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At least 181 records · Page 10

A Two-Step Time-Series Data Clustering Method for Building-Level Load Profile: Preprint

Residential and commercial buildings have huge potential to contribute value to improve grid resilience by participating grid services. To reveal the significant value, it is critical to estimate the grid service capability from these buildings. Unlike the large-scale distributed energy resources such as wind and solar farms, those buildings need to participate grid services in aggregation, not by individual. Therefore, it is important to appropriately group buildings for aggregation. In this paper, we develop a load profile clustering method to classify the building-level load profiles for grid service capability estimation. In our two-step clustering approach, we first calculate the total load consumption for each building, clustering the load profiles based on energy consumption level. Then, we further cluster the load profiles in each energy cluster based on the load shape. The parameter selection for each clustering step is discussed. The proposed method is applied on actual building-level load profiles, and the results have proved the effectiveness of this method.

advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)↗

Short-term nodal load forecasting based on machine learning techniques

This paper introduces an advanced Short-term Nodal Load Forecasting (STNLF) method that forecasts nodal load profiles for the next day in power systems, based on the combined use of three machine learning techniques. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) is employed to reduce the number of features for a single nodal load forecasting. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to capture the features of historical loads in low-dimensional space compared to the original high-dimensional load space where features are barely possible to depict. Additionally, Bayesian Ridge Regression (BRR) is utilized to decide the parameters of the prediction model from a statistics perspective. Tests based on modified PJM load data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed STNLF method compared to the state-of-the-art General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) method. Moreover, the reliability of the day-ahead Unit Commitment (UC) solution is shown to have been improved, based on the forecasted load data using the proposed STNLF method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Synthesizing Carbon‐Supported, High‐Loading, Ultra‐Small Pt 3 Ni Nanoparticles via Tuning the Surface Electrostatic Effect

Carbon‐supported nanoparticles (NPs) are widely used as catalysts in fuel cells and electrolyzers. While it is well known that NPs with smaller size and higher loading often lead to better catalytic activity, they remain challenging to synthesize due to the weak control over the surface properties of the support. Herein, a facile approach to synthesize carbon‐supported, high‐loading, and ultra‐small Pt 3 Ni NPs via applying thermal shock on strongly interacted carbon support with metal salt is reported. Specifically, sodium citrate is introduced into the precursor solution and substrate mixture, which induces strong electrostatic effect between metal salts and carbon particles that markedly improves precursor anchoring and dispersion, thereby achieving high particle loading as well as small size and distribution. As a proof‐of‐concept, the synthesis of Pt 3 Ni NPs supported on carbon black with particle size of 1.56 ± 0.36 nm at 30 wt% loading and 1.66 ± 0.56 nm at 40 wt% loading is reported, where the sizes are among the smallest while the loadings are among the highest in the literature. This approach can be readily extended to many compositions and substrates, with tunable particle size and loading, thereby substantially expanding the synthesis space for NP catalysts in various electrochemical applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dynamic load balancing with enhanced shared-memory parallelism for particle-in-cell codes

Furthering our understanding of many of today’s interesting problems in plasma physics – including plasma based acceleration and magnetic reconnection with pair production due to quantum electrodynamic effects – requires large-scale kinetic simulations using particle-in-cell (PIC) codes. However, these simulations are extremely demanding, requiring that contemporary PIC codes be designed to efficiently use a new fleet of exascale computing architectures. To this end, the key issue of parallel load balance across computational nodes must be addressed. We discuss the implementation of dynamic load balancing by dividing the simulation space into many small, self-contained regions or ‘‘tiles,’’ along with shared-memory (e.g., OpenMP) parallelism both over many tiles and within single tiles. The load balancing algorithm can be used with three different topologies, including two space-filling curves. Here, we tested this implementation in the code Osiris and show low overhead and improved scalability with OpenMP thread number on simulations with both uniform load and severe load imbalance. Compared to other load-balancing techniques, our algorithm gives order-of-magnitude improvement in parallel scalability for simulations with severe load imbalance issues.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Comparison of time-frequency-analysis techniques applied in building energy data noise cancellation for building load forecasting: A real-building case study

