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Flare Statistics for Young Stars from a Convolutional Neural Network Analysis of TESS Data

All-sky photometric time-series missions have allowed for the monitoring of thousands of young (t age < 800 Myr) stars in order to understand the evolution of stellar activity. In this work, we developed a convolutional neural network (CNN), stella, specifically trained to find flares in Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) short-cadence data. We applied the network to 3200 young stars in order to evaluate flare rates as a function of age and spectral type. The CNN takes a few seconds to identify flares on a single light curve. We also measured rotation periods for 1500 of our targets and find that flares of all amplitudes are present across all spot phases, suggesting high spot coverage across the entire surface. Additionally, flare rates and amplitudes decrease for stars t age > 50 Myr across all temperatures T eff ≥ 4000 K, while stars from 2300 ≤ T eff < 4000 K show no evolution across 800 Myr. Stars of T eff ≤ 4000 K also show higher flare rates and amplitudes across all ages. We investigate the effects of high flare rates on photoevaporative atmospheric mass loss for young planets. In the presence of flares, planets lose 4%–7% more atmosphere over the first 1 Gyr. stella is an open-source Python toolkit hosted on GitHub and PyPI.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

First Fermi-LAT Solar Flare Catalog

In this work, we present the first Fermi-Large Area Telescope (LAT) solar flare catalog covering the 24th solar cycle. This catalog contains 45 Fermi-LAT solar flares (FLSFs) with emission in the γ-ray energy band (30 MeV–10 GeV) detected with a significance of ≥5σ over the years 2010–2018. A subsample containing 37 of these flares exhibits delayed emission beyond the prompt-impulsive hard X-ray phase, with 21 flares showing delayed emission lasting more than two hours. No prompt-impulsive emission is detected in four of these flares. We also present in this catalog observations of GeV emission from three flares originating from active regions located behind the limb of the visible solar disk. We report the lightcurves, spectra, best proton index, and localization (when possible) for all FLSFs. The γ-ray spectra are consistent with the decay of pions produced by >300 MeV protons. This work contains the largest sample of high-energy γ-ray flares ever reported and provides a unique opportunity to perform population studies on the different phases of the flare and thus allowing a new window in solar physics to be opened.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Comparison of the Effectiveness of Flares With That of Fins for Stabilizing Low Fineness Ratio Bodies at Mach Numbers From 0.6 to 5.8

An experimental and analytical investigation has been made of the effectiveness of flares and of fins for providing aerodynamic stability of low-fineness-ratio bodies near zero angle of attack. Wind-tunnel tests were performed at Mach numbers from 0.6 to 3.8 to measure the normal force, center of pressure, and drag of bodies consisting of conical noses in combination with cylindrical midsections and finned or flared aftersections. This study included an investigation of the effects of nose bluntness, midbody length, flare angle (from 0° to 20°), and fin leading-edge bluntness. The results showed that for the same plan-form area, flares were more effective than fins, but for the same drag, fins were more effective than flares. Flow separation, which occurred ahead of a flare at certain Mach numbers, resulted in an increase in the stabilizing effectiveness of the flare and a decrease in the drag. However, flow separation led to large undesirable shifts in the center of pressure. Blunt fins were found to be more effective than sharp fins, with the vertical as well as the horizontal fins contributing to the effectiveness. Comparisons of the analytical with the experimental results indicated that the analytical method employed gave good estimates of the stabilizing effectiveness of both fins and flares throughout the supersonic Mach number range.

Leland H Jorgensen↗

Sunspot motion and flaring in M482

A series of flares was studied in McMath 11482 August 19-22, 1971, with particular reference to the basis for the flares and comparison with dekameter radio data. The flares were produced by rapid (approximately 1000 km/hr) westward motion of a large new p spot. Many flares occur just in front of the spot, and they cease when the motion stops. All flares occuring in front of the spot produce type III bursts, while even strong flares elsewhere in the region produce little or no type III. The time of type III emission agrees perfectly with the start of the H alpha flare. Thus type III bursts are only produced in favorable configurations. Simultaneous K-line movies are compared with H alpha films and show little difference in flare appearance.

