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DOE OSTI2021

PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative: Performance Index-Based Analysis

In this analysis, we report on 250 PV systems throughout the US, comprising 157 MWdc of system capacity and over 10,000 monthly PI values based on high-frequency (subhourly) energy data and satellite-based resource data. The distribution of PI values is analyzed, and multiple causes of underperformance are assessed, including first-year startup issues, snowfall and inverter downtime. An initial distribution of raw monthly PI values was collected with mean measured / modeled performance of PI = 0.935. After correcting for the three identifiable loss factors mentioned above, an average monthly performance of PI = 0.994 was obtained, with a distribution closely following a Gumbel Extreme Value distribution. In particular, inverter availability was found to contribute a system energy loss of 2.3% on average, except in the first six months of operation when availability losses are closer to 8%. Other startup issues beyond inverter downtime such as partial string outage contributed an additional 5% underperformance in the first year of operation across the fleet. Winter performance was also found to be 5%-10% below summer performance on average, likely due to snowfall. A simple linear relationship was found between snow loss and monthly snowfall accumulation in cm, indicating between 6% - 40% loss in months with nonzero snowfall, depending on climate.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Bifacial Performance Modeling

Analysis on uncertainty in the annual energy of PV systems that can be attributed to parameters of particular importance to bifacial PV modules is presented. Monte Carlo simulations are used to evaluate the effect of uncertain module bifaciality factors, module transmission fractions, albedo values, and ground clearance. The analyses cover a wide spectrum of potential PV array archetypes through variation of installation parameters. The results of the Monte Carlo analysis reveal that the uncertainty is largely dependent on albedo uncertainty, but more simulations are needed to identify trends across system archetypes. The simulations are aimed at attributing an annual energy uncertainty factor for bifacial considerations that can be applied in post-processing of project probability of exceedance analysis.

energy modeling↗

DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Bifacial Performance Modeling

bifacial↗

DOE OSTI2022

Measuring and Modeling Bifacial Technologies

Measuring and modeling bifacial technologies is of interest for new system design, capacity testing, and performance evaluation. The bifacial PV field at NREL has been gathering data for different bifacial technologies and sensors for the last 2.5 years, making it possible to compare bifacial performance with monofacial counterparts, as well as experimental demonstrations of best locations to place sensors to match modeled and perceived irradiance non-uniformity on the rear of the bifacial modules. This presentation summarizes performance, degradation, sensor position for module edge effects and the impact of row edge effects, and the roadmap for NREL bifacial modeling tools.

bifacial PV↗

NASA NTRS1993

Space Station Freedom electrical performance model

The baseline Space Station Freedom electric power system (EPS) employs photovoltaic (PV) arrays and nickel hydrogen (NiH2) batteries to supply power to housekeeping and user electrical loads via a direct current (dc) distribution system. The EPS was originally designed for an operating life of 30 years through orbital replacement of components. As the design and development of the EPS continues, accurate EPS performance predictions are needed to assess design options, operating scenarios, and resource allocations. To meet these needs, NASA Lewis Research Center (LeRC) has, over a 10 year period, developed SPACE (Station Power Analysis for Capability Evaluation), a computer code designed to predict EPS performance. This paper describes SPACE, its functionality, and its capabilities.

Hojnicki, Jeffrey S.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling and Analysis of Clean Energy and Storage Technologies (CRADA Final Report, Project 1)

The goal of this project is to provide Southern Company Services, Inc. ("Participant") with custom scripts that can be used to create an average PV energy production profile, calculate lifetime energy value, calculate capacity value, and calculate the resultant financial metrics considering those value streams. Secondly, a fuel-cell model will be added to the public version of System Advisor Model (SAM). This standalone technology will incorporate PV and battery storage, allowing the participant to model the interaction of these three technologies. By adding this capability to a public version of SAM, a broad audience will be able to consider the system performance and financial benefits of installing a fuel cell as a baseline generator with PV. Thirdly, automated dispatch algorithms will be developed and added to SAM. These algorithms will enable Southern Company to dispatch a DC-connected front-of-the-meter battery system while considering price signals and PV clipping behavior. By adding these capabilities to a public version of SAM, users will be able to consider more complex and realistic ways of dispatching a battery system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Optimal hybrid power plants for electric vehicle charging demand

Transmission constraints, increasing motivations to decarbonize, and concerns over peak electric vehicle (EV) load impacts on local grids have driven electric customers to consider behind-the-meter, hybrid power plant generation and storage at the distributed-grid level for EV charging. In this study, we develop capabilities to optimize hybrid power plant component capacities for EV charging. We then demonstrate these capabilities in a case study for Boulder, Colorado, using public EV charging data as well as wind and solar resource data. Our results show system designs that balance the cost of energy with load-meeting and peak shaving performance. Within the case study, systems designed for wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), and storage resulted in lower cost of energy than those optimized for PV and storage only. This indicates that in areas where wind resource exists, hybrid power plants that include wind, PV, and battery assets can better meet EV charging loads (including peak loads that are prone to overloading local grids) than PV and battery assets alone. Future work to address limitations in this paper include extending cost modeling to include performance losses (e.g., based on operations or weather) and charging station costs to estimate levelized cost of charging, and quantifying uncertainty and error in our aggregation methods for estimating EV charging loads at the hourly timescale.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