Time-frequency analysis that disaggregates a signal in both time and frequency domain is an important supporting technique for building energy analysis such as noise cancellation in data-driven building load forecasting. There is a gap in the literature related to comparing various time–frequency-analysis techniques, especially discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and empirical mode decomposition (EMD), to guide the selection and tuning of time–frequency-analysis techniques in data-driven building load forecasting. This article provides a framework to conduct a comprehensive comparison among thirteen DWT/EMD techniques with various parameters in a load forecasting modeling task. A real campus building is used as a case study for illustration. The DWT and EMD techniques are also compared under various data-driven modeling algorithms for building load forecasting. The results in the case study show that the load forecasting models trained with noise-cancelled energy data have increased their accuracy to 9.6% on average tested under unseen data. This study also shows that the effectiveness of DWT/EMD techniques depends on the data-driven algorithms used for load forecasting modeling and the training data. Hence, DWT/EMD-based noise cancellation needs customized selection and tuning to optimize their performance for data-driven building load forecasting modeling.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Machine learning surrogate of physics-based building-stock simulator for end-use load forecasting

Building energy models are used to simulate heat and mass transfer and estimate end-use load in buildings. With the proliferation of solar photovoltaics on residential and commercial buildings, increasingly, buildings are expected to provide grid services, for which accurate and computationally efficient building energy simulations and end-use load prediction are imperative. Existing building energy simulation tools, however, have significant computational overhead that make them less practical in real-time deployment for optimization, design, uncertainty quantification and control in building energy management systems. Here this article presents a data-driven machine learning model based on light gradient boosting method (LightGBM) as a surrogate for a physics-based simulator for residential buildings to predict end-use load. The machine learning based surrogate model accounts for time-series related variables, seasonality and trend component of end-use load, and history of end-use load. The accuracy of the surrogate model is assessed on the prediction of the load profiles of 100 different houses in Cook County, Illinois, USA. The LightGBM surrogate model is shown to reduce the root-mean-squared error by 53% relative to a reference decision tree (DT) based model reported previously in the literature. Moreover, the model predicts the load spikes and high-ramp rate events throughout the year which are often the Achilles heel of other models in the literature. The machine learning based surrogate model is demonstrated to be computationally efficient, with a ten-fold reduction in the computational time compared to a physics-based building energy simulation, and suitable for uncertainty analysis and real-time control of building characteristics in response to uncertainty.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Effect of the integral length scales of turbulent inflows on wind turbine loads

As wind turbines become larger, the fluctuations in the inflow become increasingly influential in the turbine structural loading. These fluctuations are characterized by the integral length scale, which represents the average size of the largest energy-containing turbulent eddies. Current design standards neglect the varying integral length scales that characterize inflows of wind turbines in operation. Using large-eddy simulations, we generate turbulent inflows of varying integral length scales and quantify the loads of the IEA 15-MW reference wind turbine. Results illustrate that the impact of turbulence on rotor and tower loads is up to 10 times greater than the impact of the mean shear profile. Increasing integral length scales from 0.3x to 0.5x the rotor diameter reduces blade root flapwise moments and rotor and tower loads. Increasing integral length scales from 0.5x to 1.7x the rotor diameter increases the rotor aerodynamic thrust force and the blade root flapwise shear loads and decreases the tower base torsional moment and the tilting and yawing rotor aerodynamic moments. Additionally, turbulence intensity has a greater impact on wind turbine loads than integral length scales. In conclusion, findings indicate that design standards should consider varying integral length scales for accurate wind turbine loading characterization in turbulent inflow conditions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Impact of wake steering on loads of downstream wind turbines at an above-rated condition