Lazareff, B.↗

The flares of August 1972

Observations of the August, 1972 flares at Big Bear and Tel Aviv, involving monochromatic movies, magnetograms, and spectra, are analyzed. The region (McMath 11976) showed inverted polarity from its inception on July 11; the great activity was due to extremely high shear and gradients in the magnetic field, as well as a constant invasion of one polarity into the opposite; observations in lambda 3835 show remarkable fast flashes in the impulsive flare of 18:38 UT on Aug. 2 with lifetimes of 5 sec, which may be due to dumping of particles in the lower chromosphere. Flare loops show evolutionary increases of their tilts to the neutral line in the flares of Aug. 4 and 7. Spectroscopic observations show red asymmetry and red shift of the H alpha emission in the flash phase of the Aug. 7 flare, as well as substantial velocity shear in the photosphere during the flare, somewhat like earthquake movement along a fault. Finally the total H alpha emission of the Aug. 7 flare could be measured accurately as about 2.5 x 10 to the 30th power erg, considerably less than coarser previous estimates for great flares.

Zirin, H.↗

Solar flares

A review of the knowledge about solar flares which has been obtained through observations from the earth and from space by various methods. High-resolution cinematography is best carried out at H-alpha wavelengths to reveal the structure, time history, and location of flares. The classification flares in H alpha according to either physical or morphological criteria is discussed. The study of flare morphology, which shows where, when, and how flares occur, is important for evaluating theories of flares. Consideration is given to studies of flares by optical spectroscopy, radio emissions, and at X-ray and XUV wavelengths. Research has shown where and possibly why flares occur, but the physics of the instability involved, of the particle acceleration, and of the heating are still not understood.

Zirin, H.↗

Solar emissions associated with impulsive solar flare X-rays

The major characteristics of some of the flare emissions are identified. The time-intensity profile of solar flare emissions is presented, where impulsive X-rays, impulsive microwave, optical and EUV emissions are emitted during the impulsive (flash) phase of a solar flare. The energy emitted in various electromagnetic emissions during flares with an impulsive phase is reported along with estimates of the kinetic energy of the energetic electrons and the energy of the hot plasma. Although the magnitudes of the various flare emissions vary from one flare to another, the total kinetic energy of the nonthermal particles produced during the impulsive phase is a significant fraction of the total flare energy (thermal and nonthermal). The process responsible for particle acceleration in some flares is shown to have a relatively high efficiency.

Kane, S. R.↗

Aerodynamic performance of flared fan nozzles used as inlets

Tests were conducted in a low speed wind tunnel to determine the aerodynamic performance of several flared fan nozzles. Each of the flared nozzles was a downstream-facing inlet to a model fan that was used to simulate a variable pitch fan during reverse thrust operation. The total pressure recovery of each of the flared nozzles as well as that of an unflared nozzle and a serrated flare nozzle was obtained for comparison. The aerodynamic performance of a selected flared nozzle was considered in further detail. The nozzle surface pressures for a flared nozzle were also determined. Results indicated that the differences in aerodynamic performance among the nozzles were most apparent at the wind-tunnel-off condition. A nonzero free stream velocity significantly reduced the perforamnce of all the nozzles, and crosswind flow (free stream flow perpendicular to the model axis) further reduced the performance of the nozzles. The unflared nozzle and the serrated flare nozzle had reduced aerodynamic performance compared to a solid surface flared nozzle.

Dietrich, D. A.↗

Simultaneous radio and optical observations of UV Ceti-type flare stars

The UV Ceti-type stars, YZ Canis Minoris, AD Leonis, and Wolf 424 AB, were monitored for 57.8 hours from January 15 to February 22, 1974, using the 1000-foot (305-m) radio telescope at Arecibo, Puerto Rico, and the 91-cm or 76-cm reflector at McDonald Observatory. Radio observations were made at frequencies of 430, 318, and 196 MHz, and optical monitoring was done in the Johnson U or B band, the Stromgren u band, or white light. During the period of simultaneous observations, 62 optical flares were detected. A total of 13 RF flares were independently identified, of which 10 reached maximum flux within 10 min of the peak time of an optical flare. Using times of optical-flare events as reference data, an additional 15 cases of radio enhancements associated with optical flares are identified. The most probable delay interval between the optical-flare maximum and 318-MHz radio peak was found to be 0 to 5 min, with the optical flare occurring first. Aside from this statistical delay of peak occurrence and a general tendency for radio and optical flares to be associated, no systematic correlations of optical and radio amplitudes or morphology were found. The possible consequences of the radio emission's being due to a coherent process are discussed.