R&D to Ensure a Scientific Basis for Qualification Tests and Standards (Final Report: FY19-FY22)

This is the final technical report for the FY19-FY21 research program "R&D to Ensure a Scientific Basis for Qualification Tests and Standards." This research was performed because project return on investment in a photovoltaic (PV) system depends increasingly on maintaining high energy yields, and the system lifetime is a major factor in levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). Thus, the rate of PV deployment and the success of these assets depends upon reliable long-term power generation. This program advances PV module reliability of commercial products through identification of reliability needs, characterization that provides scientific understanding of targeted degradation mechanisms, and translation of those data into practical and predictive test protocols and standards. This report describes program scope, results, milestones, and accomplishments over the three-year period of performance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-Performance Computing Based EMT Simulation of Large PV or Hybrid PV Plants

Faults in the transmission grid have led to reduced power generation from power electronics resources that are typically not connected to the faulted transmission line. In many of the cases, partial loss of power is observed within the power electronics resources like large photovoltaic (PV) power plants. This phenomena is not captured in existing simulation models and/or simulators. High-fidelity switched system electromagnetic transient (EMT) dynamic models of PV power plants can improve the fidelity of models available for accurate analysis of the impact on PV plants during simulation of faults. However, these models are extremely computationally expensive and take a long time to simulate. Long simulation times limit the ability to use these models as larger regions are studied in EMT simulations with more power electronics resources. In this paper, numerical simulation algorithms are combined with high-performance computing techniques and applied to the high-fidelity switched system EMT model of PV plants. Using these techniques, a speed-up of up to 58x is obtained, while preserving the accuracy of the simulation at greater than 98%.

Debnath, Suman↗

DOE OSTI2023

PV Performance Modeling - Data and Resources

The Photovoltaic (PV) Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC) organized a blind PV performance modeling intercomparison to allow PV modelers to blindly test their models and modeling ability against real system data. Measured weather and irradiance data were provided along with detailed descriptions of PV systems from two locations (Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA and Roskilde, Denmark). Participants were asked to simulate the plane-of-array irradiance, module temperature, and DC power output from six systems and submit their results to Sandia for processing. This dataset includes seven MS-Excel sheets with instructions, notes and all necessary data (weather, irradiance, temperature, power) used for the data analysis of the blind modeling comparison. The hourly data represent six different systems from Albuquerque, NM and Roskilde, Denmark over a period of one year. These data are useful for PV performance model validation studies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Study of Imbalance Levels Attributed to Photovoltaic Penetration in Distribution Systems

Abstract— The number of renewable sources, namely photovoltaics (PV), continues to grow within distribution systems. How placements impact a system’s performance remains a concern within both the research and the utility communities. Beyond system node voltages and real power losses, this work looks to industry standard imbalance metrics and the changes experienced on these values with varied levels of PV. Specifically, four imbalance metrics are presented and studied for an actual 906-bus distribution system. Multiple loading conditions and photovoltaic placement schemes are explored to compare the changes seen on these metrics across a variety of scenarios experienced by the network.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Building Load Control to Facilitate High Penetration of Solar Photovoltaic Generation (Final Technical Report)

Solar photovoltaic (PV) resources are the most common form of distributed generation in residential and commercial customer premises within electric distribution networks. A higher penetration of PV generation in distribution circuits will impose challenges on maintaining service voltages within the range of industry standards, power quality, and power flow. Buildings consume 74% of the electricity produced in the United States, and a significant portion of the building load is dispatchable, making them responsive to electrical grid needs. Oak Ridge National Laboratory—in collaboration with Southern Company; the University of Tennessee, Knoxville; and the Georgia Institute of Technology—is examining the PV integration issues in distribution-level electrical grids and developing integrated demand-side control and communication systems to enable responsive loads. The proposed responsive loads mechanism performs renewable generation following to increase the penetration of solar PV within each feeder. The specific objectives of this project are to (1) examine distribution-level PV integration scenarios to understand requirements, (2) undertake an end-to-end simulation-based design of a distributed control strategy of loads geographically near the PV generation asset to minimize the effect on the distribution feeder, (3) deploy and demonstrate the control technology developed in partnership with utilities, and (4) perform a scalability analysis at the utility scale. This 3-year integrated project aims to develop, demonstrate, and validate demand-side control technology to enable increased the penetration of renewables while mitigating challenges that arise due to their intermittency. Activities in Budget Period (BP) 1 focused on a literature review and the formal design of a control system for integrating local distribution with generation and loads. The team used modeling and simulation to evaluate the impact of varying buildings loads, variable PV generation, and power flow dynamics on the distribution circuit. The dynamic models developed in BP 1 were used in BP 2 to develop a model-based control design and a test bed. The test bed has enabled the simulation-based testing and comparison of different control designs and formulations applied to different configurations of the distribution grid, PVs, and building loads. The control approaches developed in BP 2 were implemented in BP 3 in the form of hardware deployed at the Central Baptist Church (CBC) in Knoxville, Tennessee, for testing and evaluation. The outcome of this project was the development and demonstration of open-source, low-cost, low-touch sensing and control retrofits to distributed PV generation and building loads that, in a coordinated fashion, provide the load-shaping response needed to integrate high levels of renewable penetration. This research addresses the target metrics by dynamically controlling a load with solar generation variability to minimize the extent of two-way power flow, enhance reliability, facilitate high PV penetration (>100% of peak load in a line segment), and generate scalable software and hardware solutions adaptable to any penetration levels. The research and development activities are focused and designed to be impactful within the relevant 2020 targets time frame.An accurate open-source integration simulation framework for end-to-end control design was developed and deployed at the CBC facility for testing and evaluation. This final report provides a detailed review of the technical results achieved during this 3-year integrated project. A novel spectral analysis of PV data is demonstrated to derive the requirements of the control design. A detailed simulation-based analysis of PV integration at increasing penetration levels is presented using 1 year of PV data to demonstrate the impact on the distribution circuits. Two different control strategies were developed and demonstrated via simulation to track variable PV generation with adaptive load dispatch. The report concludes with a summary of accomplishments and recommendations for a path forward.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Uncertainty Quantification of Bifacial Performance Modeling: Preprint