Wake steering strategies often seek to gain power at the expense of increased fatigue loads. Here, we investigate the feasibility of applying wake steering at an above-rated condition. In such a condition, the farm is operating at rated power, and thus, increased power output is not the goal. Instead, wake steering is considered in the context of load reduction. We perform a sweep of wind directions and yaw misalignment angles, ranging from negative to positive values. This approach allows us to obtain trends and identify asymmetries in turbine response for symmetric scenarios. We use a wind farm consisting of five aligned IEA Wind 15-MW reference wind turbines, and analyze trends related to the blade-root, low-speed shaft, and tower-base moments, both in terms of standard deviation and damage equivalent loads. We show that for any given fixed wind direction, the turbines can be yawed such that the fatigue loads are reduced. Reductions of up to 5% (depending on the component) in terms of standard deviation and damage equivalent loads can be achieved by negatively yawing the turbine. A negative yaw misalignment has shown to be the direction of larger improvements. Such results contrast those found for below-rated conditions, where a positive yaw misalignment is typically preferred. However, since load reduction is not uniform across all component loads, more study and consideration is required before operational recommendations can be made.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Behavioral and Population Data-Driven Distribution System Load Modeling

Distribution system residential load modeling and analysis for different geographic areas within a utility or an independent system operator territory are critical for enabling small-scale, aggregated distributed energy resources to participate in grid services under Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Order No. 2222 [1]. In this study, we develop a methodology of modeling residential load profiles in different geographic areas with a focus on human behavior impact. First, we construct a behavior-based load profile model leveraging state-of-the-art appliance models. We simulate human activity and occupancy using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods calibrated with the American Time Use Survey data set. Second, we link our model with cleaned Current Population Survey data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Finally, we populate two sets of 500 households using California and Texas census data, respectively, to perform an initial analysis of the load in different geographic areas with various group features (e.g., different income levels). To distinguish the effect of population behavior differences on aggregated load, we simulate load profiles for both sets assuming fixed physical household parameters and weather data. Analysis shows that average daily load profiles vary significantly by income and income dependency varies by locality.

American Time Use Survey↗

MultiLoad-GAN: A GAN-Based Synthetic Load Group Generation Method Considering Spatial-Temporal Correlations

This paper presents a deep-learning framework, Multi-load Generative Adversarial Network (MultiLoad-GAN), for generating a group of synthetic load profiles (SLPs) simultaneously. The main contribution of MultiLoad-GAN is the capture of spatial-temporal correlations among a group of loads that are served by the same distribution transformer. This enables the generation of a large amount of correlated SLPs required for microgrid and distribution system studies. Here, the novelty and uniqueness of the MultiLoad-GAN framework are three-fold. First, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first method for generating a group of load profiles bearing realistic spatial- temporal correlations simultaneously. Second, two complementary realisticness metrics for evaluating generated load profiles are developed: computing statistics based on domain knowledge and comparing high-level features via a deep-learning classifier. Third, to tackle data scarcity, a novel iterative data augmentation mechanism is developed to generate training samples for enhancing the training of both the classifier and the MultiLoad-GAN model. Simulation results show that MultiLoad- GAN can generate more realistic load profiles than existing approaches, especially in group level characteristics. With little finetuning, MultiLoad-GAN can be readily extended to generate a group of load or PV profiles for a feeder or a service area.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Experimental Studies of Low-Load Limit in a Stoichiometric Micro-Pilot Diesel Natural Gas Engine

While operating at light loads, diesel pilot-ignited natural gas engines with lean premixed natural gas suffer from poor combustion efficiency and high methane emissions. This work investigates the limits of low-load operation for a micro-pilot diesel natural gas engine that uses a stoichiometric mixture to enable methane and nitrogen oxide emission control. By optimizing engine hardware, operating conditions, and injection strategies, this study focused on defining the lowest achievable load while maintaining a stoichiometric equivalence ratio and with acceptable combustion stability. A multi-cylinder diesel 6.7 L engine was converted to run natural gas premix with a maximum diesel micro-pilot contribution of 10%. With a base diesel compression ratio of 17.3:1, the intake manifold pressure limit was 80 kPa(absolute). At a reduced compression ratio of 15:1, this limit increased to 85 kPa, raising the minimum stable load. Retarding the combustion phasing, typically used in spark-ignition engines to achieve lower loads, was also tested but found to be limited by degraded diesel ignition at later timings. Reducing the pilot injection pressure improved combustion stability, as did increasing pilot quantity at the cost of lower substitution ratios. The lean operation further reduced load but increased NOx and hydrocarbon emissions. At loads below the practical dual-fuel limit, a transition to lean diesel operation will likely be required with corresponding implications for the aftertreatment system.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Load assessment of a wind farm considering negative and positive yaw misalignment for wake steering