Spangler, S. R.↗

Some comments on flares after many years of observation

Ground based observations of flares are reviewed in search of information on flare build up on either a long or a short time scale. Plots of flare frequency and importance for certain individual centers of activity suggest a possible crescendo in flare occurrence days and hours before the development of large and significant flares. The X-ray records follow the same pattern of apparent build-up. A possible dependence between successive major flares, as phases one and two of a single complex flare event, suggests that the time scale in which the total flare event takes place may exhibit extreme variation.

Dodson, H. W.↗

F-region enhancements induced by solar flares

ATS-6 total electron content (NT) observations during solar flares exhibit four types of response: (1) a sudden increase in NT (SITEC) for about 2 min with several maxima in growth rate, then a maximum or a distinct slowing in growth, followed by a slow smooth increase to a flat peak, and finally a slow decay in NT; (2) a SITEC that occurs during ionospheric storms, where NT decays abruptly after the first maximum; (3) slow enhancements devoid of distinct impulsive structure in growth rate; and (4) no distinct response in NT, even for relatively large soft X-ray flares. Flare-induced increases in NT are dominated by low-loss F2 ionization produced by 90-911-A emission. The impulsive flare component is relatively intense in the 90-911-A range, but is short lived and weak for flares near the edge of the visible solar disk and for certain slow flares. The impulsive flare component produces the rapid rise, the sharp maxima in growth rate, and the first maximum in SITECs. The slow flare components are strong in the 1-90-A range but relatively weak in the 90-911-A range and accumulatively contribute to the second maximum in type 1 and 3 events, except during storms when F2 loss rates are abnormally high in type 2 events.

Donnelly, R. F.↗

Evidence for a peak in the number of isolated Type III bursts prior to large solar flares

Evidence for a broad maximum in the number of isolated metric-wave Type III bursts prior to the large H alpha solar flares observed between May 1973 and February 1974 is reported. The time distribution of isolated Type III bursts within 12.6 h of each of the 111 solar flares of importance 1 or greater recorded during the period is shown to peak approximately 5 h before the time of flare maximum, most markedly in the case of bursts with projected positions near the solar flare position. The examination of H alpha, X-ray and magnetogram data in the vicinity of the flare implies a purely coronal storage and release mechanism for the flare energy. The peak of Type III burst activity is thus suggested as a good indicator of coronal energy input and storage near the time of a large solar flare, although not a reliable flare predictor.

Jackson, B. V.↗

Remote flare brightenings and type III reverse slope bursts

Observations are presented on two large (H-alpha class 2) flares that each produced an extensive chain of discrete H-alpha brightenings spanning 370,000-470,000 km in length in remote quiet regions more than 100,000 km from the main flare site. A large group of Type III RS bursts was also observed accompanying each flare. The onset of about half the remote H-alpha emission patches were nearly simultaneous with the RS bursts. One flare was observed in hard X-rays, and it is noted that the RS bursts occurred during hard X-ray spikes. For the other flare, soft X-ray filtergrams indicate coronal loops connecting from the main flare site to the remote H-alpha brightenings. Observations indicate that the RS burst electrons were generated in the flares, and it is proposed that the remote H-alpha brightenings were initiated by direct heating of the chromosphere by RS burst electrons traveling in closed magnetic loops connecting the flare site to the remote patches. It is also suggested that after onset, the brightenings were heated by thermal conduction by slower thermal electrons.

