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Physics-Based Modeling of Space Weather During Large and Extreme Geomagnetic Storms [PowerPoint]
Results and images from the SHIELDS space weather prediction framework are provided.
Physics-Based Modeling of Space Weather During Large and Extreme Geomagnetic Storms [Slides]
Abstract not provided.
Penetrating electric field during the Nov 3–4, 2021 geomagnetic storm
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Responses of Field‐Aligned Currents and Equatorial Electrojet to Sudden Decrease of Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure During the March 2023 Geomagnetic Storm
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Comparative ionospheric impacts and solar origins of nine strong geomagnetic storms in 2010–2015
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Multi‐Scale Density Structures in the Plasmaspheric Plume During a Geomagnetic Storm
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Temporal Evolution of Ion Spectral Structures During a Geomagnetic Storm: Observations and Modeling
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Solar corpuscular streams and geomagnetic storm families
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Ionospheric and magnetic observations at 1000 kilometers during the geomagnetic storm and aurora of 25-26 May 1967
Correlation between ionospheric electron measurements and transverse magnetic disturbance caused by magnetic storm and aurora
Chromospheric flares and sudden commencements of geomagnetic storms
A catalogue of flare activity was compiled during 1957-1967 (the solar activity cycle). By comparing all reliable SC during this period with chromospheric flares, the following conclusions are drawn; (1) There is no statistically significant correlation between SC and chromospheric flares. (2) The assumption that a shock wave propagates throughout the entire hemisphere is unjustified and contradicts the fact of recurrence of SC. (3) A statistically significant correlation was established between SC and chromospheric flares, that is, a relationship between a SC and the moment that a flare active region transits the Central Meridian. (4) SC are caused by shock waves or tangential discontinuities formed at the western boundary of the quasisteady directed corpuscular flux or at the boundary between sectors.
Deformation of the night side plasmasphere and ionosphere during the August 1972 geomagnetic storm
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Escape of fast oxygen from the atmosphere during geomagnetic storms
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Vertical lifting of ionization during geomagnetic storms from satellite measurements of ion composition
Magnetic-storm phenomena at low latitudes are discussed based on ion-composition /O(+), H(+), He(+)/ and electron- and ion-temperature measurements from the OGO-4 and Isis-2 satellites. For the moderately severe storms considered, the effects of changes in the neutral composition and in the neutral and plasma temperatures are discussed, and it is shown that these changes would not produce the observed O(+) increase during storms at low latitudes. It is suggested that the observed increase in O(+) in the topside region is a manifestation of the vertical lifting of ionization of the F-layer. The argument in favor of vertical lifting is further substantiated by the observed changes in the F-region critical frequency and the height parameters.
Observations of energetic helium ions in the earth's radiation belts during a sequence of geomagnetic storms
Observations of energetic (MeV) helium ions made with Explorer 45 during a sequence of magnetic storms during June through December of 1972 are presented. It is noted that the first of these storms started on June 17 and had a Dst index excursion to -190 gamma and that the MeV helium ions were perturbed primarily beyond 3 earth radii in the equatorial radiation belts with a typical flux increase of an order of magnitude at L equal to 4. The second storm period was in August and was associated with very major solar flare activity. While the Dst extremum was at best 35 gamma less than the June storm, this period can be characterized as irregular (or multi-storm) with strong compression of the magnetosphere and very large (order of magnitude) MeV helium ion flux enhancements down to L approximately equal to 2. After this injection, the trapped helium ion fluxes showed positive spherical slope with the peak beyond 3.15 MeV at L equal to 2.5; at the lowest observable L shells, little flux decay was seen during the remainder of the year.
The influence of solar active region evolution on solar wind streams, coronal hole boundaries and geomagnetic storms
Solar and interplanetary data are examined, taking into account the identification of the heliographic longitudes of the coronal source regions of high speed solar wind (SW) streams by Nolte and Roelof (1973). Nolte and Roelof have 'mapped' the velocities measured near earth back to the sun using the approximation of constant radial velocity. The 'Carrington carpet' for rotations 1597-1616 is shown in a graph. Coronal sources of high speed streams appear in the form of solid black areas. The contours of the stream sources are laid on 'evolutionary charts' of solar active region histories for the Southern and Northern Hemispheres. Questions regarding the interplay of active regions and solar wind are investigated, giving attention to developments during the years 1973, 1974, and 1975.
A practical method of predicting geomagnetic storms by using precursory enhancements of solar wind density
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Solar wind variations and geomagnetic storms - A study of individual storms based on high time resolution ISEE 3 data
Two independent methods are employed to determine the relationship between the parameter epsilon and total energy dissipation rate of the magnetosphere U sub T by selecting disturbed periods from the same data d set used by Baker et al. (1983). Specifically, four storms are examined in detail, since the accuracy of estimating U sub T is significantly improved during disturbed periods. The first method assumes that U sub T = M sub A exp.2- alpha(epsilon) where M sub A is the Alfven Mach number and alpha varies with time. The second method considers a linear, time-invariant dynamic system with epsilon as input and U sub T as output. This means that U sub T = W(asterisk)epsilon where asterisk is the convolution and W is a transfer function characteristic of the system. It is found that alpha values fluctuate mainly between 0 and -0.25. The transfer function analysis indicates that W often resembles a delta-function or a narrow rectangular impulse. Both results give the same implication (namely that U sub T is approximately equal to epsilon) and thus are consistent with the view that the magnetosphere is primarily a directly driven system during disturbed periods.