Wake steering strategies are employed to increase the overall power production of wind farms by deflecting wakes of upstream turbines away from downstream ones. The gain in net power comes at the expense of increased fatigue loads experienced by downstream turbines. In this work we investigate performance and fatigue loading characteristics of a small farm consisting of five aligned International Energy Agency Wind Technology Collaboration Programme 15 MW wind turbines. A parametric study is performed where, for every wind direction from −20 to 20°, the yaw misalignment angle varies from −25 to 25°. This setup allows us to investigate asymmetries and identify optimal conditions for a given wind direction. In general, we find that positive yaw configurations are preferred and that yaw configurations that result in attractive power differences when compared to a baseline no-yaw scenario (25 %) come with significant increase in fatigue loading (we use the standard deviation and damage-equivalent load (DEL) of the blade-root, low-speed shaft, and tower-base moments as proxies for fatigue load). We find that for any given positive wind inflow angle, yaw angles between −2.5 and 15° yield power differences of 10 %–20 % over a no-yaw baseline, and positive yaw is preferred because of lower fatigue loading. For any given negative wind inflow angles, positive yaw also results in lower magnitudes of standard deviation and DEL for the channels investigated. A small power loss of up to 2 % is observed for some positive yaw angles under negative wind directions (as compared to symmetric negative yaw and positive wind cases), but improvements in terms of loads exceed 25 % and may be enough to justify a positive yaw configuration under negative winds as well. We show that such behavior can be explained by partial waking and the direction of the rotation of the rotor.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Evaluation of Optimal Net Load Management in Microgrids Using Hardware-in-the-Loop Simulation: Preprint

This paper presents the performance evaluation of a net load management (NLM) engine that balances load and generation in an isolated community to power a critical facility after a grid interruption event (e.g., lost a large generation unit). The NLM engine is a central dispatch control system that provides high-speed cost-optimal coordination of a set of net loads (combination of generation and deferrable loads) connected to the same electrical network. The NLM algorithm cost-optimally dispatches the grid-following inverters and deferrable loads based on the demanded power and load priorities, and the grid-forming inverters use droop control to form system voltages and share active and reactive power. A controller-hardware-in-the-loop platform is developed to evaluate the control performance of the NLM algorithm. The experimental results indicate that the NLM engine can achieve the targeted system voltage and frequency and balance load and generation to serve the critical facility.

droop control↗

Comparison of Loads and Aeroacoustics Between Upwind and Downwind Wind Turbine Rotors

This presentation discusses the motivation, preparation, risk mitigation, execution, and results of a full-scale experiment where the rotor of a 1.5 megawatt wind turbine was operated in a downwind configuration. The experiment took place at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory Flatirons Campus in Colorado, USA, and collected conventional loads and power together with acoustic measurements from an array of four microphones. Results from load simulations complement the experiment. Fatigue loads and performance are compared between 410 minutes of downwind operation with 960 minutes of conventional upwind operations. Downwind operations cause an increase in damage equivalent loads in a few load channels. Damage equivalent load of blade root flapwise and edgewise moment and the damage equivalent load of tower base fore aft moment increase between 2% and 20% depending on the wind speed. The comparison in active power is less conclusive, but experimental results show more power in downwind than predicted by simulations. In terms of acoustics, the overall sound pressure levels are similar between upwind and downwind, but downwind worsens the metrics describing amplitude modulation.

aeroacoustics↗

Stress‐constrained topology optimization of structures subjected to nonproportional loading