Tang, F.↗

Detection of an X-ray flare in the RS CVn binary Sigma Coronae Borealis

The detection of an X-ray flare in the RS CVn binary Sigma Coronae Borealis with the Monitor Proportional Counter on the Einstein Observatory is described. During the 513 min of observation, an X-ray flare of 208 min duration was detected at a significance level of 26 sigma in the 1.19-10.16 keV band. The rise time of the flare is between 25 and 70 min and the decay time is greater than or equal to 34 min. The X-ray luminosity at the flare maximum is found to be 6 x 10 to the 30th erg/s and the total energy radiated in X-rays during the flare is 2 x 10 to the 34th erg. The energy spectrum in the flaring state is found to be harder (temperature T about 2.5 x 10 to the 7th K) compared to the one observed in the quiescent state (T about 6 x 10 to the 6th K). Applying the coronal loop model, the loop parameters are calculated and compared for the X-ray flares observed in the various RS CVn binaries and the sun. The significance of the differences in the observed and derived parameters of the X-ray flares is briefly discussed.

Agrawal, P. C.↗

Flare energetics

In this investigation of flare energetics, researchers sought to establish a comprehensive and self-consistent picture of the sources and transport of energy within a flare. To achieve this goal, they chose five flares in 1980 that were well observed with instruments on the Solar Maximum Mission, and with other space-borne and ground-based instruments. The events were chosen to represent various types of flares. Details of the observations available for them and the corresponding physical parameters derived from these data are presented. The flares were studied from two perspectives, the impulsive and gradual phases, and then the results were compared to obtain the overall picture of the energics of these flares. The role that modeling can play in estimating the total energy of a flare when the observationally determined parameters are used as the input to a numerical model is discussed. Finally, a critique of the current understanding of flare energetics and the methods used to determine various energetics terms is outlined, and possible future directions of research in this area are suggested.

Wu, S. T.↗

A numerical study of flare stabilized projectiles at Mach 7.0

The effect of nose shape on two flare stabilized projectiles was studied using a Parabolized Navier-Stokes code. Pressure coefficients, forces and moments, skin friction coefficients, and Stanton number calculations are presented for the hemisphere-cylinder-flare and the cone-cylinder-flare configurations. Pitching moment and static margin plots versus flare angles and flare lengths are presented in a parametric study to show aerodynamic stability effects. Distinctly different flow field values of pressure, local Mach number, and dynamic pressure were generated by the two different nose configurations. These flow field values just upstream of the flare will be examined. The code demonstrated its value as a design tool by making a clear distinction between aerodynamically stable characteristics for this variety of nose shapes, flare angles, and flare lengths.

Hughson, Montgomery C.↗

Limits to derived flare properties using estimates for the background fluxes - Examples from GOES

A method has been presented for restricting the random derived flare temperatures and emission measures. The method is based on three tests and is applicable not only to disk-integrated observations, but also for any high-resolution observations that cannot distinguish the emissions from flaring and nonflaring plasma. The first two tests are based on the assumption that both the temperature and the emission measure should increase as the flare flux rises. The third assumes that the preflare temperature of the plasma that flares should exceed the temperature averaged over all other emitting sources. These tests were applied to two solar flares to illustrate the improvements in the derived flare properties. It is shown that flare properties do not always lie between those derived by the use or subtraction of the total preflare flux. The flare properties can, however, be bounded by subtracting and using the long- and short-wavelength preflare fluxes, respectively.

Bornmann, P. L.↗

Frequency distributions and correlations of solar X-ray flare parameters

Frequency distributions of flare parameters are determined from over 12,000 solar flares. The flare duration, the peak counting rate, the peak hard X-ray flux, the total energy in electrons, and the peak energy flux in electrons are among the parameters studied. Linear regression fits, as well as the slopes of the frequency distributions, are used to determine the correlations between these parameters. The relationship between the variations of the frequency distributions and the solar activity cycle is also investigated. Theoretical models for the frequency distribution of flare parameters are dependent on the probability of flaring and the temporal evolution of the flare energy build-up. The results of this study are consistent with stochastic flaring and exponential energy build-up. The average build-up time constant is found to be 0.5 times the mean time between flares.

Crosby, Norma B.↗