energy modeling↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating the Capabilities of Behind-the-Meter Solar-plus-Storage for Providing Backup Power during Long-Duration Power Interruptions [Slides]

The study estimates the performance of behind-the-meter solar PV-plus-energy-storage-systems (PVESS) in providing critical-load or whole-building backup across a wide range of geographies, building types, and power interruption conditions. The study also considers a set of 10 historical long-duration power outage events and evaluates how PVESS could have performed in providing backup power during those specific events. The analysis is the first in what will be a series of studies by Berkeley Lab, in collaboration with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, on the use of PVESS for backup power. This initial study, which relies on simulated end-use level building loads, solar generation, and storage dispatch, is intended to provide a baseline set of performance estimates and to illustrate key performance drivers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

A country-scale green energy-water-hydrogen nexus: Jordan as a case study

Many developing countries suffer from a shortage of clean energy-water production, causing significant dependency on imported fossil fuel to meet the local energy and freshwater demands. Furthermore, when planning a 100 % renewable energy system (RES) to match the energy demand on an hourly basis, the RES is usually oversized. Hence, unavoidable large amounts of excess energy would be generated during hours of high production, low demand, and fully charged energy storage systems (ESSs). Hence, using Jordan as a case study, this work proposes a novel integrated system of wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), and lithium-ion ESS to match 100 % of the country's energy demand while using the excess generated power to drive reverse osmosis water desalination plants to match the demand of freshwater as well. Furthermore, the remaining excess energy is used for producing green hydrogen. A techno-economic optimizer was developed to show that this concept is indeed feasible. Here, the model was used to scan Jordan for the fitting sites of the highest demand-supply matching and the lowest levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), simultaneously. Three different integration scenarios are presented, namely PV-ESS, wind-ESS, and hybrid PV-wind-ESS RESs. The hybrid system showed the best performance, especially compared to the wind-ESS RES, in terms of total installed capacity (33.37 GW), LCOE (0.0492 USD/kWh), specific water cost (0.3629 USD/m 3 ), and energy and water demand-supply fractions (99.47 and 96.16 %, respectively). Storing desalinated water in natural aquifers was found to be a favorable option to enhance the performance of the three systems, where stored water by the end of the year was sufficient to cover the freshwater requirements for several following years. Finally, the remaining excess energy is used to produce green hydrogen with an annual production of up to 1.37 million tons and a specific cost down to 1.08 USD/kg.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

User Stories for PV Operations and Maintenance: Findings from the 2024 PVPMC Workshop

At the 2024 Photovoltaic (PV) Performance Modeling Workshop we collected user stories related to PV system monitoring, analytics, and operations and maintenance (O&M). In this context, user stories describe challenges with current practices and tools or imagining opportunities for improvements. From these user stories, we identified several near-term opportunities to improve photovoltaic system monitoring, analytics and O&M.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1983

Economic implications of current systems

The primary goals of this study are to estimate the value of R&D to photovoltaic (PV) metallization systems cost, and to provide a method for selecting an optimal metallization method for any given PV system. The value-added cost and relative electrical performance of 25 state-of-the-art (SOA) and advanced metallization system techniques are compared.

Daniel, R. E.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Computation of photovoltaic parameters under lunar temperature variation

Photovoltaic (PV) arrays with regenerative-fuel-cell energy storage is a prime, power-system candidate for lunar photo-power. The PV module performance decreases at higher temperatures. Surface temperature variations of the moon are extreme, the maximum (noon) temperature being 384 K. The present work utilizes detailed computations of photovoltaic parameters with computer program developed earlier for the computation of optimum bandgaps of single- and two-junction solar cells at different temperatures, and calculates the power output of single and two-junction solar modules under different configurations which constitutes an improvement over the assumption of a linear variation of efficiency with temperature. The program also calculates the necessary PV-array size to satisfy stipulated levels of day- and night-time power consumption.

Dhere, Neelkanth G.↗