Abstract This work considers the topology optimization of hyperelastic structures for maximum stiffness (minimum compliance) subject to constraints on their volume and maximum stress. In contrast to almost all previous works, we subject the structures to nonproportional loading, wherein the maximum stress does not necessarily occur at the final load step. As such, the stress is constrained at each load step. The augmented Lagrangian method is used to formulate the optimization problem with its many constraints. In numerical examples, we investigate different load trajectories for the same terminal load and compare the optimized designs and their performances. The results show the importance of considering the entire load trajectory as the load history significantly influences the optimized designs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Techno-economic feasibility of borehole thermal energy storage system connected to geothermal heat pumps for seasonal heating load of two buildings in Fairbanks, Alaska

Borehole thermal energy storage (BTES) is an effective solution for managing imbalanced heating and cooling loads in cold regions. This study evaluated the long-term feasibility of a BTES system in the Fairbanks area, Alaska, through building energy modeling, resource characterization, and numerical modeling. The system was designed to store waste heat from a nearby coal power plant during summer and provide thermal energy during winter to geothermal heat pumps supplying heating loads in two buildings. Heating load profiles were modeled for the buildings using EnergyPlus, and the results indicated the annual heating load was 5.6 times greater than the cooling load. 40 borehole heat exchangers were pre-designed approximately 100 m away from the two buildings in terms of land availability and regulatorily optimized depth. The 20-year performance of the designed BTES system under two operational scenarios—one with a 5-year preheating period and one without—was numerically modeled using subsurface temperature and properties characterized through the literature review and thermal response tests. Both scenarios demonstrated that the BTES has the capacity to fully cover the heating loads in the two buildings throughout the 20-year lifetime. Production temperatures at central wells were 33 % higher on average than at outer wells in both scenarios. The 5-year preheating period increased subsurface and extraction temperatures, and correspondingly annual average and total thermal energy production was higher for 8 years than in the scenario without the preheating period. These results highlight the long-term reliability and sustainability of the BTES system in meeting heating demands over its lifetime, with the preheating period offering potential performance improvements. Implementing the BTES system in cold regions with high heating demand, such as Fairbanks, Alaska, could provide a long-term, sustainable energy solution for managing imbalanced heating and cooling loads.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Second gadolinium loading to Super-Kamiokande

The first loading of gadolinium (Gd) into Super-Kamiokande in 2020 was successful, and the neutron capture efficiency on Gd reached 50%. To further increase the Gd neutron capture efficiency to 75%, 26.1 tons of Gd 2 (SO 4 ) 3 ∙ 8H 2 O was additionally loaded into Super-Kamiokande (SK) from May 31 to July 4, 2022. As the amount of loaded Gd 2 (SO 4 ) 3 ∙ 8H 2 O was doubled compared to the first loading, the capacity of the powder dissolving system was doubled. We also developed new batches of gadolinium sulfate with even further reduced radioactive impurities. In addition, a more efficient screening method was devised and implemented to evaluate these new batches of Gd 2 (SO 4 ) 3 ∙ 8H 2 O. Following the second loading, the Gd concentration in SK was measured to be 333.5 ± 2.5 ppm via an Atomic Absorption Spectrometer (AAS). From the mean neutron capture time constant of neutrons from an Am/Be calibration source, the Gd concentration was independently measured to be 332.7 ± 6.8(sys.) ± 1.1(stat.) ppm, consistent with the AAS result. Furthermore, during the loading the Gd concentration was monitored continually using the capture time constant of each spallation neutron produced by cosmic-ray muons, and the final neutron capture efficiency was shown to become 1.5 times higher than that of the first loaded phase, as expected.

Gadolinium↗

Short-term load demand forecasting through rich features based on recurrent neural networks

With the emerging penetration of renewables and dynamic loads, the understanding of grid edge loading conditions becomes increasingly substantial. Load modelling researches commonly consist of explicitly expressed load models and non-explicitly expressed techniques, of which artificial intelligence approaches turn out to be the major path. This paper reveals the artificial intelligence-based load modelling technique to enhance the knowledge of current and future load information considering geographical and weather dependencies. This paper presents a recurrent neural network based sequence to sequence (Seq2Seq) model to forecast the short-term power loads. Also, a feature attention mechanism, which is along channel and time directions, is developed to improve the efficiency of feature learning. The experiments over three publicly available datasets demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed model.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