioxide may be recovered from primary sources (utilities and industrial processes) by a membrane or solid adsorbent, and subsequently converted to an intermediate hydroxy-ethyl-methyl carbonate by reacting with ethylene oxide and methanol. For high-purity carbon dioxide (obtained by carbon capture technologies or from an ethanol fermentation process), the membrane reactor is replaced with a catalytic reactor for direct conversion of carbon dioxide to hydroxy-ethyl-methyl carbonate by reacting with ethylene oxide and methanol. The hydro-ethyl-methyl carbonate is further reacted with methanol for conversion to dimethyl carbonate. A combination of heterogeneous and homogeneous catalysts is implemented for an effective conversion of carbon dioxide. An integrated reactive distillation process using side reactors is used for facilitating catalytic reaction for production of high purity dimethyl carbonate.

Panchal, Chandrakant B.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reactive Capture and Conversion of Carbon Dioxide to Methanol with ZnZrO 2 and Alkali-Promoted Mg 3 AlO x Mixed Oxide Catalytic Sorbents

Reactive capture and conversion (RCC) explores the use of a single-unit process to capture CO 2 and produce a product, in this case, methanol (MeOH). In this study, different configurations of a catalytic sorbent (CS) composed of ZnZrO 2 catalyst and Mg 3 AlO x sorbent with and without alkali modification are evaluated for CO 2 adsorption, steady-state catalysis with cofed CO 2 and H 2 , and transient RCC performance. A catalyst composed of a physical mixture of Mg 3 AlO x with ZnZrO 2 resulted in a slight increase in CO 2 uptake, with a low impact on the catalytic activity and RCC of the materials compared to ZnZrO 2 alone. In contrast, Na impregnation significantly increased the level of CO 2 uptake from 0.28 mmol/g (ZnZrO 2 alone) to 0.6 and 1.1 mmol/g for the CS with Na on the catalyst or Mg 3 AlO x , respectively. However, Na impregnation reduced the CO 2 conversion rate and MeOH selectivity during steady-state cofeed experiments at 300 °C and 6 bar. In contrast to steady-state catalysis conditions, RCC, which is a cyclic capture and conversion process, creates dynamic CO 2 and H 2 surface coverages, favoring CH 4 in the early stages of the conversion step and then CO and MeOH as the catalyst CO 2 coverage reduces. The highest MeOH productivity during RCC was achieved with CS that balanced the CO 2 uptake with only moderate catalyst rate reductions caused by Na addition. The optimal material, ZnZrO 2 +10%Na/Mg 3 AlO x , achieved a CO 2 uptake of 0.8 mmol/g and a MeOH productivity of 0.5 mmol/g with 100% selectivity at 260 °C and 6 bar during RCC. This marks the highest RCC MeOH productivity reported to date, although the process needs further optimization and even with optimization, may remain impractical. The results further demonstrate that optimization of catalytic sorbents under steady-state flow conditions does not easily correlate to transient capture and conversion cycles for methanol synthesis from CO 2 .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1998

Biochemical Capture and Removal of Carbon Dioxide

We devised an enzyme-based facilitated transport membrane bioreactor system to selectively remove carbon dioxide (CO2) from the space station environment. We developed and expressed site-directed enzyme mutants for CO2 capture. Enzyme kinetics showed the mutants to be almost identical to the wild type save at higher pH. Both native enzyme and mutant enzymes were immobilized to different supports including nylons, glasses, sepharose, methacrylate, titanium and nickel. Mutant enzyme could be attached and removed from metal ligand supports and the supports reused at least five times. Membrane systems were constructed to test CO2 selectivity. These included proteic membranes, thin liquid films and enzyme-immobilized teflon membranes. Selectivity ratios of more than 200:1 were obtained for CO2 versus oxygen with CO2 at 0.1%. The data indicate that a membrane based bioreactor can be constructed which could bring CO2 levels close to Earth.

Trachtenberg, Michael C.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Durable and Versatile Immobilized Carbonic Anhydrase on Textile Structured Packing for CO 2 Capture

High-performance carbon dioxide (CO 2 )-capture technologies with low environmental impact are necessary to combat the current climate change crisis. Durable and versatile “drop-in-ready” textile structured packings with covalently immobilized carbonic anhydrase (CA) were created as efficient, easy to handle catalysts for CO 2 absorption in benign solvents. The hydrophilic textile structure itself contributed high surface area and superior liquid transport properties to promote gas-liquid reactions that were further enhanced by the presence of CA, leading to excellent CO 2 absorption efficiencies in lab-scale tests. Mechanistic investigations revealed that CO 2 capture efficiency depended primarily on immobilized enzymes at or near the surface, whereas polymer entrapped enzymes were more protected from external stressors than those exposed at the surface, providing strategies to optimize performance and durability. Textile packing with covalently attached enzyme aggregates retained 100% of the initial 66.7% CO 2 capture efficiency over 71-day longevity testing and retained 85% of the initial capture efficiency after 1-year of ambient dry storage. Subsequent stable performance in a 500 h continuous liquid flow scrubber test emphasized the material robustness. Biocatalytic textile packings performed well with different desirable solvents and across wide CO 2 concentration ranges that are critical for CO 2 capture from coal and natural gas-fired power plants, from natural gas and biogas for fuel upgrading, and directly from air.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Probabilistic feasibility assessment of sequestration reliance for climate targets

Countries worldwide are transforming their energy systems to achieve Carbon-Neutrality. Investing in renewable resources-based technologies and implementing Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) are common strategies to achieve higher sequestration levels. Negative emissions through Bioenergy with CCS are expected to play an essential role in the transition to full decarbonization. On top of that, biomass is a limited resource that depends on environmental factors, which create uncertainties related to the amount that can be sustainably provided to the energy system. Here this study emphasizes the relevance of variability in carbon sequestration for achieving climate targets by 2050. Here this paper proposes a probabilistic approach that integrates the Global Change Analysis Model for Latin America (GCAM-LA) with a chance constraint approach. GCAM-LA is used to assess the impact on the energy sector of different limits of sustainable biomass and carbon budget scenarios. The risk associated with exceeding the sequestration capacity of a given region is modeled via Chance Constraint. Results show that electrification is an appropriate long-term decarbonization strategy. It smoothes the effects of uncertainty in sequestration capacity and responds to end-user demands. For this case study, higher levels of electrification are obtained at likelihood levels >66% for end-use sectors.